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Easy· 2025-09-10 12:51
Some prediction market alpha.Market is more or less predicting a guaranteed rate cut for September- 1 cut is 81%- 2 cut is 18%December has 1 rate cut at 61%However the October market is only pricing in a 57% chance at 1 cut.I believe the OCT 1 cut at 57% is the best value here.It seems to be getting devalued due to the potential 2 cuts in September.If September only has 1 rate cut, the October odds will go toward 75/80% almost immediately after imo.That’s a 35-40% gain you could net in 5 days from now.On to ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-10 10:27
No stream the rest of the week.Golfing 3 of the next 5 days on some personal travel.First time in AWHILE ima be away from the set up, and actually taking some time away.This means I’ll just have to predict and trade from my phone!Perfect time for the market to RIPPPP ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-10 03:27
254/365Absolutely EUPHORIC day with prediction markets. I wanna start streaming some of those live events. I think it’d be a ton of funNo stream tomorrow till Sunday, traveling for some personal stuff to see some friends and golf n what not.Gonna miss the lady, but very very proud of how hard she working on her goals and crushing them with work and personal stuff.Got a busy rest of September.Competing in this Bullpen Fi Ansem perps challenge. We up slightly on that, hoping to make a runCan’t wait to see my ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-09 23:41
Quit overthinking it.Prediction Markets have the opportunity to be a massive space in their own.Today, there was COUNTLESS people tuned into Apple’s event, purely for the price of the iPhone.Many didn’t even have a stake in the market, but they know someone who did and found enjoyment seeing if that person won or lost.Prediction Markets turn these “ordinary” events into extraordinary landscapes.It almost creates a “game” or sport out of day to day things that many people would love to speculate onWith these ...