格隆汇8月26日｜国盛证券研报指出，云铝股份25H1归母净利27.7亿元，同比+10%。单季来看， 25Q1/Q2公司实现营收144/147亿元，同比+27%/10%，Q2环比+1.8%；归母净利9.7/17.9亿元，同 比-16%/+32%，Q2环比+84%。分红比例抬升彰显公司经营信心，铝产品"量价齐升"增厚利润。资源拓 展和项目建设有序推进，产业质量不断提升。云铝消鑫3万吨铝合金铸造生产线建成投产，云铝源鑫两 个生产区罐式炉项目投入试生产，煅后焦实收率同比提升6%。科技创新持续发力，创新能力不断增 强。研发免热处理压铸铝合金，实现压铸铝合金全流程研发试验验证。公司作为国内绿色铝行业龙头企 业，铝全产业链一体化布局凸显强大的资源优势和成本优势，当前时点下产能兑现及降本增效为竞争关 键，公司有望通过α和β双共振实现跨越式增长。 ...

8月26日的资金流向数据方面，主力资金净流入1.05亿元，占总成交额23.38%，游资资金净流出6438.05 万元，占总成交额14.35%，散户资金净流出4053.76万元，占总成交额9.04%。 近5日资金流向一览见下表： | | | | | 日期 收盘价 涨跌幅 主力净流入 主力净占比 游资净占比 散户净流入 散户净占比 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-08-26 | | 21.11 10.01% | 1.05亿 | 23.38% | -6438.05万 | -14.35% | -4053.76万 | -9.04% | | 2025-08-25 | 19.19 | -1.13% | -2077.78万 | -9.91% | 692.58万 | 3.30% | 1385.19万 | 6.61% | | 2025-08-22 | 19.41 | -0.15% | -1785.57万 | -10.80% | 888.96万 | 5.38% | 896.61万 | 5.42% | | 2025-08 ...

| | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 咨询业务资格:证监许可 [2011] 1292- 2025年8月25日 星期一 | | | | | Z0015979 | | 价格及基差 | | | | | | | | 现值 | 前值 | 日涨跌 | 日涨跌幅 | 单位 | | SMM 1#电解铜 | 78830 | 78800 | +30.00 | 0.04% | 元/肥 | | SMM 1#电解铜升贴水 | 150 | 160 | -10.00 | | 元/吨 | | SMM 广东1#电解铜 | 78735 | 78695 | +40.00 | 0.05% | 元/吨 | | SMM 广东1#电解铜升贴水 | 60 | 60 | 0.00 | | 元/吨 | | SMM湿法铜 | 78710 | 78670 | +40.00 | 0.05% | 元/吨 | | SMM湿法铜升贴水 | 30 | 30 | 0.00 | | 元/吨 | | 精废价差 | 1084 | 1034 | +50.00 | 4.84% | 元/吨 | | LME 0-3 | ...

资料显示，焦作万方铝业股份有限公司位于河南省焦作市马村区待王镇焦新路南侧，成立日期1996年11 月27日，上市日期1996年9月26日，公司主营业务涉及铝冶炼及加工,铝制品、金属材料销售。主营业务 收入构成为：铝液82.00%，铝合金7.72%，铝锭6.85%，其他(补充)3.43%。 8月26日，焦作万方盘中上涨2.09%，截至10:03，报9.26元/股，成交2.17亿元，换手率2.02%，总市值 110.40亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出1688.54万元，特大单买入712.15万元，占比3.28%，卖出949.01万元， 占比4.38%；大单买入3720.96万元，占比17.16%，卖出5172.65万元，占比23.85%。 焦作万方今年以来股价涨47.22%，近5个交易日涨0.98%，近20日涨6.68%，近60日涨26.16%。 今年以来焦作万方已经1次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为3月18日。 焦作万方所属申万行业为：有色金属-工业金属-铝。所属概念板块包括：有色铝、稀缺资源、稀土永 磁、中盘、融资融券等。 截至8月20日，焦作万方股东户数6.14万，较上期减少1.92%；人均流通股1 ...

