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2024年3月PMI数据点评:景气超预期回升,政策效应有望逐步显现
Southwest Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
景气超预期回升,政策效应有望逐步显现 ——2024 年 3 月 PMI 数据点评 请务必阅读正文后的重要声明部分 2024 年 3 月份中国制造业采购经理指数较 2 月回升 1.7 个百分点至 50.8%,主要受季 节性、政策预期以及外需三重因素带动,结束了连续 5 个月的收缩,超出市场预期。制造业 产需两端景气度均改善,需求端回升更加明显。非制造业商务活动指数回升 1.6 个百分点至 53%,其中,服务业景气度连续三个月走高,建筑业景气度回升。综合 PMI 产出指数为 52.7%, 较上月升高 1.8 个百分点。3 月,两会过后政策加快部署落地,超长期特别国债、新一轮设 备更新和消费品以旧换新等政策有望持续带动国内消费和投资,预计后续制造业景气度平稳 扩张。 三重因素下制造业景气度超预期回升,需求端改善更为明显。2024 年 3 月制造业采购 经理人指数较 2 月回升 1.7 个百分点至 50.8%,结束了连续 5 个月的收缩,超出市场预期。 3 月份制造业景气度回升一方面是受到季节性因素的影响,正常年份的春节后一月的制造业 PMI 通常回升,2015-2019 年春节后一月的制造业 PMI 环比平均回升 ...
业绩符合预期,新增项目数量持续修复

Southwest Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
Investment Rating - The report does not specify a clear investment rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's 2023 annual report shows revenue of 17.03 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 11.6%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 23.1% to 3.4 billion RMB [2] - Non-COVID revenue grew by 37.7% to 16.51 billion RMB, indicating robust growth in non-COVID projects [2] - The number of new projects reached a historical high in 2023, with a total of 132 new projects added throughout the year [2] - The company's "Winning Molecules" strategy continues to drive future revenue growth, with a backlog of approximately 20.6 billion USD in unfulfilled orders [2] - The Singapore integrated CRDMO center has commenced construction, and the Irish base is expected to achieve breakeven in 2024, indicating positive capacity ramp-up [3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 17.03 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 11.56% [4] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.4 billion RMB, reflecting a decline of 23.09% [4] - The adjusted net profit was 4.7 billion RMB, down 4.6% year-on-year [2] Revenue Breakdown - COVID-related revenue was 530 million RMB, down 83.9%, while non-COVID revenue was 16.51 billion RMB, up 37.7% [2] - Revenue from preclinical, clinical early (Phase I, II), clinical III, and commercialization stages were 5.4 billion, 3.62 billion, and 7.73 billion RMB respectively, with significant growth in clinical III and commercialization [2] Project Development - The number of new projects added in 2023 was 132, with a strong recovery in the second half of the year [2] - The company aims to increase the target for new projects in 2024 from 80 to 110 [2] Capacity and Operations - The Singapore CRDMO center will provide integrated research, development, and production services, with a planned capacity of 120,000 liters [3] - The Irish base is expected to reach breakeven in 2024, with significant commercial production demand anticipated from 2025 [3] Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits of 3.81 billion, 4.5 billion, and 5.29 billion RMB for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.90, 1.06, and 1.24 RMB [4][9]
发电业务稳中有进,组件&EPC业务承压静待修复
Southwest Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
[Table_Author] 分析师:池天惠 执业证号:S1250522100001 电话:13003109597 邮箱:cth@swsc.com.cn 分析师:刘洋 执业证号:S1250523070005 电话:18019200867 邮箱:ly21@swsc.com.cn [Table_StockInfo] 2024 年 03 月 30 日 证券研究报告•2023 年年报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:9.43 元 芯能科技(603105)公用事业 目标价:——元(6 个月) [Table_Summary] 事件:公司发布 2023年年报,2023年公司实现营业收入 6.86亿元,同比增长 5.59%;实现归母净利润 2.20亿元,同比增长 14.95%。2023Q4公司实现营业 收入 1.43亿元,同比增长 8.61%,环比减少 32.71%;实现归母净利润 0.34亿元, 同比增长 12.09%,环比减少55.07%。 再融资加码分布式光伏电站建设。截至报告期末,公司累计自持分布式光伏电 站并网容量约 828MW,较期初并网容量增加约 102MW。报告期内,公司成功 发行可转换公司债券,募集资金共计 8 ...
