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Greif (GEF) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-03-21 17:01
Investors might want to bet on Greif (GEF) , as it has been recently upgraded to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy). An upward trend in earnings estimates -- one of the most powerful forces impacting stock prices -- has triggered this rating change.A company's changing earnings picture is at the core of the Zacks rating. The system tracks the Zacks Consensus Estimate -- the consensus measure of EPS estimates from the sell-side analysts covering the stock -- for the current and following years.The power of a changing ear ...
GEF or PKG: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-03-21 16:41
Investors looking for stocks in the Containers - Paper and Packaging sector might want to consider either Greif (GEF) or Packaging Corp. (PKG) . But which of these two stocks offers value investors a better bang for their buck right now? We'll need to take a closer look.Everyone has their own methods for finding great value opportunities, but our model includes pairing an impressive grade in the Value category of our Style Scores system with a strong Zacks Rank. The proven Zacks Rank puts an emphasis on ear ...
Does Greif (GEF) Have the Potential to Rally 25.2% as Wall Street Analysts Expect?
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-03-21 14:56
Greif (GEF) closed the last trading session at $64.96, gaining 4.2% over the past four weeks, but there could be plenty of upside left in the stock if short-term price targets set by Wall Street analysts are any guide. The mean price target of $81.33 indicates a 25.2% upside potential.The average comprises three short-term price targets ranging from a low of $75 to a high of $88, with a standard deviation of $6.51. While the lowest estimate indicates an increase of 15.5% from the current price level, the mo ...
Should Value Investors Buy Greif (GEF) Stock?
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-03-21 14:46
Here at Zacks, our focus is on the proven Zacks Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions to find great stocks. Nevertheless, we are always paying attention to the latest value, growth, and momentum trends to underscore strong picks.Looking at the history of these trends, perhaps none is more beloved than value investing. This strategy simply looks to identify companies that are being undervalued by the broader market. Value investors use fundamental analysis and traditional va ...
Greif (GEF) Q1 Earnings Beat Estimates, Sales Decline Y/Y
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-02-29 18:46
Greif, Inc. (GEF) reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.27 for first-quarter fiscal 2024, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 20 cents. The bottom line increased 20% year over year.Including one-time items, EPS was $1.75 in the quarter compared with $2.31 in the prior-year quarter.Operational UpdateSales moved down 5.1% year over year to $1.20 billion due to lower volumes and average selling prices. However, the top line beat the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.19 billion.The cost of sales declined ...
Greif(GEF) - 2024 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-02-29 17:39
Greif, Inc. (NYSE:GEF) Q1 2024 Earnings Conference Call February 29, 2024 8:30 AM ET Company Participants Matt Leahy - Vice President, Corporate Development & Investor Relations Ole Rosgaard - President and Chief Executive Officer Larry Hilsheimer - Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer Conference Call Participants Ghansham Panjabi - Baird Michael Hoffman - Stifel Gabe Hajde - Wells Fargo Operator Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Greif First Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. At ...