中邮证券近日发布有色金属行业周报：当地时间8月22日，美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊 霍尔全球央行年会上表示，当前形势暗示就业增长面临下行风险，风险平衡点的变化可能要 求调整政策。鲍威尔称，美联储对降息持开放态度，且关税对通胀的影响可能是一次性的。 降息交易强化下，2Y美债快速下挫，收于3.7%左右，9月降息25BP的概率大幅提升。 以下为研究报告摘要： l投资要点 贵金属：Jackson Hole鲍威尔转鸽，降息交易强化。当地时间8月22日，美联储主席鲍威 尔在杰克逊霍尔全球央行年会上表示，当前形势暗示就业增长面临下行风险，风险平衡点的 变化可能要求调整政策。鲍威尔称，美联储对降息持开放态度，且关税对通胀的影响可能是 一次性的。降息交易强化下，2Y美债快速下挫，收于3.7%左右，9月降息25BP的概率大幅 提升。最终：本周COMEX黄金涨1.05%、白银上涨2.26%。长期来看去美元化的进程不会转 向，叠加降息交易下ETF配置资金的流入，我们依然看好贵金属板块的表现，建议择机超配 贵金属。 铜：铜价高位震荡。本周铜价继续高位震荡，上涨0.50%。鲍威尔转鸽，降息预期增 强，且大概率为预防性降息，铜价存在支撑。同时 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - Gold: After the JH meeting, Powell gave a dovish signal [2][4]. - Silver: It is expected to reach its previous high [2][5]. - Copper: The rise of the US dollar restricts price increases [2][12]. - Zinc: It will fluctuate within a narrow range [2][15]. - Lead: Lacking driving forces, the price will fluctuate [2][19]. - Tin: It will oscillate within a range [2][22]. - Aluminum: Fluctuations will converge; Alumina will decline slightly; Cast aluminum alloy will follow the trend of electrolytic aluminum [2][27]. - Nickel: It will operate in a narrow - range oscillation; Stainless steel will experience short - term low - level fluctuations [2][29]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Precious Metals (Gold and Silver) 3.1.1 Fundamental Data - **Prices**: Comex Gold 2510 rose 1.00% to 3417.20; London Gold Spot rose 0.95% to 3369.82; Comex Silver 2510 rose 2.07% to 39.390; London Silver Spot rose 1.85% to 38.801 [5]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: Comex Gold 2510 trading volume increased by 59,697 to 179,273, and open interest decreased by 2,083 to 323,440; Comex Silver 2510 trading volume increased by 10,840 to 31,554, and open interest remained unchanged at 90,075 [5]. - **Inventory**: Comex Gold inventory (in troy ounces, the day before) increased by 9,952 to 38,573,764; Comex Silver inventory (in troy ounces, the day before) remained unchanged at 508,499,193 [5]. 3.1.2 Macro and Industry News - Multiple events including geopolitical issues, corporate lawsuits, and policy changes in different countries and regions [7][9][11]. 3.1.3 Trend Intensity - Gold trend intensity: 1; Silver trend intensity: 1 [10]. 3.2 Copper 3.2.1 Fundamental Data - **Prices**: The Shanghai Copper main contract rose 1.32% to 79,690, and the night - session price was 79640, down 0.06%; LME Copper 3M electronic disk rose 0.77% to 9,809 [12]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The Shanghai Copper main contract trading volume increased by 53,037 to 87,895, and open interest increased by 20,929 to 169,761; LME Copper 3M electronic disk trading volume increased by 6,274 to 16,941, and open interest increased by 3,555 to 268,000 [12]. - **Inventory**: Shanghai Copper inventory decreased by 401 to 23,747; LME Copper inventory decreased by 375 to 155,975, and the注销仓单 ratio increased by 0.77% to 8.03% [12]. 3.2.2 Macro and Industry News - Macro: Shanghai issued the "Six Measures for the Property Market"; The US had under - expected housing sales and weak business activity index [12]. - Micro: China's refined copper imports in July 2025 decreased 0.32% month - on - month but increased 12.05% year - on - year; Codelco lowered its copper output target for this year [12][14]. 3.2.3 Trend Intensity - Copper trend intensity: 0 [14]. 