风光储新能源龙头企业中东产能布局有望一石二鸟
中国饭店协会酒店&蓝豆云· 2024-07-22 08:42
Financial Data and Key Indicator Changes - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.2 to 1.4 billion yuan for the first half of 2024, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 7% to 42% in Q2 [61] - The company’s photovoltaic business achieved a shipment volume of 6.3GW, with a year-on-year increase of 3.3%, indicating profitability [61] - The company anticipates a total output of 6 to 6.5GW for large-scale energy storage in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of over 500% [42][61] Business Line Data and Key Indicator Changes - The energy storage business saw significant growth, with Q2 2024 delivery volume exceeding a 50% increase compared to Q1 2024 [61] - The photovoltaic segment continues to show strong performance, with a total installed capacity of 102.48GW in the first half of 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 30.7% [43] Market Data and Key Indicator Changes - In June 2024, the domestic photovoltaic market added 23.33GW of new capacity, with year-on-year and month-on-month growth rates of 35.6% and 22.5%, respectively [43] - The domestic wind power market added 6.08GW in June 2024, with a month-on-month growth of 108.2%, indicating a rapid recovery in the wind power sector [51] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on expanding its production capacity in the Middle East, leveraging strategic partnerships with local sovereign funds and industry players to mitigate trade barriers from Western countries [6][33] - The company aims to enhance its competitive edge in the global renewable energy market, particularly in energy storage and photovoltaic sectors [33] Management Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the robust demand in emerging markets such as India, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia, with significant year-on-year growth in exports of photovoltaic components [23][40] - The management expressed optimism about the future growth potential in the energy storage market, supported by a strong order backlog of 56GWh [42][61] Other Important Information - The wind power sector is experiencing a resurgence, with major projects being signed in Europe, showcasing the global competitiveness of Chinese wind turbine manufacturers [69] - The company is also involved in significant projects in Saudi Arabia, including a record-breaking 7.8GWh energy storage project [16][33] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for the energy storage market in the coming years? - The energy storage market is expected to see explosive growth, with the company projecting a year-on-year increase of over 500% in large-scale storage output for 2024 [42][61] Question: How is the company addressing the challenges posed by trade barriers? - The company is strategically partnering with local entities in the Middle East to navigate trade barriers and expand its market presence [6][33] Question: What is the outlook for the photovoltaic segment? - The photovoltaic segment is expected to continue its strong performance, with significant growth in installed capacity and export demand from emerging markets [23][43]
新易盛()受益于算力高景气度,业绩持续高增
AIRPO· 2024-07-22 08:40
证券研究报告·A 股公司简评 通信设备 受益于 AI 算力高景气度,业 绩持续高增 核心观点 公司预计上半年归母净利润 8.1 亿元-9.5 亿元,同比增长 181%- 229%;按照预告中值,公司 24H1 归母净利润为 8.8 亿元,同比 增长 205%,环比增长 120%。AI 行业发展快速,景气度较高,对 网络硬件性能要求较高,网络带宽能够有效提升数据传输效率, 从而显著提升算力集群的算力水平,因此 400G/800G/1. 6T 等高 速率光模块的需求保持强劲。公司作为全球高速光模块行业的头 部厂商,与海外科技巨头客户保持深度绑定,同时不断开拓新客 户,海外产能布局进展顺利。公司 800G 和 1.6T 等高速率产品进 展顺利,有望获取更多的市场份额,业绩实现快速增长。 事件 公司发布 2024 半年度业绩预告,2024 上半年,公司预计实现归 母净利润 21.5-25 亿元,同比+250.3%-307.33%,预计实现扣非后 的归母净利润 21-24.5 亿元,同比+260.13%-320.15%。 简评 1、业绩增速较快,客户侧开拓不断突破,海外产能布局顺利。 公司发布 2024 中报预告,预计 ...
歌尔股份20240721
-· 2024-07-22 07:45
歌尔股份20240721_原文 2024年07月22日 00:04 发言人 00:00 邀请大家来参加我们本次关于苹果AI系列的第七天的汇报。这次的主题话跟跟大家汇报一下高尔股份的 一个观点。我们这次的话其实这个前提是在于说,我们第一个看到这个公司的业绩实现了季度性的比较 超预期的一个表现。跟历史的一个相对不错的盈利能力也是比较接近了。 发言人 00:24 第二个的话就是在于这个AI方向上面。我们知道像大语言模型的话,其实对于音频技术的一个要求也是 比较高的,公司在这块的建设也是颇深。其次的话就是公司自己的也这个技术能力上面,也在从语音开 始去往上光学这些期间去走。所以公司在下一代的这种AI交互设备的载体,比如说像AR这个方向上也有 很多的一个积累。所以我们能看到AI技术技术的一个发展,不管是在现有代替,比如说智能手机,还是 说像AI这些产品上面,公司未来都会有比较大的机遇去受益于这样的一个趋势。借由这样的一个机会的 话,我们邀请大家来聆听我们这场关于高尔的这样的一个深度的汇报。主要的话时间交给我们的电子分 析师金玲老师,来去做一个深度的讲解。 发言人 01:29 好的,各位领导晚上好,我是书安电子的精灵。然 ...
