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和讯投顾李永熙:明天冲击3550,你做好准备了吗?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 12:56
Key Points on Market Analysis - The first key point is the change in trading volume. A trading volume of 1.8 trillion is necessary for significant profit effects, but it is unlikely to be reached tomorrow. The focus should be on whether the volume can approach 1.7 trillion, as volume changes are gradual. The recent decline in the banking sector is not intended to pull down the index but to facilitate fund switching into sectors like technology, robotics, and semiconductors. A sharp decline in the banking sector could hinder effective fund inflow into these smaller sectors, so a gradual adjustment is preferred [1][2]. - The second key point is the performance of the brokerage sector. The securities sector has been in a state of fluctuation but is expected to experience a breakout soon, especially with the upcoming stock index futures settlement day. The brokerage sector will play a crucial role in whether the Shanghai Composite Index can break through the 3550-point mark. Additionally, the ability of the brokerage sector to drive the STAR Market and ChiNext to new highs is important. Currently, there are no risks perceived in the market, and the focus should be on sectors that have not yet reached new highs while considering profit-taking in those that have [2].
和讯投顾史月波:数字化和信创板块的逻辑是什么?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 12:56
Group 1 - The core viewpoint emphasizes the interconnectedness of macro policies and industrial development, particularly in areas like fiscal taxation, digitalization, state-owned cloud services, remote work, cloud computing, and information technology innovation [1] - The information technology application innovation (信创) industry is closely linked to government functions, relying on big data and software processes to enhance transparency in income and tax information through fiscal digitalization [1] - The development of fiscal digitalization and the 信创 industry aims to achieve the construction of a "unified market," which optimizes resource allocation, improves economic efficiency, and enhances internal economic resilience amid increasing global uncertainties [1] Group 2 - The current global landscape is primarily composed of three major blocs: the United States, China, and Europe, with the U.S. dominating in monetary and consumer sectors while competing with Russia in energy exports [2] - China, as a manufacturing powerhouse, plays a crucial role in production but relies on upstream raw materials and energy supplies, making it vulnerable to external market changes [2] - In response to potential trade barriers, China is adopting a "de-involution" strategy to reduce the production of low-value-added products and optimize its industrial structure to enhance competitiveness [2]
和讯投顾张平:题材爆发!A股7月迎来主升浪!
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 12:56
Market Performance - The A-share market continues to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index showing a rebound trend and the Shenzhen market performing particularly strong, with almost all sectors rotating [1] - The market is reaching new highs, indicating a main upward trend, with previously mentioned strategies being validated [1] Investment Strategies - A model called "Old Duck Head" is suggested, which focuses on stocks where moving averages converge and then show signs of volume expansion, indicating potential for sudden price increases [1] - Different market phases require different models; for example, the "moving average flowering" model is particularly effective during upward trends [2] Market Outlook - Caution is advised for the next trading day due to the upcoming stock index futures settlement date, with a reminder to monitor this date [2] - Despite concerns about certain sectors like pharmaceuticals and robotics, there are still strong performances in innovative drugs and some robotics stocks [2] ETF Performance - Food and Beverage ETF (515170): Recent five-day change is +0.70%, with a PE ratio of 20.01 and a net inflow of 17.22 million [4] - Gaming ETF (159869): Recent five-day change is -3.16%, with a PE ratio of 43.26 and a net outflow of 11.49 million [4] - Cloud Computing 50 ETF (516630): Recent five-day change is +8.58%, with a PE ratio of 108.74 and a net outflow of 1.76 million [5]
和讯投顾王佳楠:3500牛市起点or高位出货?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 12:56
Group 1 - The current market sentiment is mixed, with some believing that the 3500-point mark is the start of a bull market, while others see it as a signal for high-level selling by major players [1] - There is no systemic risk present in the market, attributed to an unprecedented asset allocation shortage in the domestic market [1] - Traditional investment channels such as real estate, gold, and government bonds are losing their allocation value, with real estate facing potential downward pressure [1] Group 2 - The stock market and capital market are becoming the primary reservoirs for funds due to the narrowing investment channels [1] - Investors are encouraged to adopt a "buy on small dips, buy more on large dips" strategy to seize market opportunities [1] - For stock-focused investors, monitoring trading volume is crucial, with a stable trading volume of around 1.5 trillion yuan being a positive indicator for wave operations and sector rotation [1] Group 3 - The solid-state battery sector experienced a slight increase, while the photovoltaic sector saw a pullback after a rise [2] - Long-term prospects for both solid-state batteries and photovoltaics remain positive [2] - Attention is drawn to the semiconductor sector, particularly in subfields like photolithography machines and photolithography adhesives, which may present rotation opportunities [2] Group 4 - The domestic AI infrastructure construction is expected to accelerate with the supply of NVIDIA graphics cards, which will benefit related domestic computing power concept stocks [2] - Investors are advised to patiently wait for the emergence of this trend for potential investment opportunities [2]
和讯投顾周铃:突破还是调整?周五市场能突破压力位吗!
