独角兽与蟑螂：受祝福的欺诈——迈克尔·布瑞 --- Unicorns and Cockroaches: Blessed Fraud Pattern Recognized 识别的模式 So, I found something interesting. I mentioned this on X not long ago, and since then I have been drawn into something much bigger than me. Let's start with what I found. 所以，我发现了一些有趣的事情。我不久前在 X 上提到过这个，从那以后，我被卷入了比我更 大的事情。让我们从我发现的开始。 The hyperscalers have been systematically increasing the useful lives of chips and servers, for depreciation purposes, as they invest hundreds of billions of dollars in graphics chips with ...

CoreWeave is becoming integral to AI infrastructure build-out.CoreWeave (CRWV 1.57%) is a critical company in the artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure build-out. It has essentially become a cloud computing platform that is solely focused on providing its clients access to the best AI computing hardware available. This focus has led to incredible growth, and it's only getting started.CoreWeave's growth is a compelling reason to buy the stock, but there is one glaring red flag that investors can't affo ...

Core Insights - Investing in AI infrastructure leaders like Amazon and Broadcom could yield significant returns as they are positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for AI and automation technologies [1][2]. Amazon - Amazon is a key player in the global AI infrastructure, holding a 29% market share in cloud computing as of Q3 [3]. - The company has doubled its data center capacity to 3.8 gigawatts in the past year and plans to double it again by 2027 [3]. - AWS achieved an annualized revenue run rate of $132 billion in Q3, with a backlog of $200 billion, which is expected to grow further [5][6]. - A notable partnership with OpenAI worth $38 billion will enhance AWS's revenue streams and validate its role in AI model training [6]. - Analysts project AWS growth of 25% in 2026, with each $15 billion added to its backlog translating to a 1 percentage point growth [7]. - Amazon's revenue is expected to rise from $714.4 billion in 2025 to $1.2 trillion by 2030, potentially leading to a market cap of nearly $4.1 trillion by the end of the decade [8]. - Current market capitalization stands at $2.36 trillion, indicating a potential appreciation of nearly 73% over the next five years [9]. Broadcom - Broadcom's custom accelerators and networking solutions are in high demand, leading to a 22% year-over-year revenue increase to $16 billion in Q3 [10]. - The company expects significant deployment of its XPUs by major hyperscaler customers, estimating a serviceable addressable market of $60 billion to $90 billion by 2027 [12]. - Broadcom has partnered with OpenAI to develop next-generation AI clusters, anticipating AI revenue growth exceeding 60% in fiscal 2026 [13]. - Networking products are crucial for AI clusters, enabling efficient data movement and communication [14]. - Broadcom's infrastructure software business is also a high-margin opportunity, contributing to its growth [15]. - Analysts forecast revenue growth from $63.3 billion in fiscal 2025 to $189.3 billion by fiscal 2030, with a potential market cap exceeding $3.2 trillion [16]. - Current market capitalization is nearly $1.72 trillion, suggesting a return of 68% to 86% over the next five years [17].

Core Insights - Berkshire Hathaway has acquired 17,846,142 shares of a prominent AI stock, valued at $4.3 billion, making it one of its top 10 holdings by value [1][2] - This marks a significant shift in Warren Buffett's investment strategy, as he has historically avoided AI stocks [1][2] - The recent purchase of Alphabet (Google's parent company) suggests a growing bullish sentiment towards AI within Berkshire Hathaway [8][11] Company Holdings - Berkshire's largest position remains in Apple, valued at over $60 billion, despite a previous peak of over $200 billion [4] - Berkshire has also held a multibillion-dollar position in Amazon since Q1 2019, with Amazon Web Services (AWS) being a key player in AI infrastructure [5] - The recent acquisition of Alphabet stock indicates that Berkshire now has three major companies with direct ties to AI: Apple, Amazon, and Alphabet [11] Investment Strategy - The decision to invest in AI stocks may not have been solely made by Buffett, as portfolio managers Todd Combs and Ted Weschler have been instrumental in previous significant purchases [6][9] - Buffett has expressed regret for not investing in Alphabet earlier, indicating a potential shift in his investment philosophy towards technology and AI [9][10]

