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Easy· 2025-10-04 13:25
The biggest take away for me is that prediction markets will ultimately be a source of truth.You'll have opportunities that show themself before anything else.Take the recent Japanese Prime Minister election, everything pointed toward Shinjiro Koizumi to win, however, markets showed Sanae Takaichi win before it was made public.On top of this the ability to hedge positions for trad-fi assets will outlast that of sports markets by 100x imo.There is no market where you can hedge your trad-fi equity exposure in ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-10-04 13:13
The lack of understanding on the greater opportunity with prediction markets is amazing.I will say; the belief that it is only sports or predominantly sports is not wrong considering messaging as of late and pushes for volume based metrics showcasing the volume is largely sportsHowever, imo the biggest thing here is that the news, economic, politics and entertainment verticals are the ones that truly show opportunity.Markets price in reality much sooner than media outlets showcase the same things. The finan ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-10-04 03:37
277/365I think my day counter may be up / wrong somehow cause of the asia posting idk anymoreChatGPT says its 276, but im on 277.idk we'll seeWICKED grateful for the beautiful lady in my life, who set up my entire office that has been out of commission for a month, and is NOW ALIVE and well, and im back at the desk and omfg im so excited.Also she did so much leg work for a rather large purchase we are making that has us both beyond excited, got about 30 days or so to finalize it all but man we are HYPEDDD a ...
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Easy· 2025-10-04 00:43
Market Prediction & Geopolitical Risk - Prediction market observers are closely monitoring Trump's Nobel Peace Prize odds, currently at 4% [1] - Positive developments in Ukraine/Russia relations, potentially attributed to Trump's involvement, could significantly increase his chances [1] - Hamas has expressed readiness to immediately engage in negotiations through mediators [1]