智微智能
天风证券· 2024-07-21 16:21
公司报告 | 首次覆盖报告 1、工控:工控领域发展自主品牌,盈利能力有望进一步提升 2、AI:公司具备 AI 设备核心技术,有望充分受益于 AI 浪潮 硬件端,AI PC 快速发展,公司和英特尔深厚的合作基础,有望让公司在英 特尔推进 AI PC 的过程中继续保持深度合作,受益于 AI PC 的发展进程。超 微电脑作为海外 AI 硬件龙头,充分受益于 AI 浪潮。公司产品矩阵和超微 电脑接近,有望对标超微电脑在 AI 浪潮下迎来新一轮增长。 风险提示:AI 服务器需求不及预期的风险;开源鸿蒙 PC 落地不及预期的 风险;工业物联网发展不及预期的风险;行业竞争加剧的风险;预测假设 具有一定主观性;该标的近期股价波动较大。 公司是国内领先的智联网硬件产品及解决方案提供商,商业模式不断迭 代。公司的商业模式逐渐迭代,从 ODM 模式变成以生产工业物联网产品 为代表的自主品牌产品,公司产品核心竞争力持续提升。 我们判断,智微智能工控业务向自主品牌发展,有望受益于国内和全球的 工业智能化进程,走上和全球工控龙头企业研华科技类似的高速增长道路。 软件端,AIGC 发展迅速,催生 AI 服务器需求增加。美国政府限制 AI ...
大会《二十届三中全会公报》对A股市场投资的战略指导
银河证券· 2024-07-21 13:29
| 国银河证券 | CGS 《二十届三中全会公报》对 A 股市场投资的战略指导 分析师:杨超 研究助理:王雪莹、周美丽 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 诸务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免费声明 策略研究 · 专题报告 《二十届三中全会公报》对 A 股市场投资的战略指导 核心观点: 《二十届三中全会公报》主要内容:二十届三中全会于 2024 年 7 月 15 日 o 至 18 日召开,审议通过了《中共中央关于进一步全面深化改革、推进中国式 现代化的决定》。(1)关于目标:全会指出,进一步全面深化改革的总目标 是继续完善和发展中国特色社会主义制度,推进国家治理体系和治理能力现 代化。到二○三五年,全面建成高水平社会主义市场经济体制,中国特色社会 主义制度更加完善,基本实现国家治理体系和治理能力现代化,基本实现社会 主义现代化,为到本世纪中叶金面建成社会主义现代化强国奠定坚实基础。到 二○二九年中华人民共和国成立八十周年时,完成本决定提出的改革任务。 (2)对进一步全面深化改革的系统部署:强调构建高水平社会主义市场经济 体制,健全推动经济高质量发展体制机制,构建支持全面创新体制 ...
光伏2024年光伏中期策略报告:各环节开始出清 静待修复,新技术加速渗透证券
东吴证券国际经纪· 2024-07-21 13:29
Financial Data and Key Indicators Changes - The global photovoltaic (PV) installed capacity is expected to reach 490GW in 2024, representing a 21% year-on-year increase, with domestic demand projected to grow steadily [2][14] - The domestic market is anticipated to add 240GW in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 11%, while the first five months of 2024 saw a 29.3% increase in new installations [14][16] Business Line Data and Key Indicators Changes - The silicon material sector is expected to produce over 2 million tons in 2024, with prices dropping to 35,000-40,000 RMB per ton, indicating a significant decline in profitability [2] - The inverter market is benefiting from the rise in energy storage and overseas markets, with a notable increase in demand from emerging markets [2][16] Market Data and Key Indicators Changes - In the first quarter of 2024, ground-mounted installations accounted for 47.9% of new capacity, with significant contributions from commercial and residential sectors [9] - The average bidding price for components has dropped below 0.9 RMB/W, with N-type and bifacial modules gaining market share [8][9] Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - The industry is entering a phase of supply clearing, with overcapacity in the main supply chain leading to pressure on profitability, particularly in the silicon wafer and module manufacturing sectors [2][4] - The company is focusing on new technologies such as N-type cells and perovskite materials to enhance efficiency and reduce costs, with expectations for significant advancements in the coming years [2][4] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the high growth phase for PV demand has passed, and the industry is now entering a period of stable growth, with supply-demand balance expected to improve [6][14] - The management expressed concerns about potential policy changes and competition intensifying, which could impact future growth [2][4] Other Important Information - The company highlighted the importance of technological innovation in maintaining competitive advantages, particularly in the inverter and auxiliary materials sectors [2][4] - Risks include intensified competition, grid absorption issues, and unexpected changes in PV policies that could affect new installation volumes [2][4] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the expectations for the domestic PV market in 2024? - The domestic market is expected to add 240GW in 2024, with a steady growth trajectory despite potential short-term bottlenecks due to grid absorption issues [14] Question: How is the company addressing the challenges in the silicon material sector? - The company is monitoring the price trends closely and is prepared to adjust production levels in response to market conditions to mitigate profitability pressures [2] Question: What are the key technological advancements the company is focusing on? - The company is investing in N-type cell technology and perovskite materials, which are expected to enhance efficiency and reduce costs significantly in the near future [2][4]
