活力集团向港交所主板递交上市申请，由招商证券国际和民银资本联席保荐。该公司是中国知名的综合 出行平台，提供多模式出行产品及服务，主要通过航班管家及高铁管家为个人旅客提供旅行相关服务， 并为企业客户提供数据及技术服务以及为品牌提供营销服务。业绩记录期内，公司收入主要来自旅行相 关服务。 2024年，活力集团在中国综合互联网出行服务市场总GMV中排名第八，市场份额约1.4%。在中国在线 火车票预订市场中，按2024年GMV计算，该公司是中国第三大第三方平台，市场份额约2.4%。 ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview: China Consumer - **China's Consumption Status**: Contrary to the belief that China is under-consuming, the country is one of the fastest-growing major economies. Per capita volume consumption is comparable to global peers, exceeding the US, Japan, and South Korea in certain food categories such as proteins, eggs, seafood, and vegetables [1][10][21]. - **Pricing Dynamics**: The perception of under-consumption is largely due to low pricing, which can be less than 40% of US prices in many categories, especially services [1][10][21]. Macro View - **Household Consumption to GDP Ratio**: China's household consumption accounts for approximately 40% of GDP, which is lower than the US (68%), Japan (54%), and South Korea (48%). However, when adjusted for social transfers in kind, this ratio increases by about 7%, bringing China closer to South Korea and Japan [2][66][71]. - **Potential for Upside**: There is potential for growth in higher-quality and experience-based services, including preventive healthcare, leisure, and entertainment [2][72]. Corporate China: E2SG Opportunities - **E2SG Definition**: E2SG stands for Efficiency, Experience, Service, and Global. Companies can leverage these themes for growth, focusing on cost efficiency, enhancing customer experience, and exploring global markets [3][4]. - **Stock Picks**: The report identifies several companies that fit into the E2SG framework, including Pop Mart, Midea, Geely, H World, Trip.com, Tencent, and Damai, which are expected to be long-term winners despite some facing near-term challenges [4]. Consumption Patterns - **High Volume Consumption**: China exhibits high volume consumption in staples, particularly food, while discretionary categories may see growth potential. For example, China's per capita protein consumption exceeds that of the US [26][27]. - **Service Consumption**: China's consumption of core services like housing, healthcare, and education is comparable to global peers, but there is still room for improvement in higher-quality services [27][30]. Pricing Analysis - **Low Prices**: China's nominal consumption value is suppressed by low prices, which are influenced by structural factors such as being the world's factory, intense competition, and government price regulations [32][35][52]. - **Comparison with Developed Markets**: Consumer goods and services in China are generally cheaper than in the US, Japan, and South Korea, with significant price differences in various categories [33][34]. Urbanization and Future Growth - **Urbanization Impact**: Urbanization is expected to continue, with projections suggesting that the urbanization rate could surpass 70% during the 15th Five-Year Plan. This shift is anticipated to boost household consumption significantly [60][73]. - **Discretionary Spending Potential**: There is significant upside potential in discretionary healthcare and education, as well as leisure and entertainment services, which are currently underdeveloped [72][76]. Conclusion - **Investment Opportunities**: The analysis suggests that while China faces challenges in consumption patterns, there are substantial opportunities for growth in various sectors, particularly in higher-quality and experience-based services. The E2SG framework provides a strategic lens for identifying potential investment opportunities in the Chinese consumer market [3][4][72].

Core Viewpoint - Airbnb Inc's stock has recently declined by approximately 8%, impacting CEO Brian Chesky's net worth, which is around $10 billion, primarily tied to his ABNB stock holdings. However, there are signs of potential recovery due to changes in interest rate forecasts by major financial institutions [1]. Group 1: Interest Rate Outlook - JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs have adjusted their interest rate predictions, now anticipating a quarter-point cut by the Federal Reserve after its December meeting, with an 84.7% probability of this occurring, a significant shift from previous estimates of only 25% [2]. - The reduction in borrowing costs is expected to stimulate economic activity, encouraging both consumer spending and corporate investments, which could lead to improved business conditions [3]. Group 2: Market Sentiment and Stock Performance - Despite the positive outlook from monetary policy changes, the current economic environment and a weak job market present challenges, leading to poor options sentiment in the near term. However, historical patterns suggest that ABNB stock may experience a reversal following downturns, presenting a contrarian investment opportunity [4]. - The stock has been in a downward trend over the past 10 weeks, with a distribution pattern indicating potential future price ranges between $111 and $139, with clustering around $127, suggesting a significant informational arbitrage opportunity [11]. Group 3: Options Trading Strategies - A recommended trading strategy involves a 120/125 bull call spread expiring on January 16, 2026, which entails buying the $120 call and selling the $125 call for a net debit of $209, with a maximum profit potential of $291, representing over 139% return if the stock rises above $125 at expiration [15]. - An alternative, more aggressive strategy is the 125/130 bull spread, which has a breakeven price of $126.25 and a maximum payout of 300%, although it carries higher risk due to the ambitious strike price [16].

