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X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-17 00:58
420 bps hike tomorrow.Ansem (@blknoiz06):700 bps ...
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Easy· 2025-09-16 21:31
Across both books we got 7 plays going into tomorrow's FOMC Speech by Powell (+ the Q&A which also counts)Tariff Inflation | NOLisa / Cook | NOTrump | NO (both Polymarket + Kalshi)Stagflation | NOAnchored 3+ times | YESGoal 15+ times | NOTariff 15+ times | NOVideo below on HOW I came to these conclusions for these specific mention markets.Easy (@EasyEatsBodega):Get Rich From Words...Full video on how I break down and look for mispricings on mention markets!What dataWhat promptsWhat resourcesI use to find th ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-16 20:52
Everything for the rest of eternity is a market.A market that you can trade && speculate on.Accept it.Embrace it.Win. ...
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Easy· 2025-09-16 19:32
if you prefer, you can also watch the full video on Youtube.https://t.co/7D8AnlRHp3 ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-16 19:31
Prediction Market Analysis - The analysis focuses on identifying mispricings in prediction markets to potentially profit from them [1] - The strategy involves using data, prompts, and resources to find edges in these markets [1] - The report highlights the use of multiple prediction markets to leverage different odds and wording [1] Platform Comparison - The analysis compares @Kalshi with Polymarket, noting differences in wording and singular word references [1] - @Kalshi uses more singular word references compared to the total counts on Polymarket [1] Trading Strategy - The author had 7 plays for the FOMC Speech [1] - The strategy aims to find opportunities that the user likes [1]
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-16 18:35
Now the OTHER nice thing.Multiple Prediction Markets = Multiple Odds && Different Words.Lets take a look at @KalshiA LOT of different words here, and more of singular word references vs the total counts we saw on PolymarketThis makes it for a little bit different type of approach.Using the same model, based on prior speeches.We have some serious outliers.Stagflation | NO | 80c and under- the likelihood of him willingly using the word is slim, historically he has stayed away from this word entirely, and has ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-16 17:53
Mention Markets are the MOST fun to find historic inefficiencies.Tomorrow's FOMC, all eyes will be on what Powell says, specifically for forward looking price action.Me personally, I'll be watching closely to the words said.I'm running a model on the previous speeches, and leveraging that to this speech, in hopes to find some mispriced odds.The Top Markets that I like- Tarriff 15+ times (NO) | under 60cMy model has Tarriffs over 15 times, closer to 38%, and the market is pricing it at 44%.a 7% difference is ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-16 17:22
Crypto Market & Trading - The market is anticipated to become problematic quickly [1] - The focus is on capturing a SOL pump for a 4 SOL gain [1] - 0DTE (Zero Days to Expiration) options are expected to perform very well [1] - The platform combines prediction markets and options contracts for crypto price action [1] Platform Features - Trading is available on both mobile and desktop [1] - Users can set their own time frames and targets [1]
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-16 17:02
A combination of prediction markets and options contracts for crypto price action.All tradeable on mobile (and desktop)Set your time frames.Set your targets.&& win... or well lose.Beyond hyped for this launch&& even more excited to be working with @N0DTE https://t.co/3xb4faxwVV0DTE (@N0DTE):Introducing 0DTE, predict the price of cryptoRate cuts, Trump tweets and volatility are inevitable.The right position can change your lifeOne click, 5 minute leverage trades https://t.co/lpwAOl5I6q ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-16 15:28
Risk Reward in Prediction Markets.This entire post is to help breakdown my thought process on a specific Prediction Market.It Is NOT a Trade You Should Make Now IMO.Sports markets are tough, but you can find misvalued lines that allow you to take advantage of themThe one I got into yesterday was on @MyriadMarketsThey had Cam Ward vs Caleb Williams, who scores more touchdown passes before Week 4.(shoutout @ChiantiTrail putting it on my radar)Week 3 is this Sunday, which will be the conclusion of this market. ...