Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan
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中国备案中药材保健食品行业市场规模测算逻辑模型 头豹词条报告系列
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan· 2024-11-25 12:14
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the Chinese herbal health food industry Core Insights - The Chinese herbal health food industry is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to reach approximately 946.91 billion RMB by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of around 11.58% from 2023 to 2028 [22][24][38] - The penetration rate of registered health foods is expected to gradually increase, reaching 75.36% by 2028, indicating a steady growth in consumer acceptance and market integration [30][33] - The average sales price of herbal health foods is projected to rise from 809.96 RMB in 2023 to 894.26 RMB by 2028, suggesting a trend towards premiumization in the market [38] Summary by Sections Industry Size - The market size of registered herbal health foods in China was 560.1 billion RMB in 2023 and is expected to grow to 946.91 billion RMB by 2028, with a growth rate of 10.59% in 2024 and 11.60% in 2026 [22][24][38] Population Data - The total population of China is projected to slightly decline from 140,967 million in 2023 to 141,037.5 million by 2028, indicating demographic challenges [25][26] - The proportion of the elderly population (aged 40 and above) is expected to increase from 51.32% in 2023 to 54.83% by 2028, which may drive demand for health-related products [28] Penetration Rates - The penetration rate of registered health foods is expected to remain stable around 75.31% to 75.36% from 2023 to 2028, reflecting a mature market with slow growth in consumer habits [30][33] Consumer Base - The number of consumers for registered herbal health foods is projected to grow from 3,457.57 million in 2023 to 5,042.26 million by 2028, indicating an expanding market [34] Consumption Frequency - The average consumption frequency of registered herbal health foods is expected to increase from 2 times per year in 2023 to 2.1 times by 2028, suggesting a gradual increase in consumer engagement [35] Sales Volume - The sales volume of registered herbal health foods is projected to rise from 6,915.13 million units in 2023 to 10,588.75 million units by 2028, indicating robust demand growth [36] Average Sales Price - The average sales price of registered herbal health foods is expected to increase from 809.96 RMB in 2023 to 894.26 RMB by 2028, reflecting a trend towards higher-value products [38]
创新驱动下的干细胞治疗技术与再生医学前景
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan· 2024-11-25 12:00
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the stem cell therapy and regenerative medicine industry Core Insights - Stem cell therapy is rapidly expanding in application across various human systems, driven by advancements in drug development technology and increasing quality and safety requirements for treatments [5] - The global stem cell industry has matured significantly since the successful isolation of embryonic stem cells in the late 20th century, with the U.S. leading in clinical research projects [7][18] - China is emerging as a strong competitor in the stem cell sector, with significant government support and a focus on local population health needs [9][18] Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The stem cell therapy industry is characterized by a shift from first-generation therapies (hematopoietic and mesenchymal stem cells) to second-generation therapies (induced pluripotent stem cells) [5][9] - As of August 2024, the U.S. leads with 3,316 clinical trials, while China ranks second with 809 trials, indicating strong development momentum [7][18] Clinical Applications - Stem cells are utilized in treating neurodegenerative diseases, bone injuries, and blood system reconstruction post-chemotherapy [13] - The report highlights the mechanisms of action for stem cells in various clinical scenarios, including their differentiation into specific cell types for tissue repair [13] Global R&D Progress - The global stem cell research landscape has evolved, with induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) showing significant advantages over earlier stem cell types [8][9] - China is actively participating in the iPSC research wave, aiming to close the gap with advanced countries through international collaboration and local market strategies [29] Development Prospects in China - The Chinese stem cell industry is expected to grow significantly, driven by factors such as the low immunogenicity of mesenchymal stem cells and advancements in induced pluripotent stem cell technology [9][29] - The focus on local disease burdens, such as cardiovascular and central nervous system diseases, is shaping the research and development pipeline in China [50] Key Companies - Zhongyuan Xiehe is leveraging its stem cell storage capabilities to expand research and clinical applications, particularly in umbilical cord blood and mesenchymal stem cells [57] - Nanjing Xinbai is establishing competitive advantages in stem cell storage, therapy development, and professional talent training through long-term partnerships [60]
2024年中国甾体药物中间体原料药行业概览
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan· 2024-11-22 12:20
