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Time to Buy Dillard's (DDS) Stock After Black Friday
ZACKS· 2025-12-01 21:21
Core Viewpoint - Dillard's (DDS) is highlighted as a strong retail stock to consider, especially following record Black Friday sales in the U.S., and it currently holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) due to impressive earnings and optimism related to Federal Reserve rate cuts [1]. Company Performance - Dillard's stock has increased over 50% year-to-date, driven by earnings that have consistently surpassed analyst expectations [1]. - The company trades at a high price of over $600 per share, but its profitability and digital presence suggest potential for further growth [2]. Business Model - Dillard's unique business model, which involves owning most of its stores rather than leasing, contributes to its exceptional profitability by reducing rent expenses and stabilizing costs [5]. - The company has pursued a long-term, debt-averse expansion strategy focused on real estate ownership since its founding in 1938 [5]. Financial Metrics - Dillard's boasts a 20% return on invested capital (ROIC), significantly above the preferred range of 10-15% for department store chains [6]. - The company has a free cash flow conversion rate of 108%, indicating strong ability to convert profits into cash for reinvestment or shareholder returns [6]. Earnings Projections - EPS revisions for fiscal 2026 have increased by 5% in the last 30 days, from $30.92 to $32.61, while FY27 EPS estimates have risen over 6% from $28.10 to $29.93 [7]. - Current EPS estimates for the upcoming quarters are 9.84 for Q1 2026 and 9.20 for Q2 2026, reflecting positive trends in earnings expectations [8]. Valuation - Dillard's stock trades at a forward earnings multiple of 20X, which is considered reasonable compared to its profitability, and it is at a slight P/E discount to Kohl's and not at a stretched premium to Macy's [8]. Market Outlook - Dillard's is positioned to benefit from a record-breaking holiday shopping season, as indicated by strong Black Friday sales, suggesting continued strong performance in the retail sector [11].
Buy, Hold, or Take Profits in Netflix Stock After Q2 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-07-18 20:50
Core Viewpoint - Investors showed a lukewarm response to Netflix's Q2 report despite favorable results, with the stock down 5% in morning trading after a significant year-to-date increase of over 30% and nearly 500% over the last three years [1][2]. Group 1: Q2 Financial Performance - Netflix's Q2 net income reached $3.13 billion or $7.19 per share, exceeding the Zacks EPS Consensus of $7.07, with a year-over-year EPS increase of 47% from $4.88 in Q2 2024 [3]. - Q2 sales totaled $11.07 billion, a 16% increase from the previous year, although slightly missing estimates of $11.08 billion [3]. - The operating margin improved to 34.1%, up from 24% a year ago, and free cash flow surged 91% to $2.3 billion [3]. Group 2: Subscriber Growth - Netflix is estimated to have added 5.1 million new net subscribers in Q2, which is below the forecast of 6 million and down from 8.05 million in Q2 2024 [5]. - Total subscribers have surpassed 300 million, bolstered by global reach, a strong content pipeline, and growth in the ad-tier service, maintaining a lead over competitors like Disney and Amazon [7]. Group 3: Revenue Guidance and Margin Outlook - Netflix raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $44.8-$45.2 billion from a previous forecast of $43.5-$44.5 billion, with a projected 14% growth this year [8]. - The operating margin guidance was slightly increased from 29% to 29.5%, although analysts expected a range of 30-31% [9]. Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Netflix's forward P/E ratio stands at 50X, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 24X and also above Disney's 21X and Amazon's 35X [11]. - The elevated valuation may have contributed to the muted excitement surrounding the Q2 results, as investors anticipated more substantial upside surprises [13]. Group 5: Investment Outlook - Netflix currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), with growth expectations already reflected in the stock price, yet the forecast indicates over 20% EPS growth for FY25 and FY26, suggesting potential for the stock to align with its high P/E valuation [13].
