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Steady Comps Momentum: Will TJX Sustain its Winning Run?
ZACKSยท 2025-06-23 15:26
Core Insights - The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) achieved a 3% growth in comparable store sales in Q1 of fiscal 2026, driven by increased customer transactions across all divisions [1][8] - The company is positioned as a strong player in the off-price retail sector, benefiting from economic uncertainty that leads consumers to seek value [1][3] Sales Performance - HomeGoods led the sales growth with a 4% increase in comparable sales, while Marmaxx, the largest division, reported a 2% growth [2] - TJX Canada and TJX International each recorded a 5% increase in comparable sales, which helped mitigate foreign exchange pressures [2] Management Insights - Management attributes the sales performance to well-curated assortments and broad customer appeal, emphasizing close-to-need buying and sourcing flexibility [3] - The company is guiding for a 2-3% growth in comparable sales for Q2 of fiscal 2026, indicating confidence in maintaining traffic-driven performance [4][8] Competitive Landscape - In comparison, Costco reported a 5.7% growth in comparable sales, while Burlington Stores experienced flat sales in Q1 of fiscal 2025 [5][6] - TJX's ability to post positive comparable sales across various categories and regions highlights the strength of its off-price model [4] Valuation and Estimates - TJX shares have seen a slight decline of 1.7% over the past month, compared to a 1.8% decline in the industry [7] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for TJX is 26.6X, lower than the industry average of 32.13X [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate indicates a year-over-year growth of 4.4% in sales and 4.7% in earnings per share for the current financial year [11]