3.3 Zinc 3.3.1 Fundamental Data - **Prices**: The Shanghai Zinc main contract rose 0.54% to 22395; LME Zinc 3M electronic disk rose 1.39% to 2805.5 [15]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The Shanghai Zinc main contract trading volume increased by 42715 to 131380, and open interest decreased by 2533 to 105259; LME Zinc trading volume increased by 948 to 8247, and open interest increased by 1465 to 193310 [15]. - **Inventory**: Shanghai Zinc futures inventory increased by 2403 to 35194; LME Zinc inventory decreased by 1300 to 68075 [15]. 3.3.2 News - Shanghai issued the "Six Measures for the Property Market"; The government plans to implement carbon emission quota control for certain industries [16]. 3.3.3 Trend Intensity - Zinc trend intensity: 0 [18]. 3.4 Lead 3.4.1 Fundamental Data - **Prices**: The Shanghai Lead main contract rose 0.39% to 16845; LME Lead 3M electronic disk rose 1.12% to 1992 [19]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The Shanghai Lead main contract trading volume increased by 18257 to 41202, and open interest decreased by 13190 to 27975; LME Lead trading volume increased by 1725 to 5119, and open interest increased by 3430 to 160840 [19]. - **Inventory**: Shanghai Lead futures inventory increased by 2 to 58948; LME Lead inventory decreased by 6550 to 273050 [19]. 3.4.2 News - Shanghai issued the "Six Measures for the Property Market"; The US had concerns about its economic health [20]. 3.4.3 Trend Intensity - Lead trend intensity: 0 [20]. 3.5 Tin 3.5.1 Fundamental Data - **Prices**: The Shanghai Tin main contract fell 0.21% to 265,930; LME Tin 3M electronic disk rose 1.11% to 33,845 [23]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The Shanghai Tin main contract trading volume decreased by 2,103 to 34,606, and open interest decreased by 671 to 18,073; LME Tin 3M electronic disk trading volume decreased by 9 to 180, and open interest increased by 53 to 13,988 [23]. - **Inventory**: Shanghai Tin inventory decreased by 205 to 7,053; LME Tin inventory increased by 45 to 1,785, and the注销仓单 ratio decreased by 0.38% to 6.57% [23]. 3.5.2 Macro and Industry News - Multiple geopolitical and policy - related events [24][25]. 3.5.3 Trend Intensity - Tin trend intensity: 1 [26]. 3.6 Aluminum, Alumina, and Cast Aluminum Alloy 3.6.1 Fundamental Data - **Aluminum**: The Shanghai Aluminum main contract closed at 20770; LME Aluminum 3M closed at 2622. The LME注销仓单 ratio was 2.77% [27]. - **Alumina**: The Shanghai Alumina main contract closed at 3184 [27]. - **Cast Aluminum Alloy**: It follows the trend of electrolytic aluminum [27]. 3.6.2 Comprehensive News - The outcome of the US - South Korea leaders' meeting [28]. 3.6.3 Trend Intensity - Aluminum trend intensity: 0; Alumina trend intensity: 0; Aluminum alloy trend intensity: 0 [28]. 3.7 Nickel and Stainless Steel 3.7.1 Fundamental Data - **Nickel**: The Shanghai Nickel main contract closed at 120,310; 1 imported nickel was priced at 120,350 [29]. - **Stainless Steel**: The stainless steel main contract closed at 12,880 [29]. 3.7.2 Macro and Industry News - Ontario may stop exporting nickel to the US; An Indonesian nickel - iron project entered the trial - production stage; Environmental violations were found in an Indonesian industrial park [29][30]. 3.7.3 Trend Intensity - Nickel trend intensity: 0; Stainless steel trend intensity: 0 [34].

