He Xun Cai Jing

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和讯投顾易雄:如何快速识别主线板块
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-13 03:16
(原标题:和讯投顾易雄:如何快速识别主线板块) 把这四个维度串起来,其实就是从 "资金集中度"(涨停家数)、"资金凝聚力"(联动效应)、"资金认 可度"(次日溢价)、"资金锚点稳定性"(龙头表现)四个角度,立体判断板块强度。比如之前的稀土 板块,涨停家数持续增加,龙头封板后跟风快速跟进,次日核心股溢价超 5 个点,龙头连续 3 天稳居榜 首,这四个信号同时满足,自然成了市场主线。? 分享的这 4 个实战工具,其实是把大资金追捧的 "强度" 拆解成了可量化、可追踪的具体信号,掌握了 这套体系,就能在板块轮动中快速锁定主线。? 记住,这些工具不是孤立的,要结合情绪周期综合判断。在情绪启动期,涨停家数和联动效应是重点; 在情绪高潮期,次日溢价和龙头稳定性更关键。掌握了这套方法,就能在板块刚冒头时识别机会,在退 潮前及时抽身,让短线操作有章可循。? 先看涨停家数,这是板块强度最直观的 "体温计"。单日 5 家以上涨停只是入门信号,更关键的是 "横向 比多少,纵向看变化"。比如某天稀土板块涨停 12 家,而其他板块最多 5 家,横向对比就能确定它是当 日焦点;纵向看,如果前一天涨停 3 家,今天 12 家,就是明显的加 ...
和讯投顾朱宇菲:牛市不言顶,震荡是为了走得更远
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-13 03:16
Core Viewpoint - The market experienced a planned "rhythm adjustment" with a drop of over 40 points, primarily driven by the banking sector's actions, indicating a strategic move to stabilize market momentum rather than a sign of a market peak [1][1][1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The banking sector initially showed strong performance, pushing the index above 3550 points, but faced selling pressure as retail investors increased their buying enthusiasm, leading to a necessary correction [1][1] - The main strategy observed is a "high-low switch," where large-cap stocks that had previously risen significantly are undergoing a correction, while small-cap stocks are gaining attention from funds, aiming to balance the market and maintain activity [1][1][1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The upcoming week is expected to see continued adjustments, with a focus on the "high-low switch" strategy, suggesting that investors should avoid overbought large-cap stocks while considering small-cap stocks with solid fundamentals and potential for recovery [1][1] - The message emphasizes that in a structural bull market, fluctuations are normal and should be viewed as opportunities to position for future gains, rather than signals of a market top [1][1][1]
和讯投顾齐俊强:拉指数不赚钱?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-13 03:16
(原标题:和讯投顾齐俊强:拉指数不赚钱?) 指数回到 3500 点,不少朋友却发现账户资金没跟上,甚至还亏着 —— 这事儿不奇怪,因为现在的指数 上涨,本质是一场 "先搭台、后唱戏" 的阳谋,背后藏着资金撬动牛市的底层逻辑。? 先说说为啥指数涨了钱没回来。咱们的指数是 "权重说了算",银行、保险、石油、券商这些大盘股, 市值占比高,稍微拉一拉就能带动指数飙升。比如某队拉中石油涨停,可能直接让指数涨 20 个点,但 大多数散户手里捏的是中小题材股 —— 这些票在行情初期往往是 "陪跑者",权重股吸血式上涨时,资 金还没轮到它们,自然就出现 "指数狂欢,账户冷清" 的情况。? 再看某队强拉指数的核心目的:用最小的力气撬动最大的场外资金。牛市的本质是 "资金堆出来的", 但场外资金有个特点:不见兔子不撒鹰。如果指数一直在 3300 点晃悠,大家会觉得 "还是熊市",钱攥 在手里不敢进;但拉到 3500 点,再往 3700、4000 点冲,市场就会喊 "牛市来了",观望的资金就会忍 不住入场。这就像开演唱会,先让明星上台热场,观众才会陆续进场坐满,不然场子冷清清的,谁愿意 来?? 所以在场内的朋友别着急,现在的 "不 ...
