晨会纪要 证券研究报告 2026 年 03 月 04 日 核心结论 分析师 【汽车】九号公司（689009.SH）首次覆盖报告：智能筑基，多元绽放 预计 25-27 年归母净利润 17.9/24.2/32.0 亿，对应 pe18.0/13.8/10.7X，把 握优质资产低估机会，首次覆盖给予"买入"评级。 【汽车】敏实集团（00425.HK）首次覆盖报告：电池盒欧洲出海贡献增量， 机器人&液冷&低空布局可期 我 们 预 计 2025-2027 年 公 司 营 收 分 别 为 261/301/348 亿 元 ， 同 比 +13%/+15%/+16% ， 归 母 净 利 润 27.2/32.3/37.3 亿 元 ， 同 比 +17%/+19%/+16%，对应当前 PE16.7/14.0/12.1X。首次覆盖，给予"买入" 评级。 【食品饮料】IFBH（6603.HK）2025 年报点评：主品牌维持增长，渠道开 拓持续推进 1）分销商网络由 3 个增至 7 个合作伙伴，Innococo 与中粮、屈臣氏等订立 策略性合作协议，渠道开拓持续推进。2）积极探索内地 OEM 合作，推动 精选产品线实现本地化生产。3）202 ...

Group 1: Industry Overview - The semiconductor industry is expected to maintain a high growth trend, driven by increased demand for optical modules, as evidenced by NVIDIA's investment of $2 billion each in Lumentum Holdings Inc. and another company to support new product development [4] - Price increases in the semiconductor sector are becoming widespread, with companies like STMicroelectronics raising prices by 20% for certain products due to rising raw material costs [4] Group 2: Company Performance - Ninebot Company reported a revenue of 21.325 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 50.2%, and a net profit of 1.755 billion yuan, up 61.8% year-on-year, driven by strong sales in electric two-wheelers and service robots [7] - The company faced temporary profit pressure in Q4 2025 due to currency exchange losses and tax provisions, but anticipates a recovery in Q2 2026 with plans to launch new electric products [7] Group 3: Cosmetics Industry Insights - The cosmetics industry in 2025 showed moderate domestic demand recovery and strong export performance, with retail sales reaching 465.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [8] - The total import and export value of cosmetics was $24 billion, with exports at $7.82 billion, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.2%, indicating a robust growth trajectory in emerging markets [8]

以下文章来源于晚点财经 ，作者晚点团队 晚点财经 . 用框架思维分析上市公司的增长逻辑与投资价值。 为行业将来可能的并购整合，提前谋划自己的资产武器。 文 丨 胡昊 受电动自行车新国标影响，目前整个市场正处于销量断档、经销商低库存、消费者观望的过渡调整阶 段，未来行业发展既存在结构上的确定性，也存在需求上的某种不确定。 前者是受新标准的技术参数限制，例如最高时速不超过 25KM/h、铅酸电池车型不超过 63 公斤、锂电 池车型不超过 55 公斤、塑料件占比不得超过整车质量的 5.5%、严防非法篡改、增加北斗定位模块、 增加防火阻燃性能等，新标准圈定了电动自行车的性能边际，提高了厂商的内部合规生产成本，直接 压缩了中小规模参与者的商业空间，未来供给端还将加速出清节奏，进一步稳固头部厂商的市场格 局。 后者是在新标准强制法律效力、产品性能被强约束、以及内部生产成本增长的多重影响下，需求端短 时间内普遍难以接受产品力的前后变化，有限的性能表现和更高的商品售价很可能会让消费者重新思 考一个更合适的日常出行方案，最终的结果不排除会出现市场销量整体萎缩的情况。 客观上，2025 年国内电动两轮车（包括电动自行车和电动摩托 ...

（3）我们认为行业的核心竞争要素从"价格竞争"到"产品升级"，竞 争态势从"全行业充分竞争"到"龙头集中"。诸如雅迪、爱玛、九号 的行业龙头企业通过利润率优势稳定刚需市场的基本盘，通过智能化 升级和用户心智培养发展不断扩容的智能车市场。未来的竞争会聚焦 于中高端市场，龙头企业"规模效应+产品升级-格局集中-盈利优势扩 大"的正向循环仍然持续，份额和盈利的相对优势会继续扩大。 | [Table_Grade] 行业评级 | 持有 | | --- | --- | | 前次评级 | 持有 | | 报告日期 | 2026-03-02 | [Table_Page] 深度分析|家用电器 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 家用电器行业 两轮车行业龙头集中，竞争从价格到产品 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： （2）2020-2025 年国内电动两轮车高级配置市场占比从 2%提至 14%， 3000-5000 元价格带成竞争焦点；龙头加码智能化，九号卡位差异化 中高端智能车赛道，雅迪和爱玛跟进智能车软件付费模式，同时布局钠 电池、智驾系统等新技术。 [Table_PicQuote] 相对市场表现 [分析师： T ...