Core Insights - Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) has a market capitalization of $71.9 billion and operates a global platform for booking accommodations and experiences [1] - The company's shares have experienced a significant decline, pulling back 28.8% from their 52-week high of $163.93 and down 11.2% year-to-date [2][3] Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Airbnb reported a revenue increase of 10% year-over-year to $4.1 billion, with adjusted EBITDA reaching a record $2.1 billion at a 50% margin [4] - Key business metrics showed growth, with Gross Booking Value (GBV) rising 14% to $22.9 billion and Nights and Seats Booked increasing by 9% [4] Market Comparison - Compared to Booking Holdings Inc. (BKNG), which has seen a smaller decline of 5.8% over the past 52 weeks, Airbnb's stock performance has been weaker [5] - Analysts have a consensus rating of "Hold" for ABNB stock, with a mean price target of $142.06, indicating a potential upside of 21.7% from current levels [5]

Core Viewpoint - Booking Holdings reported strong Q3 2025 earnings, beating estimates and showing significant year-over-year growth in both earnings per share and revenues, indicating robust operational performance and positive market trends [2][13]. Financial Performance - Q3 2025 earnings per share were $99.5, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.6% and increasing 18.6% year over year [2]. - Revenues reached $9.01 billion, surpassing estimates by 3.12% and growing 12.7% year over year, with an 8% increase on a constant currency basis [2]. - Adjusted EBITDA rose 15% year over year to approximately $4.2 billion, exceeding guidance by 6 percentage points, with an adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of 110 basis points to 47% [13]. Revenue Breakdown - Merchant revenues accounted for $6.13 billion (68.1% of total revenues), up 23.3% year over year [5]. - Agency revenues were $2.57 billion (28.5% of total revenues), down 6.7% year over year [5]. - Advertising & Other revenues totaled $308 million (3.4% of total revenues), increasing 14.5% year over year [5]. Operational Highlights - Room nights reached 323 million, an 8.2% increase year over year, driven by strong demand across major regions, particularly in the United States [6]. - Alternative accommodations listings grew to over 8.6 million, up about 10% year over year, with double-digit room night growth [7]. - Connected Trip transactions grew mid-20% year over year, representing a low double-digit percentage of total transactions [8]. Cost and Expense Management - Marketing expenses increased 8.8% year over year, accounting for 4.7% of gross bookings, slightly lower than the previous year [9][10]. - Sales and other expenses as a percentage of gross bookings were 2.1%, slightly higher than the prior year, driven by an increasing merchant mix [11]. - Adjusted fixed operating expenses rose 10% year over year, influenced by increased cloud costs and personnel expenses [12]. Guidance and Outlook - For Q4 2025, room night growth is expected between 4% and 6%, with gross bookings projected to grow 11-13% [15]. - Full-year 2025 guidance anticipates room night growth of around 7%, gross bookings growth of 11-12%, and revenue growth of approximately 12% [16]. - The stock has a strong Growth Score of A and a momentum score of A, indicating positive investor sentiment [18].

Core Insights - Booking Holdings Inc. is the world's leading provider of online travel and related services, with a market cap of $158.1 billion and operations in over 220 countries and territories [1][2] Company Performance - Booking's stock has dropped 15.9% from its all-time high of $5,839.41 on July 8, and has declined 13.9% over the past three months, underperforming the Amplify Travel Tech ETF's 7.9% decline during the same period [3] - Year-to-date, BKNG stock has dipped 1.1% and has declined 5.8% over the past 52 weeks, compared to the ETF's 5.6% decline in 2025 and 7.6% over the past year [4] - Following the release of Q3 results on October 28, which showed room nights growth of 8% and gross bookings surge of 14%, net revenues increased 12.7% year-over-year to $9 billion, beating expectations by 3.1% [5] Competitive Landscape - Booking has significantly lagged behind its peer Expedia Group, Inc., which saw a 38.3% surge over the past year [6]