Group 1 - Canada will eliminate the 25% retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods that comply with the USMCA starting September 1, as a response to the U.S. reducing tariffs on Canadian products [1] - The Canadian government has imposed retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods three times since the trade war began, including tariffs on $60 billion CAD worth of U.S. products [1] - The Canadian small business sector is significantly affected, with 58% reporting impacts from retaliatory tariffs and 67% stating they have absorbed the full cost of U.S. import tariffs [2][3] Group 2 - The Canadian government is focusing on industries facing high tariffs, such as steel, aluminum, automotive, and lumber, while preparing for a formal review of the USMCA by the U.S. government [1] - The Canadian International Trade Commission reported that 34% of Canadian exports to the U.S. met USMCA criteria in January, rising to nearly 57% by June [2] - The Canadian steel and aluminum tariffs will remain in effect, with Canada being the largest supplier of these materials to the U.S. [4] Group 3 - The Canadian small business community faces challenges in obtaining USMCA product certification, with many businesses reluctant to pursue it due to high costs and workload [3] - The Canadian legal expert warns that maintaining retaliatory tariffs could jeopardize Canada's exemptions under the USMCA, especially as other allies have reached agreements with the U.S. [5] - The cancellation of retaliatory tariffs represents a shift for Canada, which previously took a strong stance against U.S. tariffs during the election [5]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided about the report industry investment rating in the document. 2. Report's Core View - The gold price is expected to maintain a short - term volatile pattern due to the mixed influence of the Fed's potential interest rate cut and the risk of inflation pressure from Trump's tariff policy [3]. - The copper price may continue to fluctuate around 79,000 yuan per ton, with upward pressure and limited downward space [15]. - The short - term trend of Shanghai aluminum is expected to be volatile and strong, while alumina is expected to be weakly volatile in the short term [35]. - The zinc price is expected to be mainly volatile in the short term, with an increasingly obvious pattern of strong overseas and weak domestic prices [64]. - The nickel - related market is affected by multiple factors such as nickel ore price, downstream demand, and macro - level factors, and the stainless steel price may have a certain correction [80]. - The tin price is expected to be mainly volatile in the next week [95]. - The lithium carbonate futures market is expected to enter a volatile consolidation stage, while the spot market sentiment is expected to remain strong [106]. - The industrial silicon market is expected to be in bottom - level volatility in the short term, and the polysilicon futures are expected to be volatile and strong [115]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Precious Metals - **Daily View**: Fed Chair Powell's signal of a potential interest rate cut at the Jackson Hole meeting has increased the market's expectation of a September rate cut to 85%, but the risk of inflation pressure from Trump's tariff policy may delay the rate - cut rhythm, leading to a short - term volatile gold price [3]. - **Price Data**: Various price charts of SHFE and COMEX gold and silver, including prices, ratios, and spreads, are presented [4][9][12]. - **Long - term Fund Holdings**: The long - term fund holdings of gold and silver show certain trends [12][13]. - **Inventory Data**: The inventory data of SHFE and COMEX gold and silver are provided [14]. 3.2 Copper - **Daily View**: The Fed's meeting minutes have little impact on copper prices, but Powell's speech has boosted the overall valuation of non - ferrous metals. The copper price may continue to fluctuate around 79,000 yuan per ton, and investors need to pay attention to relevant economic data [15]. - **Futures Data**: The latest prices, daily changes, and daily change rates of Shanghai and London copper futures are presented [16]. - **Spot Data**: The latest prices, daily changes, and daily change rates of copper spot in different regions are provided, along with import profit and loss and processing fee data [21][27]. - **Inventory Data**: The inventory data of SHFE and LME copper are provided, showing changes in warehouse receipts and inventories [32][33]. 3.3 Aluminum - **Daily View**: Aluminum prices have experienced a correction due to tariff policies, but low inventory and inventory reduction provide support, and the short - term trend is volatile and strong. Alumina has a weak fundamental situation and is expected to be weakly volatile in the short term [35]. - **Futures Data**: The latest prices, daily changes, and daily change rates of Shanghai aluminum, alumina, and aluminum alloy futures are presented [37]. - **Spot Data**: The latest prices, daily changes, and daily change rates of aluminum spot in different regions are provided, along with relevant basis and spread data [50]. - **Inventory Data**: The inventory data of SHFE and LME aluminum and alumina are provided, showing changes in warehouse receipts and inventories [59]. 3.4 Zinc - **Daily View**: The zinc supply is gradually shifting from tight to surplus, and the demand is weak. The zinc price is mainly volatile in the short term, with an obvious pattern of strong overseas and weak domestic prices [64]. - **Price Data**: The latest prices, daily changes, and daily change rates of Shanghai and LME zinc futures are presented [65]. - **Spot Data**: The latest prices, daily changes, and daily change rates of zinc spot are provided, along with relevant basis and spread data [71]. - **Inventory Data**: The inventory data of SHFE and LME zinc are provided, showing changes in warehouse receipts and inventories [76]. 