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 12:56
Core Viewpoint - The market is showing strong performance, indicating a potential bullish trend, with all indices rising and significant trading volume observed [1][2]. Market Performance - All three major indices, including the Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index, closed with strong bullish candlesticks, reflecting a robust return of bullish sentiment [1]. - A total of 3,536 stocks rose today, with a trading volume reaching 1.56 trillion, an increase of 98.5 billion compared to the previous day [1]. Fund Flow Analysis - Institutional and major players are injecting new capital into the market, while retail investors are still experiencing net outflows, though the amount has significantly decreased to less than 8 billion [1][2]. - The reduction in retail outflows suggests that previous selling pressure has been alleviated, leading to a concentration of shares among institutional and major players [1]. Market Outlook - The market is likely to continue its upward trend, with a focus on the flow of funds, particularly whether institutions will maintain their inflow and if retail investors will shift to net inflow [2]. - Key support and resistance levels are identified: Shanghai Composite Index support at 3,490 and resistance at 3,530; ChiNext Index support at 2,228 and resistance at 2,284 [2]. Sector Focus - Attention should be given to sectors such as port shipping and power electronics for potential buying opportunities, especially if they align with the overall market uptrend [2].
和讯投顾刘文博:平均股价再创新高,继续等待补票机会
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 12:56
(原标题:和讯投顾刘文博:平均股价再创新高,继续等待补票机会) 首先,近期市场的量能一直维持在1.5万亿的水平之上。如此高的量能级别恰好遇到了8个月的盘整箱体 上轨,这无疑是在为后续的大行情蓄势。其次,各大指数的周线、月线和日线均线系统都呈现出非常标 准的多头排列,这为市场的上行提供了有力的技术支撑。第三,众多板块,无论是近期表现强势的,还 是长期走弱的,近期都能看到底部资金不断进场。几乎所有板块的短期和中期形态都呈现出徐徐向上、 蓄势待发的走势。 综合以上三点,可以明确判断,目前行情正处于上行周期中,且尚未有结束的迹象。再看今天指数的表 现,又在悄无声息中放出了900多亿的量能,昨天刚刚跌破1.5万亿,今天又再度回到1.5万亿的量能上 方。总之,现在是行情不断给我们送钱的日子。 我们一直强调,在盘中要根据指数的走势灵活操作:指数强势上涨时敢于追击,指数快速下跌时敢于抄 底。但唯独对于这种既没有大幅上涨动力,又跌不下来的行情,确实让人无从下手。不过,强势上涨和 暴力洗盘在未来行情中总会出现,或许就在明天。只要不踏空,在这样的市场中不愁没有赚钱的机会。 恭喜大家今天在市场上收获颇丰!从今天的平均股价走势来看,从 ...
