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Latham (SWIM) - 2024 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-03-05 03:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Net sales for Q4 2024 were $87 million, down 4% from $91 million in Q4 2023, reflecting lower volumes due to industry softness [22] - Full year net sales were $509 million, down 10% from $566 million in the prior year, primarily due to lower sales volume [26] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 was $4 million, down 63% from $10 million in the prior period, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 4%, a decline of 670 basis points year over year [25] - Full year adjusted EBITDA was $80 million, compared to $88 million in the prior year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 15.8%, up 30 basis points from 15.5% in 2023 [29] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In-ground pool sales for Q4 were $44 million, down 5% from Q4 2023, while cover sales were $31 million, down 2% [22] - Full year in-ground pool sales were $259 million, down 13% year over year, but above the estimated 15% decline in in-ground pool starts in the US [26] - Liner sales for the full year were $180 million, down 8%, and cover sales were $131 million, down 7% [27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Fiberglass pools represented 24% of US pool starts in 2024, up from 23% in 2023, indicating increased market penetration [7] - Approximately 17% of Latham Group's total fiberglass pool sales in 2024 were in the sand states, which account for about two-thirds of US pool starts [12] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on expanding market share in the sand states (Florida, Texas, Arizona, California) and increasing fiberglass pool penetration [11] - Key priorities include expanding the dealer base, targeting master-planned communities, aligning product offerings with market demand, and addressing marketing campaigns specifically to consumers and builders in those markets [13] - The company plans to launch new fiberglass pool models tailored to the preferences of consumers in the sand states [13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed cautious optimism about the operating environment, noting that while industry conditions are challenging, they expect to outperform the market in 2025 [20] - The company anticipates that new US pool starts in 2025 will be similar to 2024 levels, but they are prepared to ramp up quickly if market demand increases [19] - Management highlighted the importance of strategic investments in growth initiatives, particularly in fiberglass pools and automatic safety covers [11] Other Important Information - The company ended 2024 with a strong financial position, including a cash position of $56 million and total debt of $282 million [30] - Capital expenditures for 2024 were $20 million, with projections for 2025 to be in the range of $27 million to $33 million [36] Q&A Session Summary Question: Breakdown of the 8% sales growth guidance - Management indicated that the 8% sales growth is expected to come from approximately 3% from the full-year run rate effect of acquisitions and about 5% from organic growth [43][44] Question: Feedback from dealers in the sand states - Management reported positive feedback from dealers, with many indicating that their backlogs are flat or up compared to the previous year, and noted a 40% increase in leads from the Goosa campaign in Texas [48][50] Question: Exposure to tariffs and impact on business - Management stated that the tariff impact is limited, with around $15 million in material buys from affected countries, and emphasized their diversified supplier base to mitigate risks [59][60] Question: Effectiveness of the sand state strategy - Management acknowledged that fiberglass penetration in the sand states is significantly below the national average, presenting a substantial growth opportunity [75] Question: EBITDA margin guidance and tariff implications - Management confirmed that the guidance includes considerations for tariffs, with a focus on maintaining gross margin performance through operational efficiencies [121][130]