雅迪冠能白鲨II外观采用仿鲨机甲美学设计与跑车级材质工艺，充分满足年轻群体对出行伙伴颜值的关 注。智能化领域全面跃升，带来更加便捷安全的出行体验。新车搭载雅迪自研的iRide智能系统，用户 可实现手机无感解锁、离车自动落锁、精准定位及多账号识别等无缝体验。6寸smart智慧屏支持全屏导 航，重要信息一目了然，省去安装手机支架的麻烦。手机蓝牙连接后，用户可通过车把按键控制音乐与 通话，操作更加专注安全。更为关键的是，其集成的方舟智能安控系统，囊括TCS2.0自动控制、HDC 陡坡缓降等多项高阶功能，将两轮电动车的安全守护提升至全新维度。"现代骐骥"雅迪冠能白鲨II，以 跃级智能科技，为用户带来更加便捷、安心的出行体验。 像这样从"节目观众"转变为"门店顾客"的用户不在少数。今年除夕，雅迪第五次登上央视春晚类节目舞 台，雅迪冠能白鲨II惊艳亮相。撒贝宁点赞其为"不吃草只充电的'现代骐骥'"；刘敏涛、伊能静等明星 围绕"骐骥"精神展开热烈讨论；科技博主范十三更以极客方式演绎雅迪智能交互，将现场气氛推向高 潮。雅迪"春晚同款"迅速引发社交平台火热讨论，相关话题#谁懂啊春晚骐骥竟然不是马#冲上微博、抖 音热搜。这样的全 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [13] Core Viewpoints - Aima Technology, as a leader in the electric two-wheeler industry, has a solid foundation and a clear growth path. The industry is in a mature stage dominated by replacement demand, with increasing market concentration due to new national standards raising compliance and technical barriers [4][11] - The company is actively cultivating two new growth curves: electric tricycles and overseas markets, leveraging its brand and channel advantages to increase market share [4][9] Industry Demand Trends and Competitive Advantages - The demand side is driven by replacement and structural upgrades. The domestic electric two-wheeler ownership is at a high level, with replacement demand becoming the main source of consumption. The market is entering a stable development phase [8][29] - The competitive landscape shows a clear trend towards concentration, with the "dual oligopoly" structure solidifying. The new national standards are expected to accelerate the exit of tail brands, releasing market share for leading companies [8][39] Future Growth Potential - The company is focusing on the electric tricycle market, which has high growth and profitability potential. The domestic market is fragmented, and Aima is expected to continue increasing its share [9][10] - In overseas markets, particularly Southeast Asia, there is significant growth potential due to low electric penetration rates and supportive policies [9][10] Asset Quality and Shareholder Returns - The company has a healthy asset structure with high cash reserves and low interest-bearing debt. As of Q3 2025, cash assets accounted for a significant portion of total assets, and the company has a low interest-bearing debt ratio of 6.87% [10][22] - The company has increased its cash dividend payout ratio to 45% in the first half of 2025, indicating a commitment to shareholder returns [10][22] Investment Recommendations - The company's main business is solid, and it is expected to strengthen its leading position in the industry. The report forecasts net profits of 2.294 billion, 2.568 billion, and 2.921 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.44, 10.22, and 8.99 times, respectively [11]

Core Viewpoint - Tailgating Technology, the third-largest player in the two-wheeled electric vehicle industry, has filed for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, marking its entry as the fifth Chinese two-wheeled electric vehicle manufacturer in the market. The company has shown impressive revenue growth, but faces significant competition and challenges in maintaining its market position [2][20]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 11.88 billion RMB in 2023 to 13.6 billion RMB in 2024, with profits increasing from 286 million RMB to 472 million RMB during the same period. In the first nine months of 2025, revenue reached 14.84 billion RMB, with profits at 822 million RMB and a profit margin of 5.5% [2][23]. - For the first nine months of 2025, Tailgating Technology reported a revenue of 14.84 billion RMB, a 38.7% increase from 10.7 billion RMB in the same period the previous year, with a gross profit of 2.16 billion RMB [7][23]. Market Position and Competition - Tailgating Technology's market position as the "third" player is under threat, with significant revenue gaps compared to industry leaders Yadea (28.2 billion RMB) and Aima (21.6 billion RMB). In the first three quarters of 2025, it was surpassed by the emerging competitor Ninebot, which achieved 18.4 billion RMB in revenue [3][10][20]. - The company holds a market share of approximately 5.2% in the global electric light vehicle market and about 12.7% in the domestic electric two-wheeler market, but faces increasing competition from new entrants focusing on smart technology [10][25]. Business Model and Challenges - Tailgating Technology has relied on a "low-margin, high-volume" business model, which has led to pressure on profit margins. The company's gross margin is reported at 13%, significantly lower than Yadea's 15.2% and Aima's 17.8% [11][26]. - The average selling price of Tailgating's electric bicycles is 1,393.7 RMB, which is lower than its competitors, indicating a focus on the mid-to-low-end market segment [11][26]. Corporate Governance and Executive Compensation - The company's board of directors has seen a significant increase in compensation, with total expected payments reaching approximately 26 million RMB for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2026, representing a fourfold increase from 6.49 million RMB in 2023 [20][30]. - The ownership structure remains stable, with the founding Sun brothers holding a combined 89.91% of the shares, ensuring control over the company's strategic direction [28][29].

