When someone looks at Colgate-Palmolive Company ( CL ) only through the products it sells, it is easy to underestimate it. Toothpaste, body wash, dish liquid. It all seems very basic. But when we looked deeper into how the business actually moves, especially how it connectsThere are many ways sell-side analysts try to find a company’s “fair” value — some useful, others pure illusion. The DCF method is like a massive LEGO set: every tiny assumption has to fit just right, and it opens the door to bias — overc ...

When someone looks at Colgate-Palmolive Company ( CL ) only through the products it sells, it is easy to underestimate it. Toothpaste, body wash, dish liquid. It all seems very basic. But when we looked deeper into how the business actually moves, especially how it connectsThere are many ways sell-side analysts try to find a company’s “fair” value — some useful, others pure illusion. The DCF method is like a massive LEGO set: every tiny assumption has to fit just right, and it opens the door to bias — overc ...

Core Insights - Emerson Electric Co. has experienced poor momentum over the last three months, receiving a D+ momentum grade for the period [1] Valuation Methods - Various methods exist for sell-side analysts to determine a company's "fair" value, including DCF, multiples approach, and reverse valuation [1] - The DCF method requires precise assumptions, which can lead to biases, while the multiples approach assumes peer companies are fairly priced, a notion often unsupported by historical data [1] - Reverse valuation starts from the market price and discount rate, revealing the free cash flow assumptions embedded in the price, providing a direct reality check on market beliefs [1] Free Cash Flow Analysis - A Free Cash Flow to Equity (FCFE) model is utilized to assess what truly belongs to shareholders, calculated as Earnings + Amortization – CAPEX – average acquisition cost = FCFE [1] - The analysis disregards working capital and debt changes, focusing on three key numbers: earnings, amortization, and investments [1] Forecasting Approach - The H-model is applied for forecasts, featuring a 10-year two-stage growth fade with terminal growth equal to the risk-free rate, represented by the 10-year government bond yield [1] - All cash flows are discounted using the cost of equity, calculated as RFR × beta + 5% ERP, resulting in a clear picture of the business's true worth [1]