地达西尼获批上市,营销改革拓展未来增量空间
Southwest Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
[ T able_StockInfo] 2024 年 03 月 30 日 证券研究报告•2023 年年报点评 买入 (维持) 当前价:10.73 元 京新药业(002020)医药生物 目标价:——元(6 个月) [Table_QuotePic] 相对指数表现 -29% -17% -5% 7% 19% 31% 23/3 23/5 23/7 23/9 23/11 24/1 24/3 京新药业 沪深300 数据来源:聚源数据 | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------|----------------------| | | | | 总股本 ( 亿股 ) | 8.61 | | 流通 A 股 ( 亿股 ) | 6.56 | | 52 周内股价区间 ( 元 ) | 8.6-15.87 | | 总市值 ( 亿元 ) | 92.39 | | 总资产 ( 亿元 ) | 79.87 | | 每股净资产 ( 元 ) | 6.40 | | | | | 相关研究 [Table_Report] 1. 京新药业( 002020 | ):营销改革业绩逐步 | ...
机器人行业周报(0325-0331):工信部发布工业机器人行业规范条件征求意见稿,地方相继启动人形机器人创新中心
Southwest Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
[2T0a2b4l年e_I0n3d月ust3ry1In日fo ] 强于大市(维持) 证券研究报告•行业研究•机械设备 机器人行业周报(0325-0331) 工信部发布工业机器人行业规范条件征求意见稿, 地方相继启动人形机器人创新中心 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心 行[Ta情ble回_S顾um:m本ar周y] (3月 25日-3月 31日)机器人指数收跌。中证机器人指数下 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au邰th桂or龙] 跌 2.8%,跑输沪深300指数约 2.6个百分点,跑输创业板指约0.1个百分点; 执业证号:S1250521050002 国证机器人指数下跌3.1%,跑输沪深300指数约2.9个百分点,跑输创业板指 电话:021-58351893 约 0.4个百分点。 邮箱:tgl@swsc.com.cn 工信部发文,供给端支持国内机器人优秀企业。3月25日,工业和信息化部装 分析师:周鑫雨 备工业一司公开征求对工业机器人行业规范条件及管理实施办法(征求意见稿) 执业证号:S1250523070008 的意见,对关键零部件制造企业、本体制造企业、集成应用企业营收和研发费 电话:021-58351893 ...
医药行业创新药周报:2024年3月第五周创新药周报(附小专题MET靶点研发概况)
Southwest Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
2024年 03月 31日 强于大市(维持) 证券研究报告•行业研究•医药生物 医药行业创新药周报(3.25-3.31) 2024 年 3 月第五周创新药周报 (附小专题 MET 靶点研发概况) A股和港股创新药板块及XBI指数本周走势 西南证券研究发展中心 202[4Ta年ble3_月Su第m五m周ary,] 陆港两地创新药板块共计 22个股上涨,37个股下跌。其中 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au杜th向or阳] 涨幅前三为首药控股-U(+12.95%)、微芯生物(+9.13%)、泽璟制药- 执业证号:S1250520030002 U(+7.83%)。跌幅前三为亚盛医药-B(-17.97%)、歌礼制药-B(-16.02%)、开拓药业 电话:021-68416017 -B (-10.06%)。 邮箱:duxy@swsc.com.cn 本周 A 股创新药板块下跌 0.16%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 0.05pp,生物医药下跌 分析师:汤泰萌 2.5%。近 6个月 A股创新药累计上涨 0.35%,跑赢沪深 300指数 3.26pp,生物 执业证号:S1250522120001 医药累计下跌9.93%。 电话:021- ...
2023年年报点评:主业触底,新品起量增厚收入
Southwest Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 34.20 CNY, reflecting a 36x PE for 2025 [1][15]. Core Insights - The company's main business has reached a bottom, and new products are expected to increase revenue. In 2023, the company achieved a revenue of 580 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 10%, but reported a net profit loss of 19.07 million CNY, a decline of 150.2% year-on-year [1][15]. - The company continues to invest in R&D, with R&D expenses increasing by 38.2% to 160 million CNY in 2023, despite the profit decline [1][15]. Summary by Sections Performance Summary - In 2023, the company reported revenue of 580 million CNY, with AC-DC and driver IC segments generating 290 million CNY and 280 million CNY respectively, showing increases of 0.8% and 18.3% year-on-year [1][3]. - The gross margin was 23.6%, down 4.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net margin was -6.3%, down 11.8 percentage points [1][3]. - The company’s expense ratios for sales, management, and R&D were 2.9%, 6.4%, and 27.5% respectively, with R&D expenses in absolute terms reaching 160 million CNY [1][3]. Business Outlook - The AC-DC segment is expected to continue growing in the home appliance sector, with a focus on enhancing product performance and reliability. The company is launching new products aimed at high-power applications [1][15]. - The general LED segment is under pressure due to macroeconomic factors, but the company plans to adjust its strategy to focus on mid-to-high power and smart LED products, which may improve profitability [1][15]. - The DC-DC and motor driver segments are anticipated to see significant growth, with the DC-DC segment's revenue increasing sixfold in 2023, and the motor driver segment expected to ramp up production in 2024 [1][15]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are 760 million CNY, 960 million CNY, and 1.17 billion CNY respectively, with net profits expected to recover to 30.26 million CNY, 65.89 million CNY, and 107.53 million CNY [1][15]. - The company is expected to maintain a steady growth trajectory, with a projected gross margin improvement to 29.0% by 2026 [1][15].
