Market Prediction & Speculation - The analysis focuses on potential outcomes of a South Park episode related to prediction markets, specifically Kalshi and Polymarket [1][2] - The core strategy involves predicting the frequency of specific keywords ("SCAM", "TRUMP", "Predict/Prediction") within the episode to speculate on market outcomes [1] - The analysis suggests allocating the majority of playing capital to predictions about the frequency of "SCAM" and "Predict/Prediction" mentions [1] Specific Predictions & Risk Assessment - The analysis anticipates a high probability (YES, <75c) of "Predict / Prediction" being mentioned 10+ times, reflecting the episode's focus on prediction apps [1] - The analysis anticipates a low probability (NO, <50c) of "TRUMP" being mentioned 3+ times, based on the season's trend and the episode's broader scope [1] - The analysis identifies "Tylenol" as a small gamble with a potential 3x return (YES, <30c) [1] - The analysis suggests considering small gambles on Polymarket and Kalshi outcomes (NO, <80c) [1] Market Sentiment & Potential Catalysts - The analysis highlights the potential for a "mention market" related to South Park, suggesting significant interest and potential trading volume [1][2] - The analysis expresses enthusiasm for Polymarket and Kalshi to create markets based on the South Park episode, anticipating high engagement [2]

They disputed “MAGA” on if Kimmelsaid it live or not.Turns out MAGA-nificent counts.4 for 4 on Kimmel.Also I took advantage of the cheapYES shares and bought more sub 25c for the 4x upside while it was disputed. https://t.co/bgTbaj8dgsEasy (@EasyEatsBodega):3 for 4.Another beautifully profitable mention market.CAST | YES ✅OBAMA | NO ✅NEXSTAR / SINCLAIR | NO ✅MAGA | YES ❌ ...

Woke up to some yes n some noAfter going 8-0 the last 2 days, I had toCool off a bit.Jimmy Kimmel | NO |❌ (can’t beiieve be said it)Medicare / Medicaid | NO | ✅Economy | YES | ❌Tax on Tips | YES | ❌ (this shocked me)Overtime | YES | ✅Honestly surprised.He went WAY harder on the political and law enforcement side than the middle America and tax / market / economy side.We know for next time. 2-3. 10-3 through the last 3 is greatAnd also woke up to an official Polymarket mention market for SouthPark.Will share ...

I’m suppose to go golf in a hour n 15minDo I try to sleep for like 45min more or just accept my fate? ...

It’s gonna be a loooooong day.Jet lag hit me hard af today omfg.It’s 3:40am.I been up a hour already tossing n turning.Nothing good about it ...

One day at a time. ...

This is a GAME CHANGER...@bubblemaps has rolled out their Intel Desk.&& it is a HUGE and novel experience for ALL things on-chain dataThere are MAJOR issues with the On-Chain research / sleuthing today...- research is scattered- community focus is not directed- contributors aren't rewardedWhat Bubblemaps is doing, COMPLETELY changes the game...How Intel Desk Works to solve this...- Connect a wallet, deposit $BMT, allocate, reallocate... you're not spending tokens, just signaling priority. The total $BMT all ...

Shoutout the gang over at @MyriadMarketsLove to be able to at least get SOME action on the South Park episode.I lean the No for this.I feel like South Park if anything will have their own 'Punny" app name for the Prediction Market App the characters become obsessed with.Only way I see a name mentioned is if it has some negative tonality as a competitor or something about it sucking.But overall I think its a 'no free promo' type of situation, and theyll go with their own app name.Easy (@EasyEatsBodega):Looks ...

the TLDR for my playsJIMMY KIMMEL | POLYMARKET | NO | <75cMEDICARE / MEDICAID | POLYMARKET | NO | <50cECONOMY | KALSHI | YES | <60cTAX ON TIPS | KALSHI | YES | <65cOVERTIME | KALSHI | YES | <65c ...

Looks like we don't have a mention market for SouthPark's episode about Mention Markets.So instead, I am speculating on what JD Vance will say in a very niche public address in North Carolina.He's speaking at 2:30pm EST(i hope i wake up to some wins)Doing some due diligence, the topics will include President Trump’s tax cuts for working families and empowering state and local law enforcement.&& we have 2 VERY different word choices across Kalshi + Polymarket.------JIMMY KIMMEL | POLYMARKET | NO | <75cThis t ...