Greif(GEF) - 2024 Q1 - Quarterly Results
2024-02-29 16:00
[First Quarter 2024 Performance Overview](index=1&type=section&id=First%20Quarter%202024%20Performance%20Overview) This section provides an overview of the company's financial performance and strategic initiatives for the first quarter of 2024 [Financial Highlights](index=1&type=section&id=Financial%20Highlights) In the first quarter of 2024, Greif reported a decrease in GAAP net income, Adjusted EBITDA, and net cash from operating activities compared to the same period in 2023, though net income excluding adjustments saw an increase, and the company's total debt and leverage ratio also rose during the quarter Q1 2024 Key Financial Metrics (in millions, except EPS and Leverage Ratio) | Metric | Q1 2024 | Q1 2023 | Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Income | $67.2M | $89.9M | -$22.7M | | Diluted Class A EPS | $1.17 | $1.54 | -$0.37 | | Net Income (excl. adjustments) | $72.8M | $61.9M | +$10.9M | | Diluted Class A EPS (excl. adjustments) | $1.27 | $1.06 | +$0.21 | | Adjusted EBITDA | $128.0M | $164.5M | -$36.5M | | Net Cash from Operating Activities | $4.5M | $32.9M | -$28.4M | | Adjusted Free Cash Flow | ($48.2M) | ($7.6M) | -$40.6M | | Leverage Ratio | 2.53x | 2.11x | +0.42x | [CEO Commentary and Strategic Progress](index=1&type=section&id=CEO%20Commentary%20and%20Strategic%20Progress) The CEO highlighted solid financial results despite a challenging, slow-demand environment, emphasizing the company's focus on its Build to Last Strategy, with key strategic advancements including the launch of a new customer digital portal and a partnership for innovative, recyclable barrier technology - CEO Ole Rosgaard stated that Greif produced "**solid financial results** in a challenging operating environment" and continues to make structural improvements under the Build to Last Strategy[4](index=4&type=chunk) - The consolidated Customer Satisfaction Index (CSI) score was **93.3** at the end of Q1 2024, with a long-term goal of exceeding **95.0**[5](index=5&type=chunk) - The company launched a new customer digital portal to streamline the order interface and enhance customer experience[5](index=5&type=chunk) - A new partnership was announced with Ionkraft to explore a unique, chemically inert, and fully recyclable barrier technology for plastic containers, targeting the Agrochemical industry[6](index=6&type=chunk) [Segment Performance Analysis](index=3&type=section&id=Segment%20Performance%20Analysis) This section analyzes the financial performance of the company's key business segments, including net sales and profitability drivers [Overview of Segment Net Sales](index=3&type=section&id=Overview%20of%20Segment%20Net%20Sales) Net sales for primary products declined across both major segments in Q1 2024 compared to the prior year, with the Global Industrial Packaging segment seeing an 11.0% decrease and the Paper Packaging & Services segment experiencing a 12.8% drop, both driven primarily by lower volumes and unfavorable selling prices Q1 2024 Net Sales Impact on Primary Products (in percentage) | Net Sales Impact | Global Industrial Packaging | Paper Packaging & Services | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Currency Translation | (2.1)% | — % | | Volume | (6.4)% | (3.3)% | | Selling Prices and Product Mix | (2.5)% | (9.5)% | | **Total Impact** | **(11.0)%** | **(12.8)%** | [Global Industrial Packaging](index=3&type=section&id=Global%20Industrial%20Packaging) The Global Industrial Packaging segment's net sales decreased by $19.2 million due to lower volumes and prices, though gross profit and operating profit increased by $10.0 million and $5.0 million, respectively, benefiting from lower raw material costs, while Adjusted EBITDA remained relatively stable, decreasing by only $0.9 million Global Industrial Packaging Q1 2024 Performance (in millions) | Metric | Q1 2024 | Q1 2023 | Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Sales | $686.6M | $705.8M | -$19.2M | | Gross Profit | $135.3M | $125.3M | +$10.0M | | Operating Profit | $50.9M | $45.9M | +$5.0M | | Adjusted EBITDA | $70.9M | $71.8M | -$0.9M | - The increase in gross profit was primarily driven by lower raw material costs, which offset the negative impact of lower sales and higher labor costs[11](index=11&type=chunk) [Paper Packaging & Services](index=3&type=section&id=Paper%20Packaging%20%26%20Services) The Paper Packaging & Services