和讯投顾冯珂:
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 12:56
(原标题:和讯投顾冯珂:) 今天大盘表现强劲,成功放量站稳了3510点,创新药板块领涨,人形机器人再度成为大科技板块的领头羊。但即便如此,仍有部分投资者对市场 前景持怀疑态度,这也在一定程度上反映了市场的复杂性和投资者认知的差异。正如俗话所说,"愚昧者的掌心留不住财富的影子",A股市场本 就是一个充满竞争的地方。如果所有人的认知都完全一致,那么市场上的投资机会也将不复存在,从这个角度来看,这些认知不足的投资者在一 定程度上也为市场提供了机会。 自7月10号以来,沪指已经有6个交易日站稳了3500点之上。回顾历史,此前曾有4次冲击3500点的现象,分别发生在2007年4月、2015年3月、2018 年年初以及去年的924行情。前两次冲击3500点之后,市场演变为超级大牛市;而后两次则未能站稳,很快便开启了漫长的下跌之路。而此次3500 点能够站稳6天,充分说明主力已经形成了合力,为后续冲击3800点打下了坚实的基础。 今天市场有两个积极信号值得关注。第一个信号是,在银行板块调整的背景下,大科技板块的表现越发活跃。冯珂多次强调"银行跌倒,散户吃 饱",沪指站上3500点之后,金融权重板块的搭台任务基本完成,大科技 ...
A股行情向好,看多后市
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 12:49
Group 1 - The four major A-share indices initially weakened but later strengthened, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.37% and the ChiNext Index leading with a 1.76% increase, resulting in over 3,500 stocks rising [1] - The leading sectors included pharmaceuticals, printed circuit boards, and CPO, while telecommunications, oil, and banking sectors lagged [1] - The stock with the highest consecutive gains was Shangwei New Materials, achieving seven consecutive limit-up days, indicating a positive market trend despite an incomplete consecutive gain lineup [1] Group 2 - The overall market sentiment is bullish, with the continuous increase in limit-up stocks over the past two days and the advancement of some consecutive gain stocks laying a foundation for upward market movement [2] - The AI and new energy sectors are driving market development, contributing to the positive outlook for A-shares [2]
和讯投顾高璐明:放量上攻!向上变盘了?
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 11:33
Group 1 - The market has shown initial signs of an upward trend reversal, with over 3,500 stocks rising and major indices collectively advancing, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 13 points, breaking through the critical resistance level of the 5-day moving average at 3,511 points, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext indices both increased by over 1%, signaling upward momentum [1] - Trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets increased significantly by nearly 1 trillion, suggesting that capital is re-entering the market, which is essential for a sustained upward movement [1] Group 2 - Despite the positive signs, the upward breakout lacks strength, and the increase in trading volume is relatively modest, indicating that the upward trend has not yet been fully confirmed [2] - The strategy for investors should focus on identifying low-priced stocks that have not experienced significant increases, particularly those that are consolidating around the 5-day, 10-day, and 20-day moving averages [2] - For investors holding stocks that have already appreciated significantly, caution is advised as the market may still face potential pullback pressures despite the initial upward signals [2]
和讯投顾韩东峰:大盘反复夯实3500关口,军工电子活跃
He Xun Cai Jing· 2025-07-17 11:33
Market Overview - The market has been consolidating around the 3500-point level, with a slight increase of 13 points today, indicating a relatively strong overall trend [1] - The central bank has been actively injecting liquidity into the market through a continuous net injection of 7-day reverse repos for three consecutive days, suggesting a supportive funding environment [1] Investment Opportunities - Two sectors showing strong performance today are optical modules and printed circuit boards (PCBs), which are expected to remain active in the technology field [2] - The military and pharmaceutical sectors also demonstrated strong activity, with military equipment showing promising performance as earnings reports approach [2] - The pharmaceutical sector, particularly innovative drugs, has been a major driver this month, supported by new standards and batch procurement policies [3] Sector Analysis - The technology sector, including components and innovative drugs, is highlighted as a key area for investment, while also monitoring the potential recovery in real estate and other sectors like steel and energy metals [3] - Caution is advised against chasing small-cap stocks, as they tend to experience rapid price fluctuations [3]