Industry Overview - The steroid hormone intermediate API industry in China is driven by increasing health awareness, policy support, and technological advancements, particularly in synthetic biology [4][5] - The demand for steroid intermediates and APIs is rising due to the growing burden of chronic diseases such as inflammation, autoimmune disorders, respiratory diseases, and cancer [5][14] - China is becoming a global hub for steroid intermediates and APIs, supported by robust R&D and technological breakthroughs [5][13] Technological Advancements - The steroid API production process has evolved from chemical synthesis to enzyme conversion and now to synthetic biology, improving efficiency and product quality [6] - Synthetic biology, based on engineering principles, shows significant potential in optimizing production processes and has broad applications in healthcare, chemicals, materials, and energy [7][22] - Key technologies include enzyme catalysis and green chemical synthesis, which enhance production efficiency and reduce environmental impact [54] Market Demand and Supply - Global and Chinese demand for steroid APIs is increasing, particularly for sex hormones and corticosteroids, driven by reproductive health and anti-inflammatory applications [33][35] - China's steroid API and intermediate exports are growing due to technological advancements, cost advantages, and policy support, enhancing its global market position [39][40] - The global consumption of sex hormones increased from 357 8 tons in 2018 to 619 3 tons in 2023, with China's consumption rising from 32 3 tons to 40 4 tons [35] Competitive Landscape - Global players like Pfizer and Bayer have a long history in the steroid API market, while Chinese companies such as Tongtai Medicine and Saituo Biology are rapidly expanding their product portfolios and global reach [43] - Chinese companies are focusing on R&D and technological innovation to compete globally, with some achieving significant breakthroughs in enzyme catalysis and green synthesis [46][52] - Tongtai Medicine has become a leading supplier of steroid starting materials in China, with a diverse product portfolio and a strong focus on R&D [46][48] Key Companies - Tongtai Medicine is a leader in steroid starting materials and intermediates, with a strong focus on R&D and expanding its product line to include APIs [46][48] - Saituo Biology specializes in high-end intermediates, with increasing R&D investments driving technological optimization and market competitiveness [52][53] - Both companies are leveraging technological advancements and cost advantages to strengthen their positions in the global steroid API market [46][52]
豆油产业全景:全球供需动态与健康饮食趋势解析 头豹词条报告系列
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan· 2024-11-22 12:13
Industry Overview - The soybean oil industry relies on soybeans as raw material, producing oil through pressing or extraction processes, and is influenced by soybean yield, price fluctuations, and market demand [2][3] - The industry is categorized into pressing method soybean oil and extraction method soybean oil based on production processes [4][6] - Key characteristics of the industry include high dependence on raw materials, quality differences determined by production processes, and stable market demand [8][9][10][11][12] Industry Development Stages - The soybean oil industry has gone through four stages: germination (late 19th to early 20th century), initiation (early to mid-20th century), rapid development (mid-20th to late 20th century), and oscillation (early 21st century to present) [13][14][15][16][17][18] Industry Chain Analysis - The upstream of the soybean oil industry chain involves soybean supply, with unstable raw material supply and insufficient modernization [19][20] - The midstream faces overcapacity in processing, with state-owned oil companies lacking competitiveness [21] - The downstream experiences diversified consumer demand and increased market volatility [22] Industry Scale - The soybean oil industry market size grew from 133,093,200,000 yuan in 2018 to 164,590,000,000 yuan in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 4.34% [33] - The market size is expected to grow from 160,601,000,000 yuan in 2024 to 173,980,040,000 yuan in 2028, with a compound annual growth rate of 2.02% [33] Policy Analysis - The 2024 Central Document No. 1 emphasizes expanding soybean planting and supporting high-yield, high-oil varieties [38][43][44] - The "Soybean Revitalization Plan Implementation Plan" aims to improve soybean production conditions and increase yield and quality through subsidies and high-standard farmland construction [49] Competitive Landscape - The soybean oil industry is divided into three tiers based on sales, with fierce brand competition and high industry concentration [51] - Leading companies include Jinlongyu (Yihai Kerry) and COFCO in the first tier, Shandong Luhua Group and Changshouhua in the second tier, and Xiamen Zhongsheng and Chongqing Oil in the third tier [51][52] - Large enterprises continue to expand, squeezing the survival space of small and medium-sized enterprises, leading to a more concentrated competitive landscape [54] Company Analysis - Yihai Kerry Arowana (300999) achieved a total revenue of 257.485 billion yuan in 2022, with a year-on-year growth of 13.82% [52] - COFCO Technology (000930) has improved soybean oil yield and quality through new pressing and refining technologies, consolidating its leading position in the industry [52] - Cofco Fulinmen Food Marketing Co., Ltd. has a registered capital of 100 million yuan and is headquartered in Tianjin [58] - Yihai Kerry Arowana Food Group Co., Ltd. has a registered capital of 5.421591536 billion yuan and is headquartered in Shanghai [59] - Sinograin Oils Corporation has a registered capital of 5.0658078 billion yuan and is headquartered in Beijing [62]
