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Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold Adobe Stock Post Q2 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2025-06-10 16:16
Core Viewpoint - Adobe is expected to report its second-quarter fiscal 2025 results on June 12, projecting total revenues between $5.77 billion and $5.82 billion, with non-GAAP earnings between $4.95 and $5 per share [1][10] Revenue Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $5.79 billion, indicating an 8.99% growth from the previous year [2] - The Digital Media segment revenues are projected to be between $4.27 billion and $4.30 billion, suggesting a 9.3% year-over-year growth [3] - The Digital Experience segment revenues are anticipated to be in the range of $1.43 billion to $1.45 billion, with a consensus estimate of $1.43 billion indicating an 8.3% year-over-year growth [4] Earnings Expectations - The consensus mark for earnings has remained at $4.96 per share, reflecting a 10.71% growth from the year-ago quarter [2] Growth Drivers - Adobe's strong Generative AI portfolio and partnerships with major companies like Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet are expected to drive top-line growth [5] - The launch of Firefly Image Model 3 and enhancements to existing models have improved user experiences across Adobe's tools [6] - Increased adoption of Adobe Express by businesses and integrations with popular applications like ChatGPT and Google have expanded customer reach [7] Competitive Landscape - Adobe's Document Cloud AI Assistant is now integrated into various platforms, enhancing its utility for users [8] - Despite strong growth factors, Adobe faces stiff competition in the GenAI space and challenges in monetizing its AI solutions [9][20] Stock Performance - Year-to-date, Adobe shares have declined by 6.4%, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the Zacks Computer Software industry [11] - Adobe's current valuation is considered stretched, with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 7.22X, higher than the sector's 6.37X [14] Strategic Partnerships - Adobe's partnerships with Amazon and other tech giants enhance its offerings and customer base, particularly through the Adobe Experience Platform on Amazon Web Services [17] - The integration of Acrobat PDF technology into Microsoft Edge and Google Chrome is a significant advantage, contributing to rising free-to-paid conversions [17]
Buy, Sell, or Hold Adobe Stock? Key Tips Ahead of Q1 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-03-07 18:00
Core Viewpoint - Adobe is expected to report its first-quarter fiscal 2025 results on March 12, with projected revenues and earnings showing positive growth trends compared to the previous year [1][2]. Revenue and Earnings Estimates - Adobe projects total revenues between $5.63 billion and $5.68 billion for Q1 fiscal 2025, with non-GAAP earnings expected between $4.95 and $5 per share [2]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $5.65 billion, indicating a 9.11% growth from the previous year, while the consensus for earnings is $4.97 per share, reflecting a 10.94% increase [3]. Segment Performance - The Digital Media segment is anticipated to generate revenues between $4.17 billion and $4.2 billion, with a consensus estimate of $4.18 billion, suggesting a 9.6% year-over-year growth [5][6]. - Creative Cloud revenues are estimated at $3.33 billion, indicating an 8.5% year-over-year growth, while Document Cloud is expected to reach $855 million, implying a 14% growth [6]. - The Digital Experience segment is projected to generate revenues of $1.38-$1.40 billion, with subscription revenues expected at $1.27-$1.29 billion, reflecting an 8.5% and 10.8% year-over-year growth respectively [7]. Growth Drivers - Adobe's strong Generative AI portfolio and partnerships with major companies like Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet are expected to drive top-line growth [8]. - The launch of new AI models, including Firefly Image Model 3 and enhancements to existing tools, has improved user experiences for creative professionals [9]. - The adoption of Adobe Express by businesses and its integration into popular applications has expanded its customer reach [10]. Competitive Landscape - Adobe faces increasing competition in the Generative AI space, particularly from companies like OpenAI, which may impact its monetization efforts [12][22]. - Despite a 20% decline in Adobe shares over the past year, the broader technology sector has seen a return of 11.1% [13]. Valuation Metrics - Adobe's shares are currently trading at a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 8.16X, which is higher than the sector average of 6.06X, indicating a stretched valuation [16]. Strategic Partnerships - Adobe's expanded partnerships, including the integration of its Experience Platform with Amazon Web Services and collaborations with Google and Microsoft, are key growth catalysts [20].