和讯投顾史月波:反内卷的底层逻辑是什么?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-13 03:16
医药行业的 "卷" 则带有特殊性,更多由行政手段推动。集采政策让药品价格大幅下降,短期内压缩了 企业利润,也迫使行业从 "仿制药躺赚" 转向 "创新药突围"。近期创新药板块的异动,底层逻辑正是 "反内卷"—— 企业不再依赖低水平仿制,而是通过原研药研发、全球多中心临床试验等方式,向高附 加值领域进军,这恰恰契合 "高质量发展" 的要求。当创新药企业的研发管线取得突破、海外市场逐步 打开,其估值逻辑就从 "成本压缩" 转向 "成长扩容",自然能吸引资金关注。? 更深层次看,"反内卷" 的本质是中国经济跨越中等收入陷阱的必然选择。过去我们凭借低成本优势为 全球提供廉价产品,虽然支撑了经济增长,但也让部分行业陷入低利润的内卷循环,甚至成为全球通胀 低迷的 "贡献者"。而 "高质量发展" 的核心,就是让产业从 "量的积累" 转向 "质的飞跃":通过技术创 新提升产品附加值,通过品牌建设摆脱低价依赖,通过产业升级占据全球价值链的中高端。? 资金对这类板块的追捧,正是预判它们能在这一进程中率先突围。比如创新药企业通过自主研发打破海 外垄断,光伏企业凭借高效电池技术抢占全球高端市场,钢铁企业向航空航天用特种钢材转型 —— ...
和讯投顾邹同树:主力玩的全是心理战?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-13 03:16
更绝的是,这时候利好消息跟不要钱似的往外冒:"公司接大单啦""产品卖爆啦",八成都是主力放出来 的 "托儿" 消息,就像直播带货时旁边喊 "买它" 的托,目的就是撩拨散户的贪念。等散户们热血上头往 里冲,主力就开始悄悄出货了 —— 毕竟他们忙活半天,可不是来给散户抬轿的。? (原标题:和讯投顾邹同树:主力玩的全是心理战?) 说到底,主力玩的全是心理战。咱们与其整天琢磨着跟庄喝汤,不如多练脑子 —— 市场里最值钱的不 是哪只票的代码,而是你能不能看透这些套路。就像风筝飞得再高,线还在自己手里,握紧自己的判 断,才不会被主力牵着鼻子走。老铁们,记住了,保住本金、稳住心态,比啥都强! 先说主力 "偷偷囤货" 的阶段,成交量却悄悄变多,跟蚂蚁搬家似的一点点往兜里塞。为啥?他们在等 筹码够数呢!就像咱们包饺子,馅儿没调够,能下锅吗?肯定不能啊。这时候主力最怕啥?怕散户看出 来跟着抢,所以故意让价格趴着,就等不知情的散户嫌慢卖掉,他们好趁机捡便宜。? 等货囤得差不多了,好戏就来了 —— 洗盘。这环节跟导演拍恐怖片似的,盘中冷不丁给你来根大阴 线,K 线图上看着就吓人,散户一瞅:"完犊子,要崩了!" 手忙脚乱就割肉跑。其实 ...
光伏尖端设备的王者,芯片先进封装未来的“黑马”
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-13 02:14
Core Viewpoint - The company, Di'er Laser, is a leader in the domestic laser equipment sector, particularly in the photovoltaic (PV) field, and is expanding into advanced packaging and high-end display panels [1][2]. Group 1: Photovoltaic Sector - Di'er Laser is the first company globally to introduce laser technology into the photovoltaic industry, pioneering laser transfer technology that reduces HJT costs [1]. - The company holds a 100% market share in orders from leading manufacturers in the BC battery technology path, with a significant order of 1.229 billion yuan expected in 2024 [1]. - As photovoltaic technology evolves, the value of its laser equipment is increasing, leading to continuous record-breaking performance, with a 23.8% year-on-year increase in non-recurring profit in Q1 2025, significantly outperforming competitors [1][2]. Group 2: Advanced Packaging and High-End Display Panels - In the advanced packaging sector, Di'er Laser has completed the shipment of panel-level glass substrate through-hole equipment [1]. - In the high-end display panel sector, the company is in the prototype verification stage for laser mass transfer equipment [1]. - The company is positioned to lead the technological iteration of domestic laser equipment, with promising growth prospects in both advanced packaging and high-end display panel markets [2].