Core Viewpoint - Tailling Technology Co., Ltd. has submitted its IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, aiming to become the third major player in the electric two-wheeler market to go public, following Yadea and Aima [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Tailling Technology ranks third in the Chinese electric two-wheeler market with a market share of approximately 12.7% as of 2024 [1] - The company reported revenues of 11.88 billion yuan in 2023, projected to increase to 13.6 billion yuan in 2024 and 14.84 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with a net profit of 286 million yuan in 2023 and 472 million yuan in 2024 [2] - The company has a strong domestic presence with 5,597 dealers and over 27,000 retail stores, contributing over 95% of its revenue [2] Group 2: Industry Challenges - The implementation of new national standards is pushing for higher compliance and product design requirements, posing challenges to Tailling's existing sales model [2][3] - The electric two-wheeler industry is experiencing intensified competition and a slowdown in overall growth, making strategic responses crucial for future performance [1] Group 3: Supply Chain and R&D - Tailling's supply chain is heavily reliant on domestic suppliers, with raw material costs constituting over 95% of sales costs, leading to potential risks from cost fluctuations [4] - The company has 607 dedicated R&D personnel, with R&D expenses accounting for about 2% to 2.2% of revenue, focusing on practical smart features and long-range technology [4][6] Group 4: Market Strategy - The company aims to balance functionality and cost in its product offerings, particularly targeting the price-sensitive lower-tier market [4][6] - Tailling is expanding its overseas market presence, having established a production base in Vietnam and 412 dealers, although overseas revenue is currently low at 2.4% of total income [8] Group 5: Future Outlook - The global electric two-wheeler market is projected to reach $74.9 billion in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 8.7% from 2025 to 2034, presenting growth opportunities for Tailling [7][8] - The company must navigate various risks in overseas expansion, including political environments, regulatory differences, and market acceptance [8]

Core Viewpoint - Anada is a high-tech enterprise specializing in electric drive systems, experiencing rapid growth and expanding into overseas markets, particularly in the electric two-wheeler sector, which is projected to continue its upward trajectory due to increasing demand for green transportation solutions [1][2][3]. Group 1: Business Development - Anada's main products include direct drive hub motors for electric bicycles, electric motorcycles, and electric scooters, with a reported revenue of 1.528 billion yuan and a net profit of 110 million yuan for the year 2024 [2]. - The implementation of the new national standard for electric bicycles in September 2025 is expected to accelerate the elimination of inefficient production capacity in the industry, creating replacement demand that will benefit leading companies like Anada [2]. - Anada has established stable strategic partnerships with leading domestic brands such as Yadea and Tailg, which is anticipated to enhance its market share [2]. Group 2: Future Outlook - The electric two-wheeler industry is expected to maintain rapid growth, supported by increasing global attention to green transportation, technological innovation, and improved levels of intelligence [3]. - Anada is exploring the robotics sector, particularly in lawn mowing robots, as a "second growth curve," leveraging its expertise in electric drive systems [4][5]. Group 3: International Expansion - Anada has been actively expanding its overseas market presence, with subsidiaries established in the Netherlands and Hungary, targeting the European electric bicycle market, which is projected to reach 5 million units by 2024 [6]. - The company’s products, primarily mid-mounted motors and controllers, are sold to well-known European brands and are distributed across several countries including the Netherlands, Germany, France, and Italy [6]. - Anada's U.S. subsidiary began operations in 2024, and a factory in Vietnam is set to commence production in the first half of 2025, further solidifying its international footprint [6][7]. - The company is investing approximately 523 million yuan in a smart manufacturing project in Shanghai, aimed at enhancing R&D capabilities and supporting the production of key components for its robotics initiatives [7].

Core Viewpoint - Longxin General (603766) is closely monitoring the development dynamics of the electric two-wheeler industry and is systematically advancing its business planning and layout in this sector [1] Group 1: Company Strategy - The company is leveraging its technological accumulation and industrial resources to actively explore new opportunities in the new energy mobility sector [1] - Longxin General aims to achieve an industrial vision of "one platform, multiple power sources, global layout" [1]