当归类保健食品:含药食同源物质的保健食品需求渐增 头豹词条报告系列
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan· 2024-11-22 12:12
Investment Rating - The report does not provide a specific investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The demand for Angelica-based health foods is increasing due to rising health awareness, particularly among women, and stable raw material supply, supported by favorable policies. The market size is expected to grow steadily, with significant potential for product innovation and market expansion [3][27][28]. Industry Definition - Angelica-based health foods are defined as health products primarily made from Angelica, a traditional Chinese medicinal herb known for its various health benefits, including blood circulation and digestive health [4][3]. Industry Characteristics - The Angelica health food industry is characterized by strict regulatory oversight, diverse market demand, and innovation driven by technology [9][10][11][12]. Industry Development History - The industry has evolved through three stages: the initial establishment of regulatory frameworks, a rapid growth phase with increased registrations, and a mature phase characterized by dual registration and filing systems [13][14][15][16]. Market Size - The market size for Angelica-based health foods grew from 2.512 billion RMB in 2019 to 2.915 billion RMB in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 3.79%. It is projected to reach 3.712 billion RMB by 2028, with a CAGR of 4.67% [27][28]. Supply Chain Analysis - The supply chain for Angelica health foods includes upstream raw material suppliers, midstream manufacturers, and downstream distribution channels. The supply of Angelica is increasing, particularly in Gansu province, which positively impacts the midstream health food industry [17][19]. Consumer Preferences - The most popular health function among consumers is immune enhancement, accounting for 32.52% of demand, followed by skin improvement and anemia relief [25]. Competitive Landscape - The industry features a diverse range of participants, including traditional pharmaceutical companies, dedicated health food manufacturers, and well-known liquor companies entering the Angelica health food market. The competitive landscape is marked by product homogeneity and intense competition [46][47].
中国农业机械行业市场规模测算逻辑模型 头豹词条报告系列
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan· 2024-11-22 12:02
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the agricultural machinery industry Core Insights - The Chinese agricultural machinery market is projected to grow from CNY 598.71 billion in 2023 to CNY 931.56 billion by 2028, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.1% [21][33] - The tractor market specifically is expected to see growth, with total tractor production estimated to reach 65.7 million units by 2028 [30] - The average price of tractors is anticipated to increase from CNY 146,000 in 2023 to CNY 190,000 by 2028, indicating a trend towards higher-value machinery [31][33] Summary by Sections 1. Market Size Overview - The Chinese agricultural machinery market size was CNY 5,987.09 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach CNY 6,254.78 billion in 2024E [21] - The tractor market size specifically was CNY 802.27 billion in 2023, with projections of CNY 1,248.29 billion by 2028 [33] 2. Tractor Production - Large tractor production is projected to grow from 10.73 million units in 2023 to 26.7 million units by 2028 [23] - Medium tractor production is expected to stabilize around 27 million units from 2024E to 2028E [25] - Small tractor production is forecasted to decline from 16.9 million units in 2023 to 12 million units by 2028 [27] 3. Tractor Market Size - The tractor market size is calculated as the product of total tractor production and average price, with the market expected to grow significantly over the next five years [33] 4. Tractor Market Share in Agricultural Machinery - The share of the tractor market within the overall agricultural machinery market is projected to remain stable at approximately 13.4% from 2023 to 2028 [36]
白银:供需缺口扩大叠加流动性回暖,银价有望持续坚挺,驱动行业高速发展 头豹词条报告系列
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan· 2024-11-21 12:15
Investment Rating - The report assigns a 4-star rating to the silver industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [39]. Core Insights - The silver industry is experiencing rapid growth driven by a combination of recovering liquidity and an expanding supply-demand gap, with significant applications in various sectors including electronics, photovoltaics, and jewelry [2][11]. - China is the largest consumer of industrial silver globally, with a demand of 8,124 tons in 2023, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 44% and accounting for 39.9% of global consumption [14][23]. - The market size of China's silver industry has grown from 19.63 billion RMB in 2018 to 48.22 billion RMB in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 19.7% [41]. Industry Classification - The silver industry can be categorized based on application fields, product forms, and production processes, including industrial silver (electronics, photovoltaics, automotive), investment silver, and jewelry silver [5][7]. - The