智能驾驶+汽车智能化系列之七:Robotaxi风起,产业正循环时代加速到来证券
东吴证券国际经纪· 2024-07-21 13:28
Financial Data and Key Indicators Changes - The overall market size of China's automotive travel industry is projected to grow steadily, with an estimated market size of 8.54 trillion yuan in 2023, increasing to 9.30 trillion yuan by 2030 [11] - The penetration rate of shared travel is expected to rise from 5.3% in 2023 to 6.0% by 2030, indicating a growing trend towards shared mobility solutions [11] Business Line Data and Key Indicators Changes - The B-end shared travel market size is forecasted to reach 4.56 trillion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5% [11] - The Robotaxi market size is expected to grow significantly, with projections of 0.5 billion yuan in 2026 and reaching 4161 billion yuan by 2030, capturing a substantial share of the shared travel market [11] Market Data and Key Indicators Changes - The number of registered ride-hailing drivers in China increased from 4.07 million in March 2022 to 7.03 million by May 2024, reflecting a strong demand for shared mobility services [8] - The private car ownership is projected to peak by 2028, with the Robotaxi market expected to replace a significant portion of this segment [10] Company Strategy and Development Direction and Industry Competition - The industry is witnessing a shift towards AI-driven smart transformation, with Robotaxi emerging as a preferred direction for commercialization [3] - Companies like Tesla are positioned as leaders in the Robotaxi space, leveraging self-developed driving software and hardware solutions to create a positive cycle of technology, traffic, and profitability [2] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The management emphasizes that the combination of policy support, technological advancements, and operational improvements will drive the scalability of Robotaxi services, with 2026 anticipated as a pivotal year for mass production [2] - The management also highlighted the importance of reducing operational costs and improving efficiency through the deployment of Robotaxi services [45] Other Important Information - The Robotaxi industry is supported by various government policies aimed at promoting smart transportation and the integration of vehicle-road-cloud systems [12] - The competitive landscape includes major players like Baidu and various OEMs, all vying for market share in the burgeoning Robotaxi sector [30] Q&A Session Summary Question: What are the key drivers for the growth of the Robotaxi market? - The growth is primarily driven by policy support, technological advancements in autonomous driving, and the operational efficiency of Robotaxi services [2][3] Question: How does the company view the competition in the Robotaxi space? - The company acknowledges the competitive landscape but believes that its technological edge and strategic partnerships will position it favorably against competitors [30] Question: What are the anticipated challenges for Robotaxi deployment? - Key challenges include regulatory hurdles, the need for a standardized approval process, and the establishment of clear liability frameworks for autonomous vehicles [48]
生猪专题:猪周期到哪了?板块预期差在哪里?证券
天风证券· 2024-07-21 13:28
行业报告 | 行业深度研究 证券研究报告 2024年07月16日 生猪专题:猪周期到哪了?板块预期差在哪里? 作者: 分析师 吴立 SAC执业证书编号:S1110517010002 分析师 陈潇 SAC执业证书编号:S1110519070002 联系人 陈炼 行业评级: 上次评级: 强于大市 ( 评级) 维持 强于大市 1 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和免责申明 ➢ 猪周期到哪了?板块预期差在哪里? 一、 供需展望:供需剪刀差放大,重视大周期 1)供应端:①生猪理论供应量持续减少。本轮全国能繁母猪存栏量累计最大去化约11%(截止2024年5月),上一轮周期(2021-22年)农业部累计最 大去化幅度为9%(对应22年周期猪价高点28元/kg+),三元母猪淘汰优化极大弥补了21年实际产能去化,而近两年行业效率未出现大幅提升,今年生猪 供应压力或持续缓解;②活体库存正常。今年行业二育多为滚动出栏(行业对猪价谨慎看好,且二育头均盈利水平较为理想),截止7月11日,150kg以 上生猪出栏占比仅为4.89%,处于近几年较低位,大猪库存处于正常状态。③冻品压力有限。自23年10月来,每月进口猪肉量均低于10万吨/月,为 ...
