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CVS or UnitedHealth: Which Stock Is a Better Buy Ahead of Q2 Earnings?
ZACKSยท 2025-07-25 20:01
Core Insights - CVS Health and UnitedHealth have contrasting first-quarter results, with CVS showing strong growth and raising its full-year EPS guidance, while UnitedHealth missed earnings and revenue expectations, leading to a significant cut in its 2025 EPS outlook [1][19] Group 1: CVS Health Performance - CVS Health's Health Care Benefits segment reported an 8% year-over-year revenue growth in Q1, with medical membership stable at approximately 27.1 million [4] - The adjusted operating income for CVS Health surged to $1.99 billion from $732 million a year ago, driven by the strength in commercial insurance [4][8] - CVS's medical benefit ratio (MBR) improved to 87.3% from 90.4% year-over-year, aided by reserve releases and better Medicare Advantage star ratings [6] Group 2: UnitedHealth Challenges - UnitedHealth's medical care ratio (MCR) increased to 84.8%, up from 84.3% in 2024, due to elevated Medicare Advantage utilization, prompting a cut in 2025 adjusted earnings guidance to $26.00-$26.50 per share [10] - The company is facing significant cost pressures, particularly in outpatient and professional services, which are expected to continue affecting earnings throughout 2025 [10][19] - UnitedHealth's Optum segment saw a 14% year-over-year revenue increase, driven by rising script volumes and specialty pharmacy strength [9] Group 3: Valuation Comparison - CVS is trading at a forward P/E of 8.88X, below its 5-year median of 9.55X, while UnitedHealth is at 11.98X, also below its 5-year median of 19.20X, indicating that CVS is more attractively valued relative to UnitedHealth [16][17] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CVS's Q2 2025 EPS suggests a 19.7% decline year-over-year, while UnitedHealth's estimate implies a 28.8% decline [11][14] Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - CVS is conducting a strategic review of Oak Street Health, which it acquired for $10.6 billion, focusing on capital allocation towards higher-return investments [5] - Despite pressures in Medicare Advantage, CVS is positioned as a stronger investment option ahead of Q2 earnings due to its stable commercial insurance performance and disciplined capital management [19]
HCA Beats Q2 Earnings on Higher Admissions, Ups '25 EPS View
ZACKSยท 2025-07-25 18:16
Core Insights - HCA Healthcare, Inc. reported second-quarter 2025 adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $6.84, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 10.5% and showing a year-over-year improvement of 24.4% [1][9] - Revenues reached $18.6 billion, reflecting a 6.4% year-over-year increase and surpassing the consensus mark by 0.7% [1][9] Financial Performance - The quarterly results were supported by increased patient volumes, higher same-facility revenue per equivalent admission, and a rise in emergency room visits [2] - Same-facility equivalent admissions grew by 1.7% year over year, while same-facility admissions increased by 1.8%, both below growth estimates of 3.8% and 4% respectively [3] - Same-facility revenue per equivalent admission rose by 4% year over year, exceeding the growth estimate of 3.2% [3] - Adjusted EBITDA improved by 8.4% year over year to $3.8 billion, beating the estimate of $3.6 billion [5] Cost and Expenses - Salaries and benefits, supplies, and other operating expenses totaled $14.78 billion, increasing by 6% year over year but lower than the estimate of $14.84 billion [4] - Same-facility inpatient surgeries decreased by 0.3% year over year, missing the growth estimate of 1.5%, while same-facility outpatient surgeries fell by 0.6% [4] Cash Flow and Capital Management - HCA generated $5.9 billion in cash from operations in the first half of 2025, a 32% increase from the prior-year period [8] - The company repurchased $2.5 billion in shares during the quarter and had a remaining capacity of $5.8 billion under its buyback authorization [10] Guidance and Outlook - HCA revised its 2025 revenue guidance to between $74 billion and $76 billion, up from the previous range of $72.8 billion to $75.8 billion, indicating a 6.2% rise from 2024 [11] - Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to be in the range of $14.7 billion to $15.3 billion, higher than the earlier forecast [12] - EPS is projected to be in the $25.5 to $27 range for 2025, an increase from the previous estimate [13]
HCA(HCA) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-07-25 15:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a 24% increase in diluted earnings per share, adjusted to $6.84, reflecting strong financial results for the second quarter [6] - Revenue growth was 6.4%, driven by increased demand for services, improved payer mix, and stable patient acuity levels [6][13] - Adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 30 basis points compared to the prior year quarter, with adjusted EBITDA growing 8.4% year-over-year [13][14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Equivalent admissions increased by 1.7% for the quarter and 2.3% year-to-date, with managed care equivalent admissions growing by 4% [12] - Medicare admissions grew by 3%, slightly below expectations, while Medicaid saw a slight decline and self-pay increased slightly [12][13] - The company experienced a $100 million increase in net benefit from Medicaid supplemental payment programs compared to the prior year quarter [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Approximately 60% of the company's Medicaid volumes and revenue are in non-expansion states, which mitigates the expected impact of recent federal policy changes [9] - The company anticipates some individuals will lose insurance coverage due to changes