Trip.com Group Ltd - Conference Call Summary Company Overview - **Company**: Trip.com Group Ltd (TCOM) - **Industry**: Online Travel Agency (OTA) - **Market Focus**: Asia Pacific, excluding China and India Key Points Industry and Market Position - Trip.com aims to become the number one player in Asia (excluding China and India) in terms of market share, which is considered a challenging yet achievable target [2] - The company is currently the market leader in Singapore, Hong Kong, and Thailand, and is rapidly gaining market share in Korea and Japan [2] - The APAC travel market is expected to grow, with online penetration increasing, providing a favorable environment for Trip.com [2] Financial Performance and Projections - Trip.com anticipates that by 2030, international and outbound business will contribute to 50% of its revenue [2] - Revenue growth projections indicate a slowdown from over 55% in 2025 to around 25% by 2030 [2] - The company expects year-over-year margin improvements for both domestic and overseas operations, although mixed revenue sources may introduce uncertainty [4] Strategic Initiatives - Trip.com has a structured approach to entering new markets, focusing first on product and localization, followed by performance-based marketing, and then brand marketing once a market share of 2-5% is achieved [3] - The company prioritizes branding and service quality over pricing, believing its pricing is competitive [2] - A significant marketing push has been noted, which has positively impacted overseas expansion efforts [1] Competitive Landscape - Concerns regarding competition from Alibaba's Fliggy are downplayed, with Trip.com’s strong supply chain control seen as a competitive advantage [5] - The company is positioned to achieve profitability levels similar to global peers, potentially exceeding them if the revenue mix favors accommodation [3] Financial Metrics - Current stock price (as of November 25, 2025): US$70.30 - Price target set at US$86.00, indicating a potential upside of 22% [7] - Projected revenue growth from Rmb 53,294 million in FY25 to Rmb 77,641 million in FY27, with a net profit forecast of Rmb 32,156 million in FY25 [31] Risk Factors - Risks include rising competition in the domestic market, uncertainties related to the pandemic, and macroeconomic slowdowns that could affect travel demand [50] - The company is also exposed to foreign exchange headwinds, which could impact profitability [51] Investment Thesis - Trip.com is viewed as uniquely positioned to benefit from multiple growth engines, including domestic travel, outbound travel, and international expansion [39] - The company has announced a US$5 billion share repurchase program, representing over 10% of its market cap at the time of announcement, which is seen as a positive signal for investors [39] Conclusion - Trip.com Group Ltd is strategically positioned for growth in the APAC travel market, with a focus on enhancing its market share and profitability through targeted marketing and operational efficiencies. The company’s financial outlook remains positive, despite potential risks from competition and macroeconomic factors.

Core Insights - The U.S. holiday season is expected to see robust consumer spending, particularly from Thanksgiving Day through Cyber Monday, despite ongoing inflationary pressures [1][7] Retail Industry Overview - U.S. holiday season sales are projected to reach $253.4 billion, reflecting a 5.3% year-over-year increase [4] - The Cyber week, which includes Thanksgiving Day, Black Friday, and Cyber Monday, is anticipated to generate $43.7 billion, accounting for 17.2% of total holiday sales, marking a 6.3% increase from the previous year [5] - Thanksgiving Day sales are expected to hit $6.4 billion, while Cyber Monday is projected to generate $14.2 billion, up 6.3% year-over-year [6] Online Sales Growth - Online sales are expected to grow significantly, with mobile and online platforms projected to account for 56.1% of overall holiday season sales [6] Selected Retail Stocks - **Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 29.7% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank 2 [9] - **Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 24.6% for next year, currently holding a Zacks Rank 1 [11] - **Boot Barn Holdings, Inc. (BOOT)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 20.5% for the current year, with a Zacks Rank 2 [12] - **Tapestry (TPR)**: Expected earnings growth rate of 10.4% for the current year, currently holding a Zacks Rank 2 [14] Earnings Estimate Revisions - All selected stocks have seen positive earnings estimate revisions in the past 60 days, indicating strong potential for solid returns [3][10]

Core Insights - Yatra Online, Inc. has announced a strategic leadership transition to enhance its growth trajectory, elevating co-founder Dhruv Shringi to Executive Chairman and appointing Siddhartha Gupta as the new CEO effective November 25, 2025 [1][3][5] Leadership Transition - Dhruv Shringi, who has been the CEO since the company's inception, will now focus on long-term vision, global expansion, and shareholder value creation as Executive Chairman [2][4] - Siddhartha Gupta brings over 25 years of experience in enterprise technology and B2B SaaS, with a strong background in scaling businesses and driving digital transformation [3][4] Strategic Focus - The leadership change aims to consolidate Yatra's position in India and explore new international growth opportunities, aligning with the company's B2B-first strategy [4][5] - Yatra has onboarded 148 new corporate clients in the past 12 months, representing an annual potential business worth over ₹700 crores, highlighting its strong growth in the corporate travel segment [4] Company Overview - Yatra Online, Inc. is India's largest corporate travel services provider, with over 1,300 large corporate customers and approximately 59,000 registered SME customers, making it the third largest online travel company in India by gross booking revenue [8]

Core Insights - The first systematic "AI Travel Assistant Evaluation System" has been released, with Feizhu's "Ask One" scoring 724.92 points, ranking first among various AI travel assistants [1] - The evaluation framework was developed by an expert team from Beijing International Studies University, focusing on five dimensions: usability, ease of use, personalization, safety, and fluency [1] - The travel AI industry is still in its early growth stage, characterized by strengths in content recommendation but weaknesses in execution [1] Group 1: Evaluation Results - Feizhu's "Ask One" leads in three out of nine evaluation scenarios, including activity and play recommendations, dining recommendations, and shopping point recommendations [2] - The gap between general large model products and OTA platform AI applications is nearly 100 points, indicating a significant difference in technical implementation and resource integration [2] - In eight functional indicators, Feizhu's "Ask One" ranks first in six areas, including demand-driven capability and voice interaction ability [2] Group 2: Industry Trends - The expert team identifies three major application trends for future travel AI: comprehensive application of multimodal interaction, real-time dynamic planning and optimization, and deep integration of AI agents [2] - Feizhu's "Ask One" has explored the integration of AI with its complete travel ecosystem, providing a practical case for how OTAs can leverage AI to enhance core business operations [2]