GE Vernova (NYSE:GEV) Q4 2025 Earnings call January 28, 2026 07:30 AM ET Company ParticipantsKenneth Parks - CFOMichael Lapides - VP of Investor RelationsScott Strazik - CEOConference Call ParticipantsNone - AnalystNone - AnalystNone - AnalystNone - AnalystNone - AnalystNone - AnalystNone - AnalystNone - AnalystNone - AnalystOperatorGood day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to GE Vernova's fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. ...

GE Vernova (NYSE:GEV) Q4 2025 Earnings call January 28, 2026 07:30 AM ET Speaker2Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to GE Vernova's fourth quarter and full year 2025 earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. My name is Liz, and I will be your conference coordinator today. If you experience issues with the webcast slides refreshing or there appears to be delays in the slide advancement, please hit F5 on your keyboard to refresh. As a reminder, this conferenc ...

GE Vernova Inc. (NYSE:GEV) is one of the best AI energy stocks to buy now. Mixed Analyst Sentiment on GE Vernova (GEV) Amid Oversupply Concerns and PJM Emergency Auction Proposal On January 16, 2026, GE Vernova Inc. (NYSE:GEV) was cited as the clearest winner by Jefferies. The bullish stance comes amid reports that President Trump and several Northeastern US governors laid out a statement of principles for PJM Interconnection to conduct a backstop emergency auction. The move aims to improve electricity a ...

Group 1 - GE Vernova Inc. (NYSE:GEV) is projected to have strong earnings growth over the next 5 years, with a price target increase from $805 to $1,087 by GLJ Research, maintaining a 'Buy' rating [1] - Baird has reduced its price target for GE Vernova Inc. from $816 to $649 and downgraded the stock from 'Outperform' to 'Neutral', citing concerns over potential power capacity oversupply [1][2] - The company operates in the energy sector, providing products and services for generating, transmitting, converting, and storing electricity, and is structured into three segments: Power, Wind, and Electrification [3] Group 2 - Despite the tight market conditions, there are rising concerns about oversupply which is affecting investor sentiment towards GE Vernova Inc., leading to a more cautious near-term outlook [2] - There is a belief that certain AI stocks may offer better investment potential compared to GE Vernova Inc., indicating a competitive landscape in the investment market [4]

Summary of GE Vernova Investor Update - December 09, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: GE Vernova (NYSE: GEV) - **Industry**: Energy and Electrification Key Themes and Insights 1. **Growth Opportunities**: The company is experiencing accelerated growth driven by several factors including AI, U.S. reindustrialization, global industrial growth, electrification of buildings, and transportation [6][22][24] 2. **Infrastructure Challenges**: The transition to a larger market will take time due to the complexities of infrastructure development, permitting, and construction [6][7] 3. **Market Position**: GE Vernova is well-positioned with the largest installed base, providing over 50% of the electrons consumed in the U.S. and a third globally (excluding China) [7][8] 4. **Energy Market Dynamics**: The global energy market is valued at over $1.5 trillion, with only 20% currently from electric power. This proportion is expected to grow significantly [9][10] 5. **Contract Wins**: The company secured 18 gigawatts of new gas contracts in the current quarter, with expectations to end the year with approximately 80 gigawatts on contract [10][11] Financial Outlook 1. **Revenue Projections**: GE Vernova projects at least $52 billion in revenue by 2028, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 20% [17][38] 2. **Free Cash Flow**: Cumulative free cash flow is expected to reach $22 billion from 2025 to 2028, after investing $10 billion in capital expenditures and R&D [17][34] 3. **Capital Allocation**: The company plans to return $3.6 billion to shareholders in 2025, primarily through stock buybacks, and has increased its buyback program from $6 billion to $10 billion [20][35] Segment Performance 1. **Gas Power**: The gas power segment is expected to achieve a run rate of 20 gigawatts annualized by mid-2026, with significant productivity improvements anticipated [26][27] 2. **Electrification**: This segment is projected to grow mid-20% in 2025, with a backlog that has increased fourfold since the end of 2022 [18][30] 3. **Wind Energy**: While wind revenue is expected to decline, the company anticipates improved EBITDA losses in 2026 due to productivity gains [27][33] Strategic Initiatives 1. **Acquisitions**: The planned acquisition of Prolec GE is expected to enhance the company's capabilities in low voltage and grid reliability solutions [8][19] 2. **Nuclear Investments**: GE Vernova is actively working with the U.S. government to re-establish a nuclear industry, with a memorandum of understanding for up to $100 billion in small modular reactor (SMR) industrialization [14][48] 3. **Innovation and R&D**: The company is investing in new technologies such as carbon capture and solid-state transformers, with expectations for commercialization in the coming years [50][51] Cultural and Operational Focus 1. **Workforce Development**: GE Vernova emphasizes the importance of attracting young talent and fostering a strong company culture to drive future growth [52][53] 2. **Lean Operations**: The company is implementing lean practices across its manufacturing processes to enhance productivity and reduce costs [32][31] Conclusion - GE Vernova is positioned for significant growth in the energy sector, with a strong focus on electrification, gas power, and innovative technologies. The company aims to leverage its market position and operational efficiencies to achieve its ambitious financial targets by 2028 and beyond [58][59]