五粮液重新认识五粮液证券
长城证券· 2024-07-21 13:28
证券研究报告 | 公司深度报告 2024 年 07 月 08 日 五粮液(000858.SZ) 重新认识五粮液 | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | |--------------------|--------|--------|--------|---------|---------| | 财务指标 | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | 营业收入(百万元) | 73,969 | 83,272 | 91,674 | 102,033 | 114,277 | | 增长率 yoy(%) | 11.7 | 12.6 | 10.1 | 11.3 | 12.0 | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 26,690 | 30,211 | 33,874 | 38,298 | 43,581 | | 增长率 yoy(%) | 14.2 | 13.2 | 12.1 | 13.1 | 13.8 | | ROE(%) | 24.0 | 23.8 | 23.7 | 23.4 | 23.1 | | EPS 最新摊薄(元) | 6.88 | 7.78 | 8. ...
百奥泰20240718
-· 2024-07-20 04:44
Financial Data and Key Metrics - The company has already put into production 30,500L capacity, with an additional 36,000L capacity expected to be completed by the end of July [5] - The global biopharmaceutical market is projected to reach approximately $70 billion in the next 5 years, with 60% in the US, 30% in Europe, and 10% in other regions [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics - TOFIDENCE (tocilizumab injection) and Avzivi® (bevacizumab injection) are being commercialized in Europe and the US, with pricing strategies differing from competitors [3] - BAT8006, a FRα ADC product, has shown superior anti-tumor activity in platinum-resistant ovarian cancer patients with FRα expression levels of TPS≥1% [19] - Betanine® (bevacizumab citrate injection) has shown a 43% risk reduction in clinical studies compared to 16% for similar products [12] Market Data and Key Metrics - The US is the primary market for biologics, with recent FDA and CMS policies favoring the rapid entry of biosimilars into the market [6] - TOFIDENCE began sales in the US in May, with market expansion expected to take time [15] Company Strategy and Industry Competition - The company is preparing to compete in global markets, particularly in the face of potential centralized procurement in China [1][9] - The company is focusing on expanding its production capacity and preparing for market entry of new products [5][12] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - The company believes that the biopharmaceutical sector will be less affected by US election outcomes, as the focus is more on industries like electric vehicles and electronics [13] - The company is optimistic about the supportive policies for innovative drugs and biopharmaceuticals in China, particularly in Guangzhou [14] Other Important Information - BAT8006 received FDA IND approval in March for Phase II clinical trials in platinum-resistant epithelial ovarian cancer, fallopian tube cancer, or primary peritoneal cancer [8] - The company is exploring the feasibility of combining BAT8006 with bevacizumab and PD1 for treatment [8] Q&A Session Summary Q1: Impact of potential US tariffs on Chinese goods and company strategy - The company is prepared to compete in centralized procurement scenarios, focusing on production cost competitiveness [1] Q2: Future centralized procurement possibilities for adalimumab and bevacizumab - The company is considering global market competition and preparing for potential centralized procurement [9] Q3: Support measures for innovative drugs in China - The company highlights supportive policies at both national and local levels, particularly in Guangzhou [14] Q4: Sales progress of tocilizumab and bevacizumab in Europe and the US - The company notes that pricing strategies differ from competitors and that market expansion will take time [3][15] Q5: Impact of US-China relations on BD transactions and agreements - The company has not observed any significant impact on BD transactions due to US-China relations [2] Q6: Current and future production capacity - The company has 30,500L capacity in production and expects to complete an additional 36,000L by the end of July [5] Q7: Sales strategy and pricing for tocilizumab and bevacizumab in Europe and the US - The company's partners determine the commercialization strategy, with pricing differing from competitors [3] Q8: Market share in regions outside the US - The company did not provide specific details on market share outside the US [17] Q9: Timeline for biosimilar entry into the US market - It may take six months or more for a biosimilar to enter the US market after approval, with additional time needed to gain market share [20] Q10: Commercialization plans for bevacizumab - The company did not provide specific details on commercialization plans for bevacizumab [4] Q11: Market sales expectations for bevacizumab - The company notes uncertainty in market expectations due to factors like医保准入 [21] Q12: Advantages of FRα ADC and future clinical development plans - BAT8006 has shown superior anti-tumor activity and safety in early data, with plans for further clinical trials [19]