Should You Buy, Sell, or Hold Adobe Stock Post Q2 Earnings?

Core Viewpoint - Adobe is expected to report its second-quarter fiscal 2025 results on June 12, projecting total revenues between $5.77 billion and $5.82 billion, with non-GAAP earnings between $4.95 and $5 per share [1][10] Revenue Projections - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues is $5.79 billion, indicating an 8.99% growth from the previous year [2] - The Digital Media segment revenues are projected to be between $4.27 billion and $4.30 billion, suggesting a 9.3% year-over-year growth [3] - The Digital Experience segment revenues are anticipated to be in the range of $1.43 billion to $1.45 billion, with a consensus estimate of $1.43 billion indicating an 8.3% year-over-year growth [4] Earnings Expectations - The consensus mark for earnings has remained at $4.96 per share, reflecting a 10.71% growth from the year-ago quarter [2] Growth Drivers - Adobe's strong Generative AI portfolio and partnerships with major companies like Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet are expected to drive top-line growth [5] - The launch of Firefly Image Model 3 and enhancements to existing models have improved user experiences across Adobe's tools [6] - Increased adoption of Adobe Express by businesses and integrations with popular applications like ChatGPT and Google have expanded customer reach [7] Competitive Landscape - Adobe's Document Cloud AI Assistant is now integrated into various platforms, enhancing its utility for users [8] - Despite strong growth factors, Adobe faces stiff competition in the GenAI space and challenges in monetizing its AI solutions [9][20] Stock Performance - Year-to-date, Adobe shares have declined by 6.4%, underperforming the broader Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the Zacks Computer Software industry [11] - Adobe's current valuation is considered stretched, with a forward 12-month price/sales ratio of 7.22X, higher than the sector's 6.37X [14] Strategic Partnerships - Adobe's partnerships with Amazon and other tech giants enhance its offerings and customer base, particularly through the Adobe Experience Platform on Amazon Web Services [17] - The integration of Acrobat PDF technology into Microsoft Edge and Google Chrome is a significant advantage, contributing to rising free-to-paid conversions [17]