Summary of ABB Capital Markets Day Company Overview - **Company**: ABB - **Event**: Capital Markets Day - **Location**: New Berlin, Wisconsin Key Points and Arguments Company Performance and Strategy - ABB has made significant investments, exceeding $100 million, in its new site in New Berlin, which is a testament to its commitment to capital allocation and operational excellence [7] - The company emphasizes a high "say-do" ratio, reflecting its commitment to performance and accountability across its 16 operating divisions [9][10] - ABB aims for record-breaking performance year after year, fostering a culture of ambition and continuous improvement [11] - The company has set ambitious sustainability targets, aiming for an 80% reduction in scope one and two emissions by 2030, with current efforts already showing significant progress [12] Employee Engagement and Culture - Employee engagement is a priority, with an engagement score of 85% among its 110,000 employees, which is above industry standards [13][14] - ABB believes that high employee engagement contributes to overall success, creating a positive feedback loop between engagement and performance [14] Business Segments and Growth Areas - ABB operates in three main business areas: Electrification, Motion, and Automation, with a focus on leveraging synergies between these segments [22][23] - The company is committed to a balanced approach to growth, with a focus on both profitability and expansion, particularly in the automation sector [15][39] - ABB has identified six key areas for performance improvement, emphasizing the importance of a balanced mix of stability, profitability, and growth across its divisions [15][19] Market Trends and Future Outlook - The demand for electricity is expected to outpace overall energy consumption, with ABB positioned to capitalize on this trend through its electrification and automation technologies [34][35] - The company anticipates a quadrupling of electricity usage in data centers over the next seven years, indicating significant growth potential in this sector [37] - ABB projects a long-term organic revenue growth target of 5-7%, with additional growth from acquisitions [39][40] Financial Targets and Capital Allocation - ABB has set a target for a gross margin of over 40%, with specific margin targets for its business areas: Electrification (22-26%), Motion (18-22%), and Automation (14-18%) [41][60] - The company aims for a return on capital employed (ROCE) of 20%, reflecting its commitment to efficient capital management [42][63] - ABB's capital allocation strategy prioritizes organic growth, dividend sustainability, and value-adding acquisitions, with a focus on maintaining a balanced approach to shareholder returns [66][67] Technology and Innovation - ABB is committed to being a technology leader, continuously investing in R&D and leveraging new technologies such as AI to enhance customer productivity and sustainability [33][57] - The company emphasizes the importance of internal collaboration and technology sharing across its business areas to deliver comprehensive solutions to customers [24][26] Conclusion - ABB is well-positioned for future growth, with a strong focus on sustainability, employee engagement, and leveraging its technological capabilities to meet market demands [68] - The company is committed to delivering value to shareholders through disciplined capital allocation and ambitious performance targets [65][66]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the