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Easy· 2025-09-05 01:56
249/365Football is back.I’m excited.Once again in too many fantasy leaguesReally enjoying production markets and focusing more time there. It’s slower paced but better. Returns sure aren’t 100x’s but you can stack wins so consistently.Have still kept tabs on perps. Made a couple meme plays but not as focused there at the moment.Also want to add the lady in my life is amazing, and I’m beyond proud of how hard she’s working and can’t wait to continue to see her kick ass in her role at AVAX. She did beat me la ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-05 01:22
The intersection of live sports + prediction markets is fascinating.In a close game, you can essentially scalp trade the live scores over and over and over.Dallas got up to 40c and Phi to 60c once Dallas scored their 2nd touchdown to take a 7pt lead in the 1st quarter.After PHI scored again, their prices shot back up toward 75c.I know 10c may not seem like a lot, but this was an opportunity to watch the game and make a trade just off the live scores alone.This market has 3 MILLION dollars of volume on it, a ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-04 17:20
AI and Data Ownership - AI usage is becoming increasingly prevalent, raising concerns about users giving away their data for free [1] - OpenLedger aims to redefine the AI economy by rewarding users for their data contributions [2] - The core concept revolves around ensuring every data contribution is credited and eventually rewarded [2][6] $OPEN Token and Tokenomics - $OPEN token serves as the reward vehicle within the OpenLedger ecosystem [2] - Community and Ecosystem allocation accounts for 61.7% of the total token supply [4] - Token distribution includes allocations for Ecosystem (10%), Community (51.7%), Investors (18.29%), Team (15%), and Liquidity (5%) [4] - $OPEN token unlocks linearly over 48 months for Community & Ecosystem, and with a 12-month cliff + 36-month linear unlock for Team & Investors [3] $OPEN Token Use Cases - $OPEN token will be used for Gas Fees on the OpenLedger Network [5] - $OPEN token will be used for Proof of Attribution Rewards for Contributors [5] - $OPEN token will be used to Pay for Model Training, Deployment & Inference [5] - $OPEN token will be used for Granular Per-Inference Payments [5] - $OPEN token will be used for Governance Participation [5]
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-04 13:44
WOW, HUGE ACQUISITION!!!Breakout x Kraken...Prop Trading firm coming to the traditional CEX market.Congrats to @TradermayneDude is an absolute legend, and if you dont watch his daily Youtube Content, you're an idiot, cause its a wealth of knowledge.DEGEN NEWS (@DegenerateNews):NEW: KRAKEN ACQUIRES BREAKOUT https://t.co/CSVTDQGCcq ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-04 13:30
My Top Time Based Trades Right now.Gemini 3.0 to be released by Oct 31- They just released Nano Banana, likelihood of another model is slim before October, with this still being only a week old.- At 60c for the No, you still have a 40c return, which is a 66% gain if you hold to expire.- I think you will break 80c here sooner than later, and personally Ill start scaling outWill Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by...?- September 10th is already at a near guarantee for No- September 15th is sitting at a NO for 80 ...
X @Easy
Easy· 2025-09-04 13:05
Investment Strategy - Prediction markets offer opportunities for patient investors who can hold positions early and capitalize on time decay [1] - Time decay creates a premium for event-based contracts, where the value increases as the resolution date approaches if the event has not occurred [1] - Identifying markets where an event is unlikely to occur by a specific date allows investors to benefit from the increasing odds as time passes [1] Risk Management - The primary risk is the occurrence of the predicted event, which would result in a loss [4] - Shorter time frames and smaller profit targets can mitigate risk and allow for consistent gains [4] - Data analysis, announcements, and market insights are crucial for identifying favorable odds and managing risk [4] Examples of Successful Strategies - An investment in the "Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast" market on August 27th at 639 mills (0639 USD) yielded an 11% gain in one week as the resolution date neared [2] - An investment in the "Google's Gemini Release by October 31st" market at 523 mills (0523 USD) resulted in an 11% gain due to the release of another AI product, Nano Bannana, making a Gemini release less likely in the short term [3] Key Takeaway - Time is a valuable asset in prediction markets, and investors can leverage it to their advantage by carefully selecting markets and utilizing data-driven insights [4][5]