industry is divided into upstream (mining), midstream (refining and processing), and downstream (end-user markets) segments [24][34]. Industry Characteristics - The silver industry exhibits a dual nature as both a financial commodity and an industrial material, with over 50% of its usage in industrial applications [12][11]. - China's industrial silver consumption is the highest globally, with a diverse demand spread across various sectors [14][11]. - The supply side is characterized by a low proportion of independent silver mines, leading to limited supply elasticity [15][11]. Market Size and Growth - The silver industry in China is projected to grow from 80.31 billion RMB in 2024 to 104.76 billion RMB by 2028, with a CAGR of 6.9% [41]. - The price of silver has seen significant increases, with the price per kilogram rising from 4,541 RMB in October 2022 to 7,641 RMB in October 2024, marking a growth of 68.3% [33]. Demand Drivers - The rapid growth in industrial silver demand is primarily driven by the photovoltaic sector, with China's solar photovoltaic installation capacity reaching 610 GW in 2023, a year-on-year increase of 55.2% [23][28]. - The transition from P-type to N-type solar cells in the photovoltaic industry is expected to further increase silver usage due to higher silver loading requirements [28][43]. Competitive Landscape - The silver refining and processing sector in China is characterized by high concentration, with leading companies such as Yuguang Gold Lead and Hengbang Shares dominating the market [55][57]. - The industry faces challenges from tightening environmental regulations, which are pushing smaller and less efficient companies out of the market, thereby increasing the market share of larger firms [59][55].
企业竞争图谱:2024年丝杠 头豹词条报告系列
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan· 2024-11-21 12:10
Industry Overview - The lead screw industry is a precision mechanical component sector that converts rotational motion into linear motion, widely used in machine tools, medical devices, new energy vehicles, and humanoid robots [3][4] - The industry is classified into sliding lead screws, rolling lead screws, and hydrostatic lead screws based on friction characteristics [7][8] - The Chinese lead screw market is expected to reach 594.02 billion yuan by 2030, driven by technological advancements and policy support [3][11] Industry Characteristics - The lead screw industry has a broad downstream application scope, including traditional machine tools, medical devices, and emerging fields like new energy vehicles and humanoid robots [10][11] - International companies dominate the high-end market, while Chinese companies are actively improving their technology and competitiveness [12] - Planetary roller screws are a key focus area, with a significant increase in patent applications, especially in China, Germany, Japan, France, and Sweden [13] Industry Development History - The development of lead screws can be divided into five stages, starting from the invention of precision thread grinding machines in 1874 to the current phase of rapid technological advancement and market expansion [14][19] - China's lead screw industry has evolved from imitation of foreign products to achieving international standards, with significant progress in manufacturing and testing technologies [17][18] Industry Chain Analysis - The upstream of the lead screw industry is dominated by steel suppliers, with the steel industry experiencing a downturn in 2023, leading to lower prices [21][23] - The midstream involves lead screw manufacturing, where Chinese companies still face challenges in precision and performance due to weak foundational research in thread grinding processes [26][27] - The downstream includes applications in robotics, new energy vehicles, and machine tools, with China forming major industrial clusters in the Yangtze River Delta, Pearl River Delta, and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region [28][29] Industry Scale - The lead screw market size in China grew from 680 million yuan in 2020 to 48.017 billion yuan in 2023, with a compound annual growth rate of 313.25% [34] - The market is expected to grow from 68.164 billion yuan in 2024 to 594.022 billion yuan by 2030, driven by the replacement of high-end machine tools and the rise of new energy vehicles [34][36] Policy Environment - The Chinese government has introduced several policies to support the development of the lead screw industry, including the "Guiding Opinions on Promoting the High-Quality Development of the Casting and Forging Industry" and the "14th Five-Year Plan for Intelligent Manufacturing Development" [44][52] - These policies aim to enhance the industry's technological capabilities, promote domestic substitution, and support the growth of high-end manufacturing sectors [43][53] Competitive Landscape - The lead screw industry is currently dominated by international companies, but Chinese firms are making progress in technology and product quality, leading to a trend of domestic substitution [54] - The industry is divided into three tiers: top-tier companies like Nanjing Process and Bot Precision, second-tier companies like Best Precision and Qinchuan Machine Tool, and third-tier companies with potential to enter the market [54][57] - Future competition will focus on material innovation, intelligent integration, application expansion, and sustainability, with companies needing to adapt to these trends to remain competitive [58] Key Companies - **Qinchuan Machine Tool Group (000837)**: A leading Chinese manufacturer of precision CNC machine tools and industrial robot reducers, with a strong focus on R&D and innovation [65][67] - **Zhejiang Wuzhou Xinchun Group (603667)**: A major player in the bearing and automotive parts industry, with significant investments in international markets and advanced manufacturing capabilities [68][71] - **Wuxi Best Precision Machinery (300580)**: A company specializing in high-precision machinery components, with a strong emphasis on quality control and technological innovation [72][75]
