锑价触底反弹预期

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中信建投:钨价内外盘再创新高,供需紧张态势维持
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-08-14 23:39
Group 1 - The price of tungsten products is reaching new highs due to a decrease in supply influenced by the first batch of tungsten concentrate quotas and environmental inspections in China [1] - The increase in tungsten production from foreign mines such as Sandong and Dolphin is below expectations, while the Bakuta tungsten mine has started production but lacks local smelting capacity, necessitating transportation back to China for smelting before export [1] - The overall balance sheet for tungsten is tight, with a more pronounced supply gap overseas compared to domestic markets, leading to an optimistic price outlook [1] Group 2 - Antimony prices in the domestic market have nearly bottomed out, with the Ministry of Commerce responding to export license applications for antimony, indicating compliance reviews will be conducted [1] - Downstream terminal demand is currently at a low point, but expectations for reduced production in photovoltaic glass have been realized, and the traditional peak season for flame retardants is approaching in September and October [1] - If export demand recovers effectively alongside the upcoming peak season for flame retardants, it is expected to significantly boost domestic antimony prices [1]