ARMS 200 modular data center

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Is SMCI Stock the Next NVIDIA, and Is It Worth Buying?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-29 20:00
Core Insights - Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) has seen a significant share price increase of 97% in 2025, outperforming NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) which gained 31.6% [2][10] - The company has secured a $20 billion deal with Saudi Arabian data center operator DataVolt, enhancing investor confidence [4][10] - Supermicro's shares rose 10% following the announcement of a provisional patent for its ARMS 200 modular data center, with SMCI as the exclusive server supplier [2] Financial Performance - Supermicro's stock rebounded with a 60.8% increase after a new auditor confirmed the fairness of its financial statements, clearing it of fraud allegations [3] - In the March quarter, revenue growth fell short of expectations due to shipment delays of NVIDIA's Blackwell chips, but no delays are anticipated for the June quarter [5] - The company's non-GAAP gross margin for the fiscal 2025 third quarter was 9.7%, down from 11.8% in the previous quarter and 15.5% in the same quarter last year, indicating margin pressure [8] Market Position and Competition - Supermicro holds an 8% share in the AI server market, significantly lower than NVIDIA's over 80% share in the AI GPU market, making it premature to compare Supermicro to NVIDIA [7][10] - Major technology vendors are intensifying competition against Supermicro, which is affecting its margins [8] - The company has a debt-to-equity ratio of 38.1%, higher than the industry average of 32.5%, indicating greater financial risk [9] Future Outlook - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for SMCI's earnings per share (EPS) is projected at $2.07, down by 39.7% from a year ago, reflecting slowing EPS estimates amid tough competition [12]