segment experienced a significant downturn, with net sales falling by $45.6 million due to lower volumes and prices, severely impacting profitability, as gross profit decreased by $39.8 million and operating profit plummeted by $92.3 million, exacerbated by a $54.6 million gain from a prior-year divestiture, and Adjusted EBITDA also fell sharply by $35.2 million Paper Packaging & Services Q1 2024 Performance (in millions) | Metric | Q1 2024 | Q1 2023 | Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Sales | $514.6M | $560.2M | -$45.6M | | Gross Profit | $84.4M | $124.2M | -$39.8M | | Operating Profit | $16.8M | $109.1M | -$92.3M | | Adjusted EBITDA | $55.5M | $90.7M | -$35.2M | - The significant decrease in operating profit was partly due to a **$54.6 million** gain from the divestiture of Tama Paperboard, LLC during Q1 2023, which was not repeated this quarter[14](index=14&type=chunk) [Financial Outlook and Shareholder Returns](index=3&type=section&id=Financial%20Outlook%20and%20Shareholder%20Returns) This section provides an overview of the company's financial outlook and shareholder return strategies [Tax Summary](index=3&type=section&id=Tax%20Summary) The company reported an anomalous negative income tax rate of -107.3% for the first quarter, driven by a one-time discrete tax benefit of $48.1 million related to the onshoring of certain intangible property, while for the full fiscal year 2024, Greif anticipates a more normalized tax rate ranging between 8.0% and 12.0% on an adjusted basis - Q1 2024 recorded an income tax rate of **-107.3%** due to a one-time discrete tax benefit of **$48.1 million**[15](index=15&type=chunk) - The expected tax rate for fiscal 2024 is projected to be between **6.0% to 10.0%** (**8.0% to 12.0%** excluding adjustments)[15](index=15&type=chunk) [Dividend Summary](index=3&type=section&id=Dividend%20Summary) The Board of Directors has declared quarterly cash dividends for both Class A and Class B Common Stock, payable on April 1, 2024, to shareholders of record as of March 18, 2024 Declared Quarterly Dividends (in dollars per share) | Stock Class | Dividend per Share | | :--- | :--- | | Class A Common Stock | $0.52 | | Class B Common Stock | $0.78 | [Fiscal 2024 Guidance](index=4&type=section&id=Fiscal%202024%20Guidance) Citing significant uncertainty in the macroeconomic environment and product demand, Greif has issued only a low-end guidance estimate for fiscal 2024, projecting Adjusted EBITDA of $610 million and adjusted free cash flow of $200 million, based on the continuation of recent demand trends and excluding any potential impact from the proposed acquisition of Ipackchem - Due to the deterioration of product demand and macroeconomic uncertainty, the company is only providing a **low-end guidance estimate**[17](index=17&type=chunk) Fiscal 2024 Low-End Guidance Estimate (in millions) | Metric | Guidance (in millions) | | :--- | :--- | | Adjusted EBITDA | $610 | | Adjusted free cash flow | $200 | - The guidance does not factor in any contribution from the proposed acquisition of Ipackchem[17](index=17&type=chunk) [Consolidated Financial Statements (Unaudited)](index=6&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements%20(Unaudited)) This section presents the unaudited consolidated financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements [Condensed Consolidated Statements of Income](index=6&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Income) For the first quarter ended January 31, 2024, Greif's net sales declined to $1,205.8 million from $1,271.0 million in the prior-year period, leading to a decrease in gross profit and operating profit, with net income attributable to Greif falling to $67.2 million, or $1.17 per diluted Class A share, compared to $89.9 million, or $1.54 per share, in Q1 2023 Q1 Income Statement Highlights (in millions, except per share) | Account | Q1 2024 | Q1 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net sales | $1,205.8 | $1,271.0 | | Gross profit | $221.6 | $251.6 | | Operating profit | $68.9 | $156.4 | | Net income attributable to Greif, Inc. | $67.2 | $89.9 | | Diluted EPS (Class A) | $1.17 | $1.54 | [Condensed Consolidated Balance Sheets](index=7&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Balance%20Sheets) As of January 31, 2024, Greif's total assets stood at $5,969.1 million, a slight increase from the end of the previous fiscal year, with long-term debt increasing