中国消化道出血用药行业市场规模测算逻辑模型 头豹词条报告系列
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan· 2024-11-21 12:05
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the gastrointestinal bleeding drug industry in China. Core Insights - The market size for gastrointestinal bleeding drugs in China is projected to grow from 42 billion RMB in 2018 to 86 billion RMB by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.15% [21]. - The number of patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding is expected to increase from 2.67 million in 2018 to 9.17 million by 2027, indicating a significant growth trend [21]. - The annual cost of medication for upper gastrointestinal bleeding remains stable at 6.6 RMB per patient from 2018 to 2027 [29]. - The prevalence of upper gastrointestinal bleeding is projected to rise from 0.19% in 2018 to 0.64% by 2027 [26]. - The number of patients with lower gastrointestinal bleeding is expected to grow slightly from 843,200 in 2018 to 859,800 by 2027, with a stable prevalence rate of 0.06% [32]. Summary by Sections Market Size Overview - The gastrointestinal bleeding drug market in China is calculated using the formula: (C*F + E*G) / 10,000, where C is the number of upper gastrointestinal bleeding patients, F is the annual cost of medication, E is the number of lower gastrointestinal bleeding patients, and G is the annual cost of medication for lower gastrointestinal bleeding [20]. Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding - The number of patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding is projected to increase significantly, with a growth rate peaking at 26.74% in 2019 and gradually declining to 8.80% by 2027 [21]. - The annual cost of medication for upper gastrointestinal bleeding remains constant at 6.6 RMB per patient throughout the forecast period [29]. Lower Gastrointestinal Bleeding - The number of patients with lower gastrointestinal bleeding is expected to show minimal growth, with a slight increase from 843,200 in 2018 to 859,800 by 2027 [32]. - The prevalence rate for lower gastrointestinal bleeding remains stable at 0.06% across the forecast period [30]. Population Data - The total population of China is projected to grow from approximately 1.41 billion in 2018 to 1.43 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of about 0.3% [23]. Prevalence Rates - The prevalence of upper gastrointestinal bleeding is expected to rise from 0.19% in 2018 to 0.64% by 2027, reflecting an increasing trend in incidence [26]. - The prevalence of lower gastrointestinal bleeding remains stable at 0.06% throughout the forecast period [30].
电子元件及电子专用材料制造系列:2023年中国PCB专用化学品行业概览
Tou Bao Yan Jiu Yuan· 2024-11-21 12:03
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the PCB industry or related companies. Core Insights - The PCB industry in China has been growing steadily, with a CAGR of 6.4% from 2011 to 2022, surpassing the global growth rate of 3.6% [3] - The market for PCB specialty chemicals in China has rapidly developed, with a CAGR of 7.5% from 2018 to 2022, and is expected to reach USD 2.114 billion by 2027 [5][17] - The demand for PCB specialty chemicals is driven by the growth of the PCB industry, the expansion of domestic PCB production capacity, and the development of 5G communication technology [17] Summary by Sections PCB Industry Overview - China has become the largest PCB producer globally since 2006, with a total output value of USD 44.6 billion by the end of 2022 [3] - The rapid growth of the PCB industry in China is attributed to the large domestic market, low labor costs, and strong government support for investments [3] PCB Specialty Chemicals - PCB specialty chemicals are defined as chemicals used in the production of PCBs, including processes such as circuit patterning, copper surface treatment, hole metallization, electroplating, and final surface treatment [4] - The market for PCB specialty chemicals is expected to grow, with the hole metallization process being the largest segment [5][17] Market Trends and Drivers - The report highlights that horizontal copper deposition technology is gaining traction over vertical copper deposition, with expected growth rates of 5%-9% in the Chinese market over the next three years [7] - The rapid growth of the AI server market is anticipated to increase the share of the computer PCB segment to 35% [7] - The report notes that domestic companies are gradually increasing their market share in PCB specialty chemicals, particularly in areas with lower technical barriers [9] Industry Chain Analysis - The production of PCB specialty chemicals involves various raw materials, with aluminum sulfate and copper sulfate being significantly influenced by metal prices [11] - The report indicates that domestic manufacturers still lag behind international giants like Amtech in terms of technology and market share [13]