performance of the China Industrial Tech sector, focusing on various companies within the industry, particularly in the areas of AI, energy storage systems (ESS), and consumer electronics. Key Highlights 1. **3Q25 Results**: - The sector average revenue and operating profit increased by 18% and 17% year-over-year respectively, with results mostly in-line with expectations [1][2] - Notable performance drivers included: - Capacity buildout by major domestic PCB customers for AI applications, particularly Hans Laser [1] - Capital expenditures in batteries and consumer electronics [1] - Strong demand in AIDC power and ESS, along with export demand [1] - Liquid cooling technology advancements [1] - Market share gains in the industrial automation segment [1] - Effective cost control leading to margin improvements [1] - Expansion into new technology markets such as infrared [1] 2. **Challenges Faced**: - Smaller players struggled with scaling and profitability [1] - Prolonged capital expenditure weakness in process automation sectors like steel and chemicals [1] - Delays in defense orders impacting AVIC Jonhon [1] - Margin deterioration due to high exposure to precious metals [1] 3. **Margin Trends**: - Smaller companies like HCFA are more vulnerable in a deflationary environment with ASP pressure [2] - AVIC Jonhon faced margin deterioration due to precious metal price hikes [2] - Larger players like Sanhua achieved margin beats through stringent cost control [2] - Kstar's ESS segment gross profit margin improved by over 3 percentage points due to a favorable product mix [2] Actionable Investment Ideas 1. **Buy Recommendations**: - Hans Laser: Strong demand in PCB and consumer electronics [3] - Kstar: Beneficiary of AIDC power and overseas ESS growth [3] - Inovance: Resilient performance in industrial automation [3] - Nari Tech and Centre Testing: Defensive plays with stable margins [3] 2. **Sell Recommendations**: - Raycus: Limited military end-market sales [3] - Baosight: Continued weakness in domestic steel industry capex [3] - Sanhua-A: Potential profit-taking pressure due to optimistic market expectations [3] Sector Focus Areas 1. **AI Demand**: - Hans Laser is experiencing strong growth in PCB equipment sales driven by capex expansion from key customers like Victory Giant [6] - Kstar anticipates higher sales growth in data center products due to increasing orders from domestic and overseas customers [6] 2. **Energy Storage**: - Sungrow expects 40%-50% global ESS installation growth in 2026, driven by renewable energy needs and market-driven policies in China [7] - Kstar aims to double its ESS sales growth in 2025, supported by positive demand outlook [7] 3. **Consumer Electronics**: - OPT anticipates stronger demand due to shifts in product form factors, particularly with Apple's upcoming products [8] - Han's Laser is benefiting from solid demand for iPhone 17 and next-generation smartphone equipment [8] 4. **Overseas Expansion**: - Hongfa has a dominant market share in HVDC relays and is expanding capacity in Germany and Indonesia to meet EV demand [10] - Inovance is also expanding overseas to support sales growth in EV powertrain products [10] Additional Insights - The conference call highlighted the importance of product mix and cost control in maintaining margins amid challenging market conditions [2][3] - The outlook for the sector remains positive, particularly in AI and energy storage, despite some challenges faced by smaller players and specific sectors [6][7][8]

