This market correction is an opportunity to accumulate quality stocks. Sure, the markets may crash further from here, but timing the markets is seldom a fruitful exercise. Enter Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX ), an almost tariff-proof business thatI am a stock analyst with 20+ years of experience in quantitative research, financial modeling, and risk management. I specialize in equity valuation, market trends, and portfolio optimization to identify high-growth investment opportunities. As a former Vice President at ...

Netflix (NFLX) closed at $870.40 in the latest trading session, marking a +0.3% move from the prior day. The stock's change was more than the S&P 500's daily loss of 1.57%. Elsewhere, the Dow lost 0.84%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq lost 2.15%.The internet video service's stock has climbed by 0.13% in the past month, exceeding the Consumer Discretionary sector's loss of 13.72% and the S&P 500's loss of 12.16%.Investors will be eagerly watching for the performance of Netflix in its upcoming earnings disclosur ...

智通财经4月8日电，摩根大通将奈飞公司目标价从1150美元下调至1025美元，将谷歌目标价从220美元 下调至180美元。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent stock market correction has created unease among investors, but top tech stocks like Netflix, Spotify, and the VanEck Semiconductor ETF present opportunities for stability and long-term returns despite market volatility [1]. Group 1: Netflix - Netflix is highlighted as a leading technology stock with a strong track record, boasting over 301 million paying subscribers globally [4]. - The company's profit margins are improving as revenue growth outpaces content production spending, with a year-over-year subscriber growth of 15.9% in Q4 2024 [5]. - Analysts project Netflix's earnings to grow at an average of 24% annually, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of 46 deemed reasonable for its growth potential [5]. Group 2: Spotify - Spotify is recognized for its strong fundamentals, reporting €4.2 billion ($4.67 billion) in revenue, €1.4 billion in gross profit, and €0.9 billion in free cash flow for the three months ending December 31, 2024, reflecting year-over-year increases of 16%, 40%, and 122% respectively [8]. - The company's premium membership revenue grew by 17% year over year, with an 11% increase in its overall premium subscriber base, indicating strong pricing power [10]. - Despite market challenges, Spotify shares have advanced by 25% year to date, making it a potential safe harbor for growth investors [10]. Group 3: VanEck Semiconductor ETF - The VanEck Semiconductor ETF offers stability by investing in a basket of top chip stocks, achieving an average annual return of nearly 25% over the last 10 years, outperforming the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust [14]. - The ETF's largest holdings include Nvidia (just under 20%), Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (11%), and Broadcom (just under 8%), with a total of 25 top chip stocks in its portfolio [15][16]. - The fund charges a reasonable expense ratio of 0.35%, providing a source of profits and stability regardless of overall market performance [17].

Group 1 - The current stock market crisis is expected to pass, similar to previous crises, suggesting a long-term investment perspective [1] - The investment strategy focuses on acquiring companies with strong qualitative attributes at attractive prices based on fundamentals, with a goal of holding them indefinitely [2] - The portfolio management approach emphasizes avoiding underperforming stocks while maximizing exposure to high-potential winners, often resulting in a 'Hold' rating for companies that do not meet growth or risk thresholds [2] Group 2 - The article expresses a beneficial long position in NFLX shares, indicating a personal investment interest [3] - There is no compensation received for the article, and the opinions expressed are solely those of the author, highlighting independence in analysis [3] - Seeking Alpha clarifies that past performance does not guarantee future results, and no specific investment recommendations are provided [4]

Core Viewpoint - The technology sector is experiencing significant volatility due to trade tariff concerns, but certain stocks, particularly Netflix, are showing resilience and potential for long-term investment opportunities [1][2][17]. Company Performance - Netflix has outperformed the Nasdaq, rising 48% in the past year compared to the index's 3% decline [8][14]. - The company added 18.9 million paid subscriptions in Q4 2024, marking its "biggest quarter of net adds in our history" [10]. - Netflix's global streaming paid memberships reached 301.63 million, up 16% year-over-year [11]. Revenue and Earnings Growth - Netflix's revenue grew by 16% in 2024 to $39 billion, with projections of 13% average growth in 2025 and 2026, potentially reaching $50 billion by FY26 [12]. - Earnings are projected to grow by 24% in 2025 and 21% in FY26, reaching $29.66 per share [13]. Competitive Positioning - Netflix's first-mover advantage and investment in original content have helped it maintain a leading position in the streaming market [6]. - The company is less exposed to tariffs compared to other big tech peers, making it a more stable investment during economic uncertainty [17]. Valuation Metrics - Netflix trades at a significant discount to its historical highs, with a price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio of 1.8, close to the tech sector average [16]. - The stock has seen a 1,300% increase over the past 10 years, outperforming the Nasdaq's 230% growth [14].

