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B vs. AEM: Which Gold Mining Stock Should You Bet on Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-20 13:16
Core Viewpoint - Barrick Mining Corporation and Agnico Eagle Mines Limited are leading gold producers with diversified portfolios, positioned to benefit from favorable gold prices and geopolitical tensions, making them relevant for investors in the precious metals sector [1][25]. Gold Price Dynamics - Gold prices have increased approximately 29% this year, reaching a peak of $3,500 per ounce in April 2025, driven by aggressive trade policies and central bank accumulation of gold reserves [2]. Barrick Mining Corporation - Barrick is advancing key growth projects, including Goldrush and the Reko Diq project, which are expected to significantly enhance production [4][5]. - The Goldrush mine aims for 400,000 ounces of production annually by 2028, while the Reko Diq project is projected to produce 460,000 tons of copper and 520,000 ounces of gold annually [5]. - Barrick's Lumwana copper mine expansion is a $2 billion project expected to double throughput and produce 240,000 tons of copper annually [6]. - As of Q1 2025, Barrick reported cash and cash equivalents of approximately $4.1 billion and generated operating cash flows of around $1.2 billion, a 59% increase year-over-year [7]. - Barrick's dividend yield is 1.9% with a payout ratio of 28% and a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of about 5.1% [8]. - However, Barrick faces challenges with rising costs, with cash costs per ounce of gold and all-in-sustaining costs increasing by approximately 16% and 20% year-over-year, respectively [10]. Agnico Eagle Mines Limited - Agnico Eagle is focused on growth projects such as the Odyssey project and the Hope Bay project, which is expected to generate significant cash flow [11][12]. - Following its merger with Kirkland Lake Gold, Agnico Eagle has established itself as a high-quality senior gold producer with a strong pipeline of projects [13]. - In Q1 2025, Agnico Eagle's operating cash flow increased by roughly 33% year-over-year to $1,044 million, with free cash flows of $594 million, up around 50% [14][15]. - Agnico Eagle has a lower long-term debt-to-capitalization ratio of about 5% compared to Barrick's 12.3%, indicating lower financial risk [15]. - The company offers a dividend yield of 1.3% with a payout ratio of 32% and a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.3% [15]. - Agnico Eagle's total cash costs per ounce of gold were $903, with projections for 2025 indicating an increase in costs [16]. Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Barrick's stock has increased by 36.3%, while Agnico Eagle's stock has risen by 56.8%, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's increase of 55.4% [17]. - Barrick is trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 10.73, representing a 23.8% discount to the industry average of 14.08X [20]. - Agnico Eagle trades at a premium with a forward earnings multiple of 20.27, above the industry average [21]. Growth Prospects - The consensus estimates for Barrick's 2025 sales and EPS imply year-over-year growth of 13.7% and 43.7%, respectively [22]. - Agnico Eagle's 2025 sales and EPS estimates suggest year-over-year growth of 23.6% and 43%, respectively [23]. - Both companies are well-positioned to capitalize on the current gold price environment, but Agnico Eagle's higher dividend growth rate and lower leverage may present better investment prospects [25].
AEM's Reserve Growth Spurs Confidence: Can It Keep Drilling Success?
ZACKS· 2025-06-19 12:41
Core Insights - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) has made significant progress in mineral reserve replacement, with proven and probable gold reserves increasing by 0.9% year-over-year to 54.3 million ounces by the end of 2024, and inferred mineral resources expanding by approximately 9% to 36.2 million ounces due to successful exploration drilling [1][8] Group 1: Exploration and Resource Expansion - AEM's exploration drilling campaigns in the first quarter of 2025 focused on extending the East Gouldie deposit and the newly discovered Eclipse zone, indicating potential for further mineral resource and reserve additions by the end of 2025 [2][4] - Shallow drilling at the Hope Bay Patch 7 and drilling at the Marban deposit, acquired from O3 Mining, also suggest opportunities for mineral resource expansion [3][4] Group 2: Competitive Positioning - AEM's initiatives in expanding its reserve base and inferred resources position it as a growth-oriented player among major peers, with a focus on maintaining drilling momentum and converting potential into formally declared reserves [4] - In comparison, Newmont Corporation reported a 1.3% decline in gold reserves to 134.1 million ounces, while Barrick Mining Corporation saw a significant increase of approximately 17.4 million ounces, highlighting AEM's proactive approach in reserve replacement [5][6] Group 3: Stock Performance and Valuation - AEM's shares have increased by 56.8% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's rise of 56.4%, driven by strong gold prices [7][8] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEM's earnings in 2025 and 2026 indicates a year-over-year rise of 42.6% and 0.8%, respectively, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [9] - AEM is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 20.27, which is approximately 42.6% higher than the industry average of 14.21 [11]
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors
ZACKS· 2025-06-18 22:46
