P/E Valuation

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Buy, Hold, or Take Profits in Netflix Stock After Q2 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-07-18 20:50
Core Viewpoint - Investors showed a lukewarm response to Netflix's Q2 report despite favorable results, with the stock down 5% in morning trading after a significant year-to-date increase of over 30% and nearly 500% over the last three years [1][2]. Group 1: Q2 Financial Performance - Netflix's Q2 net income reached $3.13 billion or $7.19 per share, exceeding the Zacks EPS Consensus of $7.07, with a year-over-year EPS increase of 47% from $4.88 in Q2 2024 [3]. - Q2 sales totaled $11.07 billion, a 16% increase from the previous year, although slightly missing estimates of $11.08 billion [3]. - The operating margin improved to 34.1%, up from 24% a year ago, and free cash flow surged 91% to $2.3 billion [3]. Group 2: Subscriber Growth - Netflix is estimated to have added 5.1 million new net subscribers in Q2, which is below the forecast of 6 million and down from 8.05 million in Q2 2024 [5]. - Total subscribers have surpassed 300 million, bolstered by global reach, a strong content pipeline, and growth in the ad-tier service, maintaining a lead over competitors like Disney and Amazon [7]. Group 3: Revenue Guidance and Margin Outlook - Netflix raised its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $44.8-$45.2 billion from a previous forecast of $43.5-$44.5 billion, with a projected 14% growth this year [8]. - The operating margin guidance was slightly increased from 29% to 29.5%, although analysts expected a range of 30-31% [9]. Group 4: Valuation Metrics - Netflix's forward P/E ratio stands at 50X, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 24X and also above Disney's 21X and Amazon's 35X [11]. - The elevated valuation may have contributed to the muted excitement surrounding the Q2 results, as investors anticipated more substantial upside surprises [13]. Group 5: Investment Outlook - Netflix currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), with growth expectations already reflected in the stock price, yet the forecast indicates over 20% EPS growth for FY25 and FY26, suggesting potential for the stock to align with its high P/E valuation [13].
Were Nike's Q4 Results Good Enough to Rebound Its Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-27 00:36
Core Viewpoint - Nike's stock has experienced significant declines over the past few years, with a 17% drop in 2025 and a 44% decrease over the last three years, underperforming the S&P 500 and rival Adidas [1][3]. Group 1: Q4 and Full Year Results - Nike reported Q4 sales of $11.1 billion, exceeding the Zacks Consensus of $10.71 billion, but this represented a 12% decline from $12.6 billion in the same quarter last year [3]. - The company's net income for Q4 was $211 million, or $0.14 per share, surpassing EPS expectations of $0.12 but down 86% from $1.01 per share in the prior year quarter [3]. - For the full fiscal year 2025, total sales fell 10% to $46.3 billion, and EPS dropped 45% to $2.16 from $3.95 in FY24 [4]. Group 2: Strategic Initiatives - Nike's CEO announced a new "sport offense" strategy aimed at revitalizing growth by focusing on core products, product innovation, and a storytelling marketing approach [4]. Group 3: Valuation Metrics - Nike's stock trades at approximately $62 per share with a forward earnings multiple of 32.1X, which is close to its decade-long median of 29.4X and a 37% discount to its decade high of 51.1X [6]. - Despite the decline in earnings, Nike's valuation remains at a premium compared to the benchmark's 23.5X forward earnings multiple and Adidas at 26.8X [6]. Group 4: Market Position and Outlook - Nike's Q4 report did not provide sufficient evidence for a significant stock rebound, as the company is losing market share to Adidas and emerging competitors like Under Armour [9]. - A turnaround strategy is deemed necessary for Nike, which could lead to a sharp rally in the stock in the future, although immediate prospects appear limited [9].