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我的观点不会改变 ,仍然看跌超微电脑!
美股研究社· 2025-03-27 11:55
Core Viewpoint - Supermicro (NASDAQ: SMCI) is currently in a period of uncertainty, with significant fluctuations in its stock price and concerns regarding its internal controls and management continuity [1][5]. Group 1: Company Performance and Financials - Supermicro's stock price has been volatile, rising to $56 in February before dropping to around $40 [1]. - The company reported a net profit margin of only 5.6%, which is half of what it was in October 2022, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability [8][10]. - The company's valuation is low, trading at 0.9 times its next twelve months (NTM) sales, which may attract interest despite the risks [5][8]. Group 2: Management and Governance - Approximately 60% of the board members in 2025 were the same as in 2020, a period marked by significant issues for the company, raising concerns about trust in the current management [3][4]. - The company has a new management team, but there are still unresolved issues from the past that could affect investor confidence [4][5]. Group 3: Audit and Compliance - Supermicro's recent 10-K report submission on February 25 has restored some investor confidence, but the company admitted to deficiencies in its internal control systems [1][5]. - Analysts express skepticism regarding the appointment of BDO as the company's auditor, as larger firms typically audit publicly traded companies [5]. - There are ongoing concerns about potential investigations by the Department of Justice and the implications of any findings [8][11]. Group 4: Market Conditions and Competition - The company faces significant competitive pressure, which has contributed to a decline in profit margins over the past 2.5 years [7][10]. - Analysts highlight the importance of efficiency and pricing power in the current market environment, which Supermicro is struggling to maintain [9][10].