Core Insights - Alibaba's transformation secret lies in focusing on user needs and cultivating core businesses independently without relying on acquisitions [3][8] - China's AI strategy prioritizes penetration rate over model performance, aiming for a 90% penetration rate of AI agents and devices by 2030 [3] - China has three major advantages in AI: 40% lower electricity costs, 60% lower data center construction costs, and the world's largest STEM talent pool [3][4][5][6] Group 1: China's AI Advantages - Electricity costs in China are 40% lower than in the U.S. due to significant investments in power transmission infrastructure over the past 15 years [4] - The cost of building a data center in China is 60% lower than in the U.S., excluding chip costs [5] - Nearly half of the global AI talent has a Chinese educational background, providing a unique advantage in the AI field [6] Group 2: Open Source vs. Closed Source - Open-source models are expected to outperform closed-source models due to cost-effectiveness, data sovereignty, and privacy concerns [7] - Alibaba's revenue model is based on cloud services rather than AI model fees, leveraging open-source models as a traffic entry point [7] Group 3: Alibaba's Evolution - Alibaba's evolution from a B2B e-commerce platform to an AI cloud computing company is driven by customer demand [8] - The company emphasizes organic growth over acquisitions, fostering a culture that aligns with its core values [8] Group 4: Skills for the Future - Young individuals should focus on three core skills: knowledge acquisition, analytical thinking, and the ability to ask the right questions [9] - Learning programming is still important, not for operating machines, but for developing critical thinking processes [9] Group 5: Career Directions - Recommended fields for future professionals include data science, psychology and biology, and materials science, reflecting the growing importance of data management and innovation in semiconductors [10] Group 6: AI Market Perspectives - There may be a financial bubble in AI, but the underlying technology is real and will not disappear, similar to the internet post-2000 bubble [13] Group 7: Cultural Exchange through Sports - Investment in sports, such as the Brooklyn Nets, is seen as a means of cultural exchange, promoting interaction between Chinese students and American high school students [14]

Core Insights - Berkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett, maintains a large equities portfolio valued at over $300 billion, demonstrating a commitment to core investing principles while exploring newer sectors [1][2]. Investment Focus - Berkshire Hathaway has invested significantly in the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, with nearly 24% of its portfolio allocated to just three of these companies [2]. - The three major holdings include Apple, Alphabet, and Amazon, which represent key areas of focus for the company [2]. Company Analysis Apple - Apple constitutes 21.3% of Berkshire's portfolio, with the initial investment made in 2016. The position was once as high as 40% [3]. - Concerns exist regarding Apple's AI strategy, but the company is expected to benefit from AI integration in its products [4]. - Despite being Berkshire's largest position, the company has sold 74% of its stake since early 2023, indicating a cautious approach amid market concerns [6]. - Apple has performed well during the AI sell-off due to its limited investment in AI infrastructure compared to peers, making it a long-term hold for investors [7]. Alphabet - Alphabet represents 1.8% of Berkshire's portfolio, with a new position initiated in the third quarter. The stock has been favored by hedge funds despite a challenging year [8]. - The U.S. Department of Justice's lawsuit against Google for monopolistic practices resulted in a weaker punishment than expected, allowing the company to continue normal operations [9]. - Alphabet's stock trades at about 30 times forward earnings, with strong growth potential in various sectors, including Google Cloud and YouTube [11]. Amazon - Amazon accounts for 0.7% of Berkshire's portfolio, with the initial purchase made in 2019 [13]. - The company operates a robust e-commerce platform and a significant cloud business, Amazon Web Services (AWS), which holds a 30% market share in the global cloud market [16]. - Amazon's stock trades at about 32 times forward earnings, reflecting its strong growth potential despite not being considered cheap [18].

Berkshire Hathaway holds Alphabet and Amazon in its portfolio.Warren Buffett might just be the greatest investor of all time. Between 1964 and 2024, Buffett's investment conglomerate, Berkshire Hathaway, generated an overall gain of 5,502,284% compared to the S&P 500's 39,054% appreciation.With such an epic performance, I think it's fair to say that when Buffett picks a stock for his portfolio, it's probably a good idea to try and understand what the Oracle of Omaha sees. While Berkshire has always limited ...

Amazon already is benefiting from its AI investments.When you think of Amazon (AMZN +1.77%), you may first think of shopping. After all, the company is an e-commerce giant that many of us turn to on a daily basis for groceries, essentials, and even access to books and movies. And this business has helped Amazon become a market powerhouse, delivering billions of dollars in revenue year after year.But another business is the company's profit driver, and that's cloud unit, Amazon Web Services (AWS). It's the w ...

Both of these stocks have underperformed in 2025. But they could crush the market in 2026 and beyond.After a big run-up in many tech stocks this year, many of Wall Street's darlings now trade at stretched valuations. But not all of Wall Street's most popular tech stocks have fully participated in this year's rally. Surprisingly, several names in the "Magnificent Seven" have underperformed the Nasdaq Composite's sharp gains -- and two look particularly attractive: Apple (AAPL +0.46%) and Amazon (AMZN +1.77%) ...

Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN) is one of the AI Stocks Making Headlines on Wall Street. On November 25, TD Cowen analyst John Blackledge reiterated a Buy rating on the stock with a $300.00 price target. The firm is optimistic on the stock and believes it is well-positioned amid surging AI demand and cloud infrastructure growth. Blackledge noted how Amazon’s AWS revenue accelerated to 20.2% year-over-year growth in the third quarter of 2025, up from 17.5% in the second quarter. Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:AM ...