Company Performance - Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) closed at $122.65, reflecting a -1.02% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.03% [1] - Over the last month, AEM's shares increased by 10.07%, outperforming the Basic Materials sector's gain of 3.05% and the S&P 500's gain of 0.6% [1] Earnings Forecast - The upcoming earnings release is anticipated, with an expected EPS of $1.45, indicating a 35.51% growth compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Revenue is projected at $2.55 billion, reflecting a 22.94% increase from the equivalent quarter last year [2] Annual Estimates - For the annual period, earnings are estimated at $6.03 per share and revenue at $10.19 billion, representing increases of +42.55% and +23% respectively from the previous year [3] Analyst Revisions - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts are important, as positive revisions indicate analysts' confidence in the company's performance and profit potential [4] Stock Performance Correlation - Empirical research shows a direct correlation between estimate revisions and stock price performance, with the Zacks Rank system designed to capitalize on this phenomenon [5] Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank system ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), with AEM currently holding a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) [6] Valuation Metrics - AEM has a Forward P/E ratio of 20.56, which is a premium compared to the industry average of 13.44 [7] - The PEG ratio for AEM is currently 1.08, while the industry average PEG ratio is 0.65 [7] Industry Ranking - The Mining - Gold industry, part of the Basic Materials sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 51, placing it in the top 21% of all industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]
Agnico Eagle Trades at a Premium Valuation: How to Play the Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-06-16 13:10
Core Viewpoint - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) is currently trading at a premium valuation compared to its peers and the industry average, driven by strong performance in gold prices and production [1][6][10]. Financial Performance - AEM's shares have increased by 93.7% over the past year, outperforming the industry average of 61.6% and the S&P 500's increase of 9.2% [3][6]. - The company reported operating cash flow of $1,044 million in the first quarter, a 33% year-over-year increase, and free cash flows of $594 million, up around 50% year over year [14][15]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEM's 2025 earnings is projected at $6.03, indicating a year-over-year growth of 42.6% [19]. Valuation Metrics - AEM is trading at a forward price/earnings ratio of 20.57X, which is approximately 42.7% higher than the Zacks Mining – Gold industry average of 14.41X [1][6]. - The company has a Value Score of C, while its peers Barrick Mining and Kinross Gold have Value Scores of A [1]. Growth Drivers - AEM is advancing several key projects, including the Odyssey project and the Hope Bay Project, which is expected to significantly contribute to cash flow generation [11][12]. - The merger with Kirkland Lake Gold has positioned AEM as a leading senior gold producer with a strong pipeline of development projects [13]. Cost Considerations - AEM's total cash costs per ounce of gold were $903 in the first quarter, with projections for 2025 ranging from $915 to $965 [18]. - The company anticipates an increase in all-in-sustaining costs (AISC) for the remainder of 2025, which may impact profit margins [18]. Dividend Information - AEM offers a dividend yield of 1.3% with a five-year annualized dividend growth rate of 10.3% and a payout ratio of 32% [17].
Is Most-Watched Stock Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) Worth Betting on Now?
ZACKS· 2025-06-13 14:00
Core Viewpoint - Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) has shown strong stock performance recently, with a +14.6% return over the past month, outperforming the S&P 500 and the Zacks Mining - Gold industry [1] Earnings Estimate Revisions - The consensus earnings estimate for Agnico is $1.45 per share for the current quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +35.5% [4] - For the current fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate is $6.03, indicating a +42.6% change from the previous year, with a recent +4% upward revision [4] - The next fiscal year's consensus estimate is $6.08, showing a +0.8% change from the prior year, with a +3.4% increase over the past month [5] Revenue Growth Projections - The consensus sales estimate for the current quarter is $2.55 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of +22.9% [10] - For the current fiscal year, the revenue estimates are $10.19 billion and $10.2 billion, indicating changes of +23% and +0.1%, respectively [10] Last Reported Results and Surprise History - Agnico reported revenues of $2.47 billion in the last quarter, a +34.9% year-over-year increase, with an EPS of $1.53 compared to $0.76 a year ago [11] - The company exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenues by +10.21% and for EPS by +10.07% [11] - Agnico has consistently beaten consensus EPS and revenue estimates over the last four quarters [12] Valuation - Agnico holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), indicating it may perform in line with the broader market in the near term [6][17] - The Zacks Value Style Score for Agnico is graded C, suggesting it is trading at par with its peers [16]
AEM's Solid FCF Places It on Firm Footing: Can It Fuel Future Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-06-13 12:31