Group 1: NFL and Streaming Partnerships - The NFL is expanding its Christmas Day games to three, with Amazon securing one game and Netflix two, reflecting the league's commitment to its media partners [1][2][3] - Netflix has a three-year deal with the NFL, ensuring two Christmas Day games in 2024 and at least one in 2025 and 2026, marking a significant achievement for the streaming service [3][5] - Amazon has acquired various NFL rights, including Thursday Night Football and exclusive playoff games, enhancing its sports content portfolio [4] Group 2: Viewership and Market Impact - Netflix's Christmas Day games in 2024 averaged 24 million viewers, with 65 million Americans watching at least part of the games, indicating strong audience engagement [5] - The NBA's Christmas Day games in 2024 averaged 5.25 million viewers, an 84% increase year-over-year, showcasing the competitive landscape for holiday sports viewership [7][8] - The success of NFL games on Christmas could pose challenges for the NBA and its media partners, as the NFL is likely to continue this trend [8] Group 3: Stock Performance - Netflix's stock is currently trading at $932.12, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 5.1% and a 51.8% rise over the past year [9] - Amazon's stock is trading at $195.56, showing a year-to-date decline of 11.2% but an 8.3% increase over the last year [9]

Group 1: Netflix - Netflix is a pioneer in the streaming industry but faces increased competition from various platforms, including major media companies [2][3] - The streaming industry is still underpenetrated, with streaming capturing less than 50% of television viewing time in the U.S. [2] - Netflix estimates a $650 billion revenue opportunity in its operational markets, with 2024 revenue reported at approximately $39 billion, reflecting a 15.6% year-over-year increase [3] - The company has a strong brand name synonymous with streaming, which helps attract and retain customers, and benefits from a network effect that enhances its content production strategy [4] - Netflix ended 2024 with 301.6 million paid memberships, a 16% year-over-year increase, positioning it well for future growth and a potential 12.8% CAGR [5] Group 2: Intuitive Surgical - Intuitive Surgical is the market leader in robotic-assisted surgery (RAS) with its da Vinci system, but faces increasing competition from companies like Medtronic and Johnson & Johnson [6][7] - The RAS field is underpenetrated, with fewer than 5% of procedures that could be performed robotically actually being done so, indicating significant growth potential [8] - In 2024, Intuitive Surgical reported a revenue increase of 17% year-over-year to $8.4 billion, and received regulatory clearance for the fifth generation of its da Vinci system [9] - Continuous innovation is a critical factor for Intuitive Surgical to maintain its leading position in the RAS market over the next decade [9]

Group 1: Market Overview - The stock market is experiencing a significant sell-off, with the S&P 500 down 4.8% and the Nasdaq Composite down over 10% in the first three months of the year [1] - Quality growth stocks, including Amazon and Netflix, are also facing declines, while companies like Energy Transfer, Dominion Energy, and Nike are providing passive income despite market performance [1] Group 2: Amazon - Amazon's Q4 earnings showed an $18 billion revenue increase, translating to a 10% year-over-year growth, with AWS expanding at a 19% rate [3][4] - The operating profit margin for Amazon has crossed into double digits, supported by growth and cost cuts, while also increasing product deliveries to Prime members by 65% [4] - Amazon's current valuation is 3.4 times sales, up from 1.5 times earlier in 2023, with potential for profit margins to approach 15% over the next decade [5][6] Group 3: Netflix - Netflix has a strong history of performance during market downturns, with a 563% price gain during the 2008 financial crisis and a 161% gain over the last three years [10][11] - The company is shifting towards a more mature business model focused on profitable growth, with new initiatives like live sports coverage and ad-supported subscriptions [13] Group 4: Energy Transfer - Energy Transfer plans to invest approximately $5 billion in growth capital expenditures in 2025, following a $3 billion investment in 2024 [14][15] - The company operates over 130,000 miles of pipelines and is focusing on expanding its midstream business, particularly in the Permian Basin [15][16] - Energy Transfer aims to boost its annual dividend by 3% to 5%, with a current yield of 6.9% [16] Group 5: Dominion Energy - Dominion Energy serves around 4.1 million customers and generates 30.3 gigawatts of power, with 90% of its earnings coming from state-regulated utility operations [18][19] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from increasing power demand, particularly from data centers supporting AI applications [20] Group 6: Nike - Nike's stock is at a seven-year low due to negative sales growth and declining margins, particularly in its direct-to-consumer strategy [21][22] - The company reported a 9% year-over-year revenue decline, with significant drops in its direct and digital sales channels [23] - Nike is repositioning its digital strategy to focus on full-price sales and reduce promotions, with a current dividend yield of 2.3% [25][26]

Core Viewpoint - Netflix has shown resilience in the face of economic challenges, with analysts predicting continued growth and increased market share in consumer TV spending despite inflation concerns [4][5][10]. Group 1: Stock Performance - After reaching a high of $1,064.50 in February 2024, Netflix's stock experienced an 18% drop but rebounded by 13%, closing at $976.72 on March 27, 2025 [1]. - The stock has outperformed consumer discretionary stocks, which have seen a decline of 5.8% year-to-date [3]. Group 2: Business Initiatives - Netflix has implemented significant changes, including the introduction of an ad-supported tier and a crackdown on password sharing, which have contributed to its recovery from a 74% decline in stock value in early 2022 [2]. - The company is focusing on original content and selective sports rights, including the FIFA Women's World Cup in 2027 and 2031, while avoiding bidding wars for major sports packages [9]. Group 3: Consumer Behavior - Despite inflation, consumers are likely to maintain their Netflix subscriptions, viewing it as a valuable entertainment option [4][5]. - Netflix's share of consumer TV spending is projected to increase from 13% in 2024 to 22% by 2034 [5]. Group 4: Financial Forecast - Analysts forecast a 12-month stock price target of $1,021.02, indicating a potential upside of 9.33% [7]. - Revenue growth is expected to achieve a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9% over the next decade [10]. Group 5: Advertising Revenue Concerns - There may be short-term softness in ad revenue due to potential cuts in marketing budgets by companies [11]. - Despite this, any decline in revenue is anticipated to be temporary and not a deterrent for long-term investment in Netflix stock [12].