Were Nike's Q4 Results Good Enough to Rebound Its Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-27 00:36
Core Viewpoint - Nike's stock has experienced significant declines over the past few years, with a 17% drop in 2025 and a 44% decrease over the last three years, underperforming the S&P 500 and rival Adidas [1][3]. Group 1: Q4 and Full Year Results - Nike reported Q4 sales of $11.1 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus of $10.71 billion, but this represented a 12% decline from $12.6 billion in the same quarter last year [3]. - The company's net income for Q4 was $211 million, or $0.14 per share, surpassing EPS expectations of $0.12 but down 86% from $1.01 per share in the prior year quarter [3]. - For the full fiscal year 2025, total sales fell 10% to $46.3 billion, and EPS dropped 45% to $2.16 from $3.95 in FY24 [4]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - Nike's CEO announced a new "sport offense" strategy aimed at revitalizing growth by focusing on core products, product innovation, and a storytelling marketing approach [4]. Group 3: Valuation Metrics - Nike's stock trades at approximately $62 per share with a forward earnings multiple of 32.1X, which is close to its decade-long median of 29.4X and a 37% discount to its decade high of 51.1X [6]. - Despite the decline in earnings, Nike's valuation remains at a premium compared to the benchmark's 23.5X forward earnings multiple and Adidas at 26.8X [6]. Group 4: Market Position and Outlook - Nike's Q4 report did not provide sufficient evidence for a significant stock rebound, as the company is losing market share to Adidas and emerging competitors like Under Armour [9]. - A turnaround strategy is deemed necessary for Nike, which could lead to a sharp rally in the stock in the future, although immediate prospects appear limited [9].
Buy the Dip in Alphabet (GOOGL) Stock as Q1 Earnings Approach?
ZACKS· 2025-04-22 22:16
Core Viewpoint - Alphabet's upcoming Q1 earnings report is highly anticipated amid ongoing antitrust pressures and a significant decline in stock price, raising questions about potential investment opportunities [2][4]. Group 1: Financial Performance Expectations - Alphabet's Q1 sales are projected to reach $75.53 billion, reflecting a 12% increase from $67.59 billion in the same quarter last year [4]. - The expected Q1 EPS is $2.01, a 6% increase from $1.89 per share a year ago [4]. - Alphabet has consistently exceeded EPS expectations for eight consecutive quarters, with an average earnings surprise of 11.57% in the last four quarters [4][5]. Group 2: Stock Valuation and Market Position - Alphabet currently has the lowest P/E valuation among the "Magnificent 7" tech stocks, trading at a forward earnings multiple of 16.9X, compared to the S&P 500's 19.8X [6]. - The next lowest P/E valuation in the group is Meta Platforms at 19.9X, while Tesla has the highest at 87X [6]. Group 3: Analyst Recommendations and Price Targets - The average price target for Alphabet stock is $202.06, indicating a potential upside of 37% from current levels [8]. - Alphabet has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.40, suggesting a "Strong Buy" sentiment based on 53 brokerage firms [9][10]. - The number of "Strong Buy" recommendations has increased from 36 to 41 over the past three months, indicating growing confidence among analysts [10]. Group 4: Future Outlook and Risks - The upcoming Q1 report is critical, as further declines in EPS revisions could lead to a sell rating, while positive revisions may prompt a buy rating [11]. - Despite current challenges, Alphabet's EPS outlook remains attractive, although earnings estimate revisions for fiscal 2025 and FY26 have trended downward [11].
Buy Gilead Sciences (GILD) Stock at 52-Week Highs?
ZACKS· 2025-03-07 21:55
Core Insights - Gilead Sciences has reached new 52-week highs, joining other healthcare stocks amid broader market pullbacks [1][2] - The stock has increased nearly 30% year-to-date, while the broader market indexes are in negative territory [2] Gilead's Industry Leadership - Gilead is a leader in developing drugs for HIV treatment and has a diverse portfolio for liver diseases, inflammation, respiratory diseases, and hematology/oncology [3] - Expected revenue for 2024 is $28.75 billion, with a projected dip of 1% this year but a rebound to $29.7 billion in fiscal 2026 [3] Gilead's EPS Growth - Annual earnings are projected to increase by 70% in FY25 to $7.87 per share, up from $4.62 last year, with a further 5% increase expected in FY26 [4] Gilead's P/E Valuation - Gilead trades at a forward earnings multiple of 14.6X, below Johnson & Johnson's 15.6X and the industry average of 19.1X [8] Gilead's Dividend - Gilead offers a 2.65% annual dividend yield, surpassing the S&P 500 average of 1.27% and the industry average of 1.49% [10] Bottom Line - Gilead Sciences holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating potential for further upside as EPS estimates for FY25 and FY26 have trended higher [12]