Core Insights - Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) reported a first-quarter free cash flow of $594 million, a 50% increase from $396 million a year ago, driven by strong gold prices, disciplined capital spending, and robust operational results [2][8] - The company aims to invest in growth initiatives, including underground expansion at Canadian Malartic, Hope Bay, and Detour Lake, while also focusing on debt repayments and shareholder returns [3][4] - AEM returned approximately $920 million to shareholders through dividends and repurchases last year, with $251 million returned in the first quarter of this year [4][8] Financial Performance - AEM's free cash flow before working capital adjustments reached $759 million, nearly double the prior year's amount [2] - The company reduced its net debt by $212 million sequentially, ending the first quarter with a net debt of just $5 million [3][8] - AEM's shares have increased by 56.1% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Mining – Gold industry's rise of 49.7% [7] Comparison with Peers - Newmont Corporation (NEM) achieved a record first-quarter free cash flow of $1.2 billion, a significant turnaround from a negative $74 million in the same period last year, although it faces headwinds for the second quarter [5] - Barrick Mining Corporation (B) reported a free cash flow of $375 million for the first quarter, a nearly 12-fold increase year-over-year, driven by higher operating cash flows [6] Valuation and Earnings Estimates - AEM is currently trading at a forward 12-month earnings multiple of 20.18, approximately 50% higher than the industry average of 13.46 [10] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for AEM's earnings in 2025 and 2026 indicates a year-over-year rise of 42.6% and 0.8%, respectively, with EPS estimates trending higher over the past 60 days [11]
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) Ascends While Market Falls: Some Facts to Note
ZACKS· 2025-06-11 22:46
The most recent trading session ended with Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) standing at $118.91, reflecting a +1.59% shift from the previous trading day's closing. This change outpaced the S&P 500's 0.27% loss on the day. Heading into today, shares of the gold mining company had gained 9.39% outpacing the Basic Materials sector's gain of 4.76% and the S&P 500's gain of 6.9%.The upcoming earnings release of Agnico Eagle Mines will be of great interest to investors. It is anticipated that the company will report an E ...
Major Market Disconnect: 2 High-Flying Funds That Remain Dirt Cheap
Seeking Alpha· 2025-06-08 15:00
Group 1 - Investors often face a choice between momentum and value, which can also lead to a conflict between fundamentals and value [1] - When a company or sector performs exceptionally well, the stock market tends to become overly enthusiastic [1] Group 2 - The company invests significant resources, including thousands of hours and over $100,000 annually, into researching profitable investment opportunities [2] - The approach has garnered over 180 five-star reviews from satisfied members, indicating a positive reception and effectiveness [2]
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) Is Up 0.31% in One Week: What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-06-06 17:01
Core Viewpoint - Momentum investing focuses on following a stock's recent price trends, aiming to buy high and sell higher, with the expectation that established trends will continue [1][2]. Company Overview: Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) - AEM currently holds a Momentum Style Score of B, indicating potential as a solid momentum pick [3][12]. - The company has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), which is associated with strong historical performance [4][12]. Performance Metrics - AEM shares have increased by 0.31% over the past week, while the Zacks Mining - Gold industry remained flat [6]. - Over the past month, AEM's price change is 6.45%, slightly outperforming the industry's 6.4% [6]. - In the last quarter, AEM shares rose by 18.87%, and over the past year, they increased by 77.7%, compared to the S&P 500's gains of 1.99% and 12.34%, respectively [7]. Trading Volume - AEM's average 20-day trading volume is 3,403,065 shares, which serves as a bullish indicator when combined with rising stock prices [8]. Earnings Outlook - In the past two months, 6 earnings estimates for AEM have been revised upwards, while 2 have been revised downwards, leading to an increase in the consensus estimate from $5.01 to $6.03 [10]. - For the next fiscal year, 6 estimates have moved up, with only 1 downward revision [10].
Agnico (AEM) Is Considered a Good Investment by Brokers: Is That True?
ZACKS· 2025-06-06 14:32
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the reliability of brokerage recommendations, particularly focusing on Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM), and emphasizes the importance of using these recommendations in conjunction with other analytical tools like the Zacks Rank for making informed investment decisions [1][5][10]. Brokerage Recommendations - Agnico Eagle Mines has an average brokerage recommendation (ABR) of 1.44, indicating a consensus between Strong Buy and Buy, based on 16 brokerage firms [2][14]. - Out of the 16 recommendations, 11 are Strong Buy and 3 are Buy, which account for 68.8% and 18.8% of all recommendations respectively [2]. Limitations of Brokerage Recommendations - Solely relying on brokerage recommendations may not be advisable, as studies suggest they often fail to guide investors effectively towards stocks with high potential for price appreciation [5][10]. - Analysts from brokerage firms tend to exhibit a strong positive bias in their ratings, issuing five "Strong Buy" recommendations for every "Strong Sell" [6][10]. Zacks Rank as an Alternative - The Zacks Rank, which classifies stocks into five groups based on earnings estimate revisions, is presented as a more reliable indicator of near-term price performance compared to ABR [8][11]. - The Zacks Rank is timely and reflects the latest earnings estimate revisions, making it a better tool for predicting future stock prices [12]. Earnings Estimate Revisions for AEM - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Agnico has increased by 7.2% over the past month to $6.03, indicating growing optimism among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [13]. - This increase in consensus estimates has contributed to a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) for Agnico, suggesting a positive outlook for the stock [14].