和讯投顾张汇:指数冲高回落,接下来大盘怎么看?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-12 04:26
Group 1 - The market experienced a significant short-term peak, indicated by a long upper shadow on the candlestick chart and high trading volume, suggesting a potential reversal [1] - The upward movement was primarily driven by bank stocks, which also contributed to the market's decline [1] - The market is expected to undergo a small correction, with the possibility of maintaining a strong upward trend in the medium term [2] Group 2 - The adjustment phase is anticipated to occur after reaching a high of 3555, with the potential for strong support around the yellow central zone [2] - If the index breaks below 3490, there is further support from the red central zone, indicating that there is no need for immediate concern [2] - The overall outlook remains positive for the index, with short-term corrections expected but a medium-term upward direction still in place [2]
A股突破3500点,成长唱戏可期
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-12 00:46
Group 1 - A-shares have broken through the 3500-point mark, a level not seen since January 24, 2022, indicating a potential bull market phase [1][2] - Historically, A-shares have only broken through 3500 points from the bottom four times, with the previous three occurrences being in bull markets [1] - The real estate sector is showing signs of recovery, driven by rumors of solutions to real estate issues, which may support market sentiment [1][2] Group 2 - Supply-side reforms are crucial in addressing internal competition, which will impact domestic demand and technological innovation [1] - The technology sector is experiencing positive changes, with companies like Zhiyuan Robotics planning a reverse merger and Changxin Storage starting its listing guidance, potentially boosting the industry chain and market risk appetite [1] - Recent news includes a 2% increase in pension for retirees and several companies releasing impressive earnings forecasts, indicating positive economic signals [1]
多家A股公司现减持及项目风险
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-12 00:41
今日多公司发布重要公告。塞力医疗(维权)旗下联营企业治疗性降压疫苗项目试验、上纬新材股份协 议转让、国投中鲁重大资产重组均存在不确定性。中国重工(维权)上半年净利同比预增182% - 238%;华光环能未发现对股价有重大影响的报道及传闻。减持方面,真视通股东拟合计减持5.96%公司 股份;利民股份、万通发展(维权)等多家公司股东拟减持不超3%公司股份;海波重科控股股东等拟 合计减持不超2.95%;药石科技员工持股平台拟减持不超2.72%;网宿科技等多家公司股东拟减持比例 不超2%;信隆健康等多家公司股东拟减持不超1%。 股票名称["塞力医疗","上纬新材","国投中鲁","中国重工","华光环能","真视通","利民股份","万通发 展","中创股份","三元生物","德方纳米","海波重科","药石科技","网宿科技","易华录","信隆健 康","金风科技","碧兴物联(维权)","保税科技","华阳国际"] 板块名称["A股"] 减持、项目不确定性、净利预增 看多看空(看空)多家公司存在项目不确定性和股东减持情况,虽有公司净利预增但整体减持影 响偏负面,所以看空A股。 和讯自选股写手 风险提示:以上内容 ...
和讯投顾朱和旺:A股44点过山车,走出上半年最长上影线,下周走势如何?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-11 13:01
Group 1 - The A-share market experienced significant volatility, with a peak increase of 45 points that was later erased, resulting in the longest upper shadow line of the year, indicating uncertainty in market direction [1] - The analysis suggests that the three main driving forces for the market remain intact: U.S. monetary easing, potential relaxation in the domestic real estate sector, and declining interest rates [2][3] - The domestic real estate sector is expected to see a positive impact from potential policy relaxations, which could stabilize the market and benefit related stocks [2][3] Group 2 - The recent adjustment in the banking sector, which saw a decline of 1.91%, was a significant factor in the market's volatility, but the long-term outlook remains positive due to supportive policies for insurance companies [3][4] - New regulations for insurance companies allow for a longer evaluation period of 3 to 5 years, reducing the pressure to achieve short-term performance and encouraging long-term investments in the A-share market [4][6] - The potential increase in insurance funds' investment in the A-share market could lead to an influx of approximately 3.5 trillion yuan, significantly stabilizing the market [7][8]