to $2,185.3 million from $2,121.4 million, while total Greif, Inc. equity rose to $1,992.5 million Balance Sheet Summary (in millions) | Account | Jan 31, 2024 | Oct 31, 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Total Current Assets | $1,389.3 | $1,369.1 | | Total Assets | $5,969.1 | $5,960.8 | | Long-term Debt | $2,185.3 | $2,121.4 | | Total Liabilities | $3,807.8 | $3,849.2 | | Total Greif, Inc. Equity | $1,992.5 | $1,947.9 | [Condensed Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows](index=8&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Statements%20of%20Cash%20Flows) Net cash provided by operating activities for Q1 2024 was $4.5 million, a significant decrease from $32.9 million in the prior-year quarter, with the company using $53.6 million in investing activities, primarily for property, plant, and equipment purchases, and generating $36.1 million from financing activities, mainly through net proceeds on long-term debt Q1 Statement of Cash Flows (in millions) | Activity | Q1 2024 | Q1 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net cash provided by operating activities | $4.5 | $32.9 | | Net cash used in investing activities | ($53.6) | ($269.1) | | Net cash provided by financing activities | $36.1 | $239.5 | | Net (decrease) increase in cash | ($1.6) | $13.9 | [GAAP to Non-GAAP Reconciliations](index=10&type=section&id=GAAP%20to%20Non-GAAP%20Reconciliations) This section provides reconciliations of GAAP financial measures to non-GAAP adjusted metrics, including EBITDA, free cash flow, net income, and debt [Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation](index=10&type=section&id=Adjusted%20EBITDA%20Reconciliation) This section reconciles GAAP net income to the non-GAAP measure of Adjusted EBITDA, showing Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA at $128.0 million for Q1 2024, down from $164.5 million in Q1 2023, with adjustments for interest, taxes, D&A, restructuring charges, and acquisition-related costs, and a further breakdown by business segment Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA Reconciliation (in millions) | Line Item | Q1 2024 | Q1 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Income | $74.3 | $93.1 | | Plus: Interest, Taxes, D&A, etc. | $46.4 | $115.6 | | EBITDA | $120.7 | $208.7 | | Plus: Adjustments | $7.3 | ($44.2) | | **Adjusted EBITDA** | **$128.0** | **$164.5** | Adjusted EBITDA by Segment (in millions) | Segment | Q1 2024 | Q1 2023 | | :--- | :--- | | Global Industrial Packaging | $70.9 | $71.8 | | Paper Packaging & Services | $55.5 | $90.7 | | Land Management | $1.6 | $2.0 | [Adjusted Free Cash Flow Reconciliation](index=12&type=section&id=Adjusted%20Free%20Cash%20Flow%20Reconciliation) Adjusted free cash flow for Q1 2024 was a use of $48.2 million, compared to a use of $7.6 million in the prior-year quarter, calculated by starting with net cash from operating activities, subtracting capital expenditures, and adding back cash paid for acquisition and integration-related costs Adjusted Free Cash Flow Reconciliation (in millions) | Line Item | Q1 2024 | Q1 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net cash provided by operating activities | $4.5 | $32.9 | | Less: Purchases of properties, plants and equipment | ($55.6) | ($49.3) | | Plus: Acquisition & integration related costs | $2.9 | $8.8 | | **Adjusted free cash flow** | **($48.2)** | **($7.6)** | [Adjusted Net Income and EPS Reconciliation](index=13&type=section&id=Adjusted%20Net%20Income%20and%20EPS%20Reconciliation) After excluding special items such as restructuring charges and acquisition costs, adjusted net income attributable to Greif was $72.8 million for Q1 2024, an increase from $61.9 million in Q1 2023, resulting in an adjusted diluted Class A EPS of $1.27, up from $1.06 in the prior-year quarter Net Income and EPS Before Adjustments (in millions, except EPS) | Metric | Q1 2024 | Q1 2023 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net Income Attributable to Greif, Inc. (GAAP) | $67.2M | $89.9M | | **Net Income Attributable to Greif, Inc. (Adjusted)** | **$72.8M** | **$61.9M** | | Diluted Class A EPS (GAAP) | $1.17 | $1.54 | | **Diluted Class A EPS (Adjusted)** | **$1.27** | **$1.06** | [Net Debt and Leverage Ratio](index=14&type=section&id=Net%20Debt%20and%20Leverage%20Ratio) As of January 31, 2024, net debt stood at $2,112.5 million, an increase from both the previous quarter and the