3.5 Nickel - **Daily View**: The nickel - related market is affected by factors such as nickel ore price, downstream demand, and macro - level factors. The stainless steel price may have a certain correction [80]. - **Price Data**: The latest prices, changes, and change rates of Shanghai nickel and stainless steel futures are presented [81]. - **Related Data**: Various data such as nickel spot price, nickel ore price, and downstream profit are provided [86][88][90]. 3.6 Tin - **Daily View**: The tin price is expected to be mainly volatile in the next week, supported by the decline in social inventory and stable demand [95]. - **Futures Data**: The latest prices, daily changes, and daily change rates of Shanghai and London tin futures are presented [96]. - **Spot Data**: The latest prices, daily changes, and daily change rates of tin spot are provided [100]. - **Inventory Data**: The inventory data of SHFE and LME tin are provided, showing changes in warehouse receipts and inventories [102]. 3.7 Lithium Carbonate - **Daily View**: The lithium carbonate futures market is expected to enter a volatile consolidation stage, while the spot market sentiment is expected to remain strong. Attention should be paid to the downstream production schedule in September [106]. - **Futures Data**: The price changes of lithium carbonate futures, including the closing prices of different contracts and the spreads between contracts, are presented [107]. - **Spot Data**: The latest prices, daily changes, daily change rates, weekly changes, and weekly change rates of lithium - related spot are provided [109]. - **Inventory Data**: The inventory data of lithium carbonate, including warehouse receipts and social inventories, are provided [113]. 3.8 Silicon Industry Chain - **Daily View**: The industrial silicon market is expected to be in bottom - level volatility in the short term, and the polysilicon futures are expected to be volatile and strong [115]. - **Industrial Silicon**: - **Spot Data**: The latest prices, daily changes, and daily change rates of industrial silicon in different regions are presented, along with basis and spread data [116]. - **Futures Data**: The latest prices, daily changes, and daily change rates of industrial silicon futures are presented [117]. - **Related Data**: Various data such as price charts, basis seasonality, and production and inventory data are provided [118][120][132]. - **Polysilicon**: The polysilicon futures are in a typical volatile convergence stage, and the market may break through the current range. The industry integration is expected to support the market [115]. - **Price Data**: The price trends of polysilicon, silicon wafers, and related products are presented [122][123]. - **Inventory and Cost Data**: The inventory and cost data of polysilicon are provided [138][141].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the metals and new materials industry, emphasizing cyclical investment opportunities [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the dovish stance of Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, suggesting potential interest rate cuts that could benefit the metals sector [4]. - The report indicates a strong performance of the metals sector, with significant year-to-date increases in various metal prices, particularly small metals and energy metals [9]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with stable supply-demand dynamics in the new energy manufacturing sector, such as Huafeng Aluminum and Asia-Pacific Technology [4]. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 3.49%, while the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 4.57% [5]. - The non-ferrous metals index increased by 1.33%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.85 percentage points [5]. - Year-to-date, the non-ferrous metals index has risen by 38.60%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 27.34 percentage points [8]. Price Changes and Key Company Valuations - Industrial metals prices showed mixed results, with copper prices slightly decreasing by 0.24% and aluminum prices increasing by 0.67% [14]. - The report provides detailed price changes for various metals, indicating a general upward trend in precious metals like gold and silver [14]. - Key companies in the industry, such as Zijin Mining and Shandong Gold, are highlighted for their potential based on current valuations and market conditions [18]. Supply and Demand Analysis - The report notes that copper demand remains strong, with operating rates for electrolytic copper rods and wire and cable showing slight increases [33]. - Aluminum production is stable, with a reported operating rate of approximately 97.8% for electrolytic aluminum [50]. - The steel sector is experiencing a slight increase in production, but demand remains weak during the off-season [77].

2025.08. 24 以下是第一财经对一些重要公告的汇总，供投资者参考。 【品大事】 中国中铁：尖扎黄河特大桥施工事故原因正在调查中 中国中铁(601390)公告，8月22日3时10分左右，公司全资子公司中铁大桥局集团有限公司施工的 川青铁路青海段尖扎黄河特大桥，辅助钢梁架设的吊索塔架前端扣索突然崩断，截至目前造成12人 遇难、4人失联。目前，现场应急和搜救等相关工作正有序开展，事故原因正在调查之中。公司对此 次事故不幸遇难者表示沉痛哀悼，并对遇难者家属表达歉意。公司将深刻汲取教训，落实好企业主体 责任，妥善处理相关后续工作。尖扎黄河特大桥全长1596.2米，合同额约4.36亿元。此次事故不会 对公司生产经营及业绩产生重大影响。 格林美：拟发行H股并在香港联交所主板挂牌上市 格林美(002340)公告，公司拟发行H股股票并在香港联交所主板挂牌上市。 景旺电子：拟50亿元投建珠海金湾基地扩产项目 聚焦AI算力等高增长领域 景旺电子(603228)公告，公司拟投资建设珠海金湾基地扩产项目，预计总投资50亿元。经初步测 算，此次扩产投资项目税后投资回收期约为7.5年（含建设期），项目建设周期为2025年至2027 ...