Core Insights - GE Vernova Inc. (NYSE:GEV) is recognized as one of the best-performing IPOs in the last two years, with a consensus rating of Buy from 35 analysts following positive second-quarter results and strategic acquisitions [1][3]. Financial Performance - For the second quarter of 2025, GE Vernova reported a revenue of $9.11 billion, reflecting an 11% increase compared to the same quarter in 2024 [2]. - The company's backlog has increased by over $5.2 billion sequentially, enhancing the stock's attractiveness [2]. - Since its IPO, GE Vernova has experienced a remarkable growth of 359.73% as of September 16, 2025 [3]. Strategic Moves - The acquisition of Proficy manufacturing software business by TPG for $600 million indicates GE Vernova's access to potential capital for future operations [2]. - GE Vernova is a spin-off of General Electric's energy businesses, founded in 2024, with a mission to electrify and decarbonize the world through a variety of power, wind, and electrification solutions [4].

Summary of GE Vernova Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: GE Vernova - **Industry**: Power and Utility, Clean Energy Key Points and Arguments Financial Performance - GE Vernova anticipates $50 billion in orders for 2025, up from $37 billion in revenue, indicating strong growth potential and attractive margins [5][11] - The company has secured 55 gigawatts of new capacity equipment units on contract, with expectations to approach 60 gigawatts by the third quarter [5][6] - The electrification segment has generated $600 million in orders year-to-date, with a target of at least $1 billion for the year [6][7] Business Segments - **Gas Power**: - The largest business segment, with a focus on both new contracts and service upgrades [21][27] - Anticipates adding at least 200 gigawatts of incremental installed capacity over the next decade, primarily for baseload operations [21][22] - **Electrification**: - Significant growth opportunities identified, particularly in regions like Saudi Arabia, Algeria, and Korea [7][33] - The company is focusing on co-creation with hyperscalers to develop solutions from power generation to rack systems [7][34] - **Wind**: - Facing challenges with profitability and market softness, particularly in onshore wind [8][9] - Expected revenue decline of 10% to 15% in 2026 compared to 2025 if order softness continues [10] Market Dynamics - The demand for energy is projected to grow exponentially, with a shift towards electrical power [13][14] - The company is positioned to benefit from a decade of action focused on electrification and decarbonization [14][18] - The electrification market is estimated to be between $125 billion and $150 billion, with GE Vernova currently capturing only a fraction of that [31][32] Competitive Positioning - GE Vernova maintains a historical market share of 40% to 50% in gas power, with strong positions in 60 Hz markets [30][32] - The company aims to gain market share in electrification, which has been underinvested in historically [32] Future Outlook - The company plans to reassess its 2028 financial targets, driven by better execution and a growing backlog [16][17] - Investments in grid software and nuclear energy are seen as long-term growth opportunities, with a focus on small modular reactors [39][41] Capital Allocation - GE Vernova has generated approximately $2.5 billion in capital through organizational simplification and plans to prioritize organic investments and shareholder returns [49][50] - The company is open to M&A opportunities that align with its core business strategy [52] Additional Important Insights - The company is focused on improving its wind business by investing in automation and service capabilities [25] - There is a strong emphasis on building relationships with customers to better leverage electrification solutions [35][36] - The company is optimistic about the future of its electrification segment, with significant investments planned for R&D [50][40]

Core Insights - ABB Ltd and Rockwell Automation, Inc. are key players in the industrial automation and electrification sectors, with ABB focusing on power and automation technologies while Rockwell is known for its industrial automation and information technologies [1][2] ABB Analysis - ABB's Process Automation segment is currently the strongest driver of its business, benefiting from robust project activity in marine, ports, and energy industries [3] - In Q2 2025, orders in the Process Automation segment increased by 45%, with revenues rising by 5% year over year, and a significant order worth $600 million was booked [4] - The Electrification segment is also performing well, with orders and revenues increasing by 11% and 14% respectively in Q2 [5] - The Motion segment saw orders and revenues rise by 5% and 6% year over year, supported by strong performance in commercial building HVAC and power generation markets [6] - However, the Robotics & Discrete Automation segment is facing challenges due to weak demand in chemicals, pulp & paper, and mining industries [7] - ABB's long-term debt increased to $8.26 billion from $6.65 billion at the end of 2024, with short-term debt surging by 90% [8] Rockwell Automation Analysis - Rockwell is expanding its portfolio of hardware and software products, benefiting from investments in cloud technologies [9] - The company's FactoryTalk Design Studio, which includes a copilot for automation system design, is an industry first and is expected to drive growth [9] - Rockwell's annual recurring revenues (ARR) grew in double digits in fiscal 2024 and are projected to grow by 10% in fiscal 2025 [13] - The company maintains a strong financial position, having repurchased 0.5 million shares for $129 million in Q2 2025 [14] - Rockwell's stock has appreciated by 28.9% over the past year, outperforming ABB's 18.7% increase [17] Financial Performance and Valuation - ABB's forward P/E ratio is 25.27X, while Rockwell's is higher at 31.49X, indicating that ABB may be more attractively valued [10][20] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for ABB's 2025 sales and EPS implies growth of 6.1% and 14.1% respectively, although EPS estimates have decreased recently [18] - In contrast, Rockwell's fiscal 2025 sales estimates indicate a decline of 1.8%, but EPS estimates show a 1% increase, with positive trends for both fiscal 2025 and 2026 [19] Conclusion - ABB's strengths in Electrification and Process Automation are offset by weaknesses in Robotics and high debt levels [22] - Rockwell's market leadership and investments position it for strong growth, making it a more favorable investment option compared to ABB [23][24]