in federal policies, but believes its financial resiliency program will offset these effects [10][11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to combine high-quality local health networks with national capabilities to reinforce its competitive position and respond to market dynamics [8] - A balanced capital allocation strategy is in place, with $1.2 billion in capital expenditures, $2.5 billion in share repurchases, and $171 million in dividends planned for 2025 [15][19] - The company is optimistic about future growth, with a diversified portfolio of markets and ongoing investments in outpatient facilities and inpatient capacity [20][57] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to manage the impacts of federal policy changes and maintain a strong balance sheet [11] - The company has seen a recovery in facilities affected by Hurricane Saline and Milton, with better-than-expected performance in some markets [21] - Management noted that 14 out of 15 divisions grew their admissions, indicating strong underlying business performance despite some volume metrics being lower than expected [33][34] Other Important Information - The company is actively developing resiliency programs to mitigate potential adverse impacts from federal policy changes and is focused on operational improvements [40] - The company has approximately $5.5 billion in capital projects underway, which are expected to enhance its network and service capacity [57][108] Q&A Session Summary Question: Guidance update and impact of Tennessee DPP program - Management confirmed that the updated guidance reflects the approval of the Tennessee DPP program and better visibility on other programs [27][28] Question: Resiliency programs and potential headwinds - Management indicated that their financial resiliency program should offset adverse impacts from federal policy changes, with further details to be provided in the fourth quarter earnings call [39][40] Question: Commercial volume trends and consumer confidence - Management noted that managed care equivalent admissions are up 4% year-to-date, with health care exchanges performing better than expected [45][46] Question: Market share dynamics and local market performance - Management reported sustained market share gains, with a focus on improving network integrity and patient retention [56][57] Question: Changes in Medicare Advantage behavior and revenue cycle investments - Management stated that there have been no significant impacts from denial activities, reflecting improvements in revenue cycle management [67][68] Question: Update on commercial contracting and capital expenditures - Management confirmed that they are largely contracted for 2025 and about 80% contracted for 2026, with ongoing capital investments to enhance service capacity [106][108]
Best Value Stocks to Buy for July 25th
ZACKSยท 2025-07-25 11:41
Group 1: Edenred SE (EDNMY) - Edenred is a digital platform for services and payments for companies, employees, and merchants [1] - The company has a Zacks Rank of 1 and a Value Score of B [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 2.9% over the last 60 days [1] - Edenred has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 11.12, significantly lower than the industry average of 32.80 [1] Group 2: Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC) - Tenet Healthcare is a diversified healthcare services company [2] - The company holds a Zacks Rank of 1 and a Value Score of A [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased nearly 3% over the last 60 days [2] - Tenet Healthcare has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 12.11, compared to 23.85 for the S&P 500 [2] Group 3: Mercantile Bank Corporation (MBWM) - Mercantile Bank is a bank holding company for Mercantile Bank of Michigan [3] - The company carries a Zacks Rank of 1 and a Value Score of B [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its current year earnings has increased by 2.9% over the last 60 days [3] - Mercantile Bank has a price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) of 9.81, which is lower than the S&P 500 average of 23.85 [3]
Top Wall Street Forecasters Revamp HCA Healthcare Expectations Ahead Of Q2 Earnings
Benzingaยท 2025-07-25 08:14
Group 1 - HCA Healthcare is set to release its Q2 earnings results on July 25, with expected earnings of $6.32 per share, an increase from $5.5 per share in the same period last year [1] - The company is projected to report quarterly revenue of $18.5 billion, up from $17.49 billion a year earlier [1] - HCA Healthcare appointed John W. Chidsey, III as a new Independent Director on July 11 [1] Group 2 - HCA Healthcare shares fell by 3.3%, closing at $341.48 [2] - Analysts have provided various ratings and price targets for HCA stock, with Truist Securities maintaining a Buy rating and raising the price target from $390 to $415 [7] - B of A Securities downgraded the stock from Buy to Neutral while increasing the price target from $394 to $410 [7] - JP Morgan assumed a Neutral rating with a price target of $380 [7] - Keybanc initiated coverage with an Overweight rating and a price target of $475 [7]
Community Health Systems: Stock Tanks On Q2 Earnings, CEO Retires - I Sense A Contrarian Opportunity
Seeking Alphaยท 2025-07-24 21:34
If you are interested in keeping up to date with stocks making moves within the biotech, pharma and healthcare industries, and understanding the key trends and catalysts driving valuations ahead of the market, why not subscribe to my weekly newsletter via my Investing Group, Haggerston BioHealth ?Community Health Systems (NYSE: CYH ) announced its Q2 2025 earnings yesterday (23rd July) after market close, prompting a sharp sell-off in the stock today, which is down nearly 30%, trading around $2.75, which tr ...