prior year, consequently raising the company's leverage ratio to 2.53x, compared to 2.20x at the end of fiscal 2023 and 2.11x at the end of Q1 2023 Net Debt Calculation (in millions) | Period Ended | Total Debt | Cash | Net Debt | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Jan 31, 2024 | $2,291.8 | ($179.3) | $2,112.5 | | Oct 31, 2023 | $2,215.1 | ($180.9) | $2,034.2 | | Jan 31, 2023 | $2,229.3 | ($161.0) | $2,068.3 | - The leverage ratio increased to **2.53x** as of January 31, 2024, up from **2.20x** sequentially and **2.11x** in the prior year quarter[43](index=43&type=chunk) [Projected 2024 Guidance Reconciliation](index=16&type=section&id=Projected%202024%20Guidance%20Reconciliation) This table reconciles the company's fiscal 2024 low-end guidance for adjusted free cash flow of $200.0 million, with the projection starting from an estimated $346.8 million in net cash from operating activities, adjusted for capital expenditures and other specific cash costs FY2024 Low-End Adjusted Free Cash Flow Guidance Reconciliation (in millions) | Line Item | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | Net cash provided by operating activities | $346.8 | | Cash paid for purchases of properties, plants and equipment | ($169.0) | | Cash paid for acquisition and integration related costs | $17.0 | | Cash paid for integration related ERP systems and equipment | $4.0 | | Cash paid for fiscal year-end change costs | $1.2 | | **Adjusted free cash flow** | **$200.0** | [Forward-Looking Statements](index=5&type=section&id=Forward-Looking%20Statements) This section contains standard cautionary language advising investors that forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, listing a wide range of potential risks from economic conditions to cybersecurity threats [Risks and Uncertainties](index=5&type=section&id=Risks%20and%20Uncertainties) The company identifies numerous risks that could impact future performance, including sensitivity to general economic conditions, political and currency risks from global operations, intense industry competition, fluctuations in raw material and energy prices, potential difficulties from acquisitions or divestitures, cybersecurity threats, changes in tax legislation, and environmental regulations - The report cautions that all forward-looking statements are based on current assumptions and are not guarantees of future performance[21](index=21&type=chunk) - Key risks highlighted include: changes in general economic conditions, global political instability, intense competition, raw material price fluctuations, supply chain disruptions, and difficulties with acquisitions[22](index=22&type=chunk) - Investors are directed to the company's Form 10-K for a more detailed discussion of significant risks and uncertainties[23](index=23&type=chunk)
Greif (GEF) Q1 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-02-29 00:01
For the quarter ended January 2024, Greif (GEF) reported revenue of $1.21 billion, down 5.1% over the same period last year. EPS came in at $1.27, compared to $1.06 in the year-ago quarter.The reported revenue compares to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.2 billion, representing a surprise of +0.68%. The company delivered an EPS surprise of +535.00%, with the consensus EPS estimate being $0.20.While investors scrutinize revenue and earnings changes year-over-year and how they compare with Wall Street expec ...
Greif (GEF) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Beat Estimates
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-02-28 23:26
Greif (GEF) came out with quarterly earnings of $1.27 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.20 per share. This compares to earnings of $1.06 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 535%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this industrial packaging company would post earnings of $1.30 per share when it actually produced earnings of $1.56, delivering a surprise of 20%.Over the last four quarters, the com ...
Greif(GEF) - 2024 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2024-02-28 16:00
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended January 31, 2024 OR TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF ☐ 1934 Commission File Number 001-00566 GREIF, INC. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 31-4388903 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (I.R.S. Employer ...