迭代升级夯实技术壁垒,海外渠道持续丰富
Southwest Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
[Table_StockInfo] 买入 2024年 03月 29日 (维持) 证券研究报告•2023年年报点评 当前价: 341.93元 石头科技(688169) 家用电器 目标价: ——元(6个月) 迭代升级夯实技术壁垒,海外渠道持续丰富 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心 [T a事ble件_S:u2m0m23a年ry]公 司实现营收86.5亿元,同比增长30.5%;归母净利润20.5亿 元,同比增长73.3%;扣非后归母净利润18.3亿元,同比增长52.5%。单季度 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au龚th梦or泓] 来看,Q4公司实现营收 29.7亿元,同比增长 32.6%;归母净利润 6.9亿元, 执业证号:S1250518090001 同比增长 110.3%;扣非后归母净利润 5.7亿,同比增长 68.6%。2023年公司 电话:023-63786049 分红率金额(含回购)8.4亿元,合计分红金额占当期归母净利润比率自 2022 邮箱:gmh@swsc.com.cn 年的15.2%提升至2023年的40.9%。 联系人:方建钊 扫地机器人量价齐增,洗地机高速发展。分产品来看,2023年公司智能扫地机 ...
业绩符合预期,经营环比持续回升
Southwest Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
[Table_StockInfo] 买入 2024年 03月 29日 (维持) 证券研究报告• 2023年年报点评 当前价: 55.80元 伯 特 利(603596) 汽车 目标价: ——元(6个月) 业绩符合预期,经营环比持续回升 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心 [T ab事le件_S:u公mm司a发ry布] 2023年报,23全年实现营收 74.7亿元,同比+34.9%;归母 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au郑th连or声] 净利润8.9亿元,同比+27.6%,接近业绩预告下沿;毛利率22.6%,同比+0.1pp, 执业证号:S1250522040001 净利率12.2%,同比-0.5pp。其中 23Q4实现营收 23.7亿元,同比+27.7%,环 电话:010-57758531 比+17.8%;归母净利润2.97亿元,同比+34.4%,环比+24%;毛利率23.1%, 邮箱:zlans@swsc.com.cn 同比-0.2pp,环比+0.5pp,净利率12.8%,同比+0.8pp,环比+0.6pp。 联系人:冯安琪 Q4 经营环比持续回升,智能电控产品保持增长:23 年公司主要客户销量实现 电话:021 ...
23年业绩符合预期, 净利率提升明显
Southwest Securities· 2024-03-31 16:00
[Table_StockInfo] 持有 2024年 03月 29日 (维持) 证券研究报告•2023年年报点评 当前价: 428.09元 惠泰医疗(688617) 医药生物 目标价: ——元(6个月) 23 年业绩符合预期,净利率提升明显 投资要点 西南证券研究发展中心 [T ab事le件_S:u公mm司a发ry布] 2023年年报,23年实现营收16.5亿元(+35.7%),实现归母 [分Ta析bl师e_:Au杜th向or阳] 净利润5.3亿元(+49.1%),实现扣非归母4.7亿元(+45.5%)。其中23Q4实 执业证号:S1250520030002 现营业收入 4.4亿元(+32.8%)、归母净利润 1.3亿元(+34.1%)。23年公司 电话:021-68416017 积极拓展国内外市场,产品覆盖率进一步提升。 邮箱:duxy@swsc.com.cn 23 年业绩符合预期,净利率提升明显。分季度看,2023Q1/Q2/Q3/Q4 单季度 联系人:陈辰 收入分别为3.5/4.4/4.3/4.4亿元(+31.7%/+51.1%/+28.4%/+32.8%),单季度归 电话:021-6841601 ...