Why UnitedHealth stock slid another 4% today
Finboldยท 2025-07-24 13:21
Core Viewpoint - UnitedHealth Group Inc. is facing significant challenges, including a Department of Justice investigation into its Medicare practices, leading to a sharp decline in its stock price and raising concerns about its recovery potential [1][2][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - UnitedHealth's stock has seen a decline of approximately 44% year-to-date, currently trading at $281.49 in pre-market hours [2]. - The stock hit a low of $274.35 in May 2025, but recent news regarding the DOJ investigation threatens to hinder any recovery [2]. - The stock is considered one of the most oversold in the S&P 500 for 2025 [2]. Group 2: DOJ Investigation - The company has begun complying with formal requests from the Department of Justice regarding its Medicare program practices [3]. - UnitedHealth proactively reached out to the DOJ after media reports about the investigations, expressing confidence in its practices [3]. - The company has initiated third-party reviews to assess its policies and practices, although it acknowledged uncertainty regarding the investigation's outcome [3]. Group 3: Analyst Outlook - Wall Street analysts maintain a generally positive long-term outlook for UnitedHealth, with a "Moderate Buy" consensus based on 24 ratings [4]. - The average 12-month price target for the stock is $356.36, with forecasts ranging from a low of $270.00 to a high of $440.00 [6]. - Investors are anticipating insights from the upcoming Q2 earnings report on July 29, 2025, to understand the impact of current challenges on the business [6].
Falling Fast, Rising Soon? 3 Stocks With Upside Ahead
MarketBeatยท 2025-07-23 20:22
Group 1: Allot Ltd. (ALLT) - Allot has seen a significant rise of over 26% since the beginning of 2025, but shares have recently dropped by about 16% in the last month [2][3] - The latest earnings report showed an earnings per share (EPS) of 2 cents, beating predictions of a loss, and revenue of $24.9 million, exceeding the expected $24.4 million [3] - A strategic shift away from core products towards services has led to year-over-year revenue decline in the products segment, but may allow for better adaptability to customer demands [3][4] Group 2: Ardent Health Services (ARDT) - Ardent has recently reached its lowest share price since going public, with a decline of over 15% in the last month amid challenges in the healthcare sector [6][7] - The company reported an EPS of 29 cents, exceeding predictions by 8 cents, and has shown consistent revenue growth [7][8] - Analysts anticipate a nearly 60% increase in earnings over the next year, and the stock is attractively priced with a P/E ratio of 6.8 compared to the sector average of 28.1 [8][9] Group 3: Group 1 Automotive (GPI) - Group 1's shares are down only 1% year-to-date, despite an 8% drop in the last month due to inflation concerns [11] - The company exceeded analyst expectations for first-quarter EPS by 49 cents, with quarterly revenue growth of over 23% year-over-year [12] - Upcoming Q2 2025 earnings report on July 24 could act as a catalyst for a rebound, with analysts predicting roughly 14% upside in GPI shares [13]
These Analysts Boost Their Forecasts On Tenet Healthcare After Upbeat Q2 Results
Benzingaยท 2025-07-23 17:24
Core Viewpoint - Tenet Healthcare Corporation reported better-than-expected earnings for the second quarter, with significant increases in both earnings per share and sales compared to analyst estimates [1][2]. Financial Performance - The company reported quarterly earnings of $4.02 per share, surpassing the analyst consensus estimate of $2.87 per share [1]. - Quarterly sales reached $5.271 billion, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $5.161 billion [1]. Guidance Update - Tenet raised its FY2025 adjusted EPS guidance from a range of $11.99-$13.12 to $15.55-$16.21 [2]. - The sales guidance was also increased from $20.600 billion-$21.000 billion to $20.950 billion-$21.250 billion [2]. Management Commentary - The CEO highlighted strong second quarter results, emphasizing same-store revenue growth, operational performance, and robust free cash flow generation [3]. - The company is focused on both organic and inorganic investments to enhance capabilities and innovate for better patient service [3]. Stock Performance - Following the earnings announcement, Tenet Healthcare shares rose by 1% to trade at $157.49 [3]. Analyst Ratings - Guggenheim analyst Jason Cassorla maintained a Buy rating on Tenet Healthcare and raised the price target from $180 to $188 [6]. - Raymond James analyst John Ransom reiterated an Outperform rating and increased the price target from $185 to $200 [6].
Encompass Health (EHC) Loses 10.4% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why a Trend Reversal May be Around the Corner
ZACKSยท 2025-07-23 14:36
Encompass Health (EHC) has been beaten down lately with too much selling pressure. While the stock has lost 10.4% over the past four weeks, there is light at the end of the tunnel as it is now in oversold territory and Wall Street analysts expect the company to report better earnings than they predicted earlier.We use Relative Strength Index (RSI), one of the most commonly used technical indicators, for spotting whether a stock is oversold. This is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of ...