Geron(GERN)
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Geron: Derisked And Highly Attractive After Approval
Seeking Alpha· 2024-09-23 21:17
Geron (NASDAQ: GERN ) managed to get imetelstat (branded Rytelo) approved despite giving investors quite a scare after the FDA's negative comments before the advisory committee meeting. That was in March. The approval came in June - for "low- to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) with About the TPT service Thanks for reading. At the Total Pharma Tracker, we offer the following :- Projected American Shared Revenue Backlog $250 $213 $200 ing Balance (million $150 $106 $104 $101 $100 $50 $0 12 ...
Geron (GERN) Reports Q2 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-08-08 13:17
Geron (GERN) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.10 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.11. This compares to loss of $0.09 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 9.09%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this drugmaker would post a loss of $0.10 per share when it actually produced a loss of $0.09, delivering a surprise of 10%. Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensu ...
Geron (GERN) Wins FDA Approval for Blood Cancer Drug, Stock Up
ZACKS· 2024-06-10 17:01
Geron Corporation (GERN) obtained FDA approval for pipeline candidate imetelstat for the treatment of adult patients with low to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) with transfusion-dependent anemia requiring four or more red blood cell units over eight weeks. Shares of the company rose 18% on Jun 7, on the news. The FDA approved imetelstat, a telomerase inhibitor, under the brand name Rytelo for the above-mentioned indication. Current treatment options for those failing ESA are limited to s ...
Is Geron Stock a Buy Following Its First New Drug Approval?
The Motley Fool· 2024-06-08 10:37
Core Viewpoint - Geron Corp's stock surged approximately 32% following the FDA approval of its first drug, Rytelo, for treating low- to intermediate-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) [1][3][9] Group 1: Product Approval and Market Potential - Rytelo is approved for patients with MDS, a condition affecting about 60,000 Americans, with around 16,000 new cases annually [3] - Analysts predict peak sales for Rytelo could exceed $1 billion due to its benefits in reducing blood transfusion dependence [4] - Rytelo is the first cancer therapy that inhibits telomerase activity, potentially allowing Geron to capture a significant market share [10] Group 2: Clinical Efficacy and Safety Concerns - In the pivotal IMerge trial, 28% of patients treated with Rytelo achieved transfusion independence for 24 weeks or longer, compared to only 3% in the placebo group [11] - However, 72% of patients experienced a significant loss of immune cells, necessitating intervention, which raises safety concerns [5] Group 3: Market Challenges and Sales Strategy - The complexity of Rytelo's indication may lead to challenges in securing insurance reimbursement, as it targets a niche patient population [6][14] - Finding physicians who treat MDS patients with anemia unresponsive to existing treatments will be a significant hurdle for Geron's sales team [15] - Despite the stock's recent rise, expectations for Rytelo's sales may not be fully reflected in Geron's market cap of approximately $2.8 billion [12]
Geron Corporation: FDA Approval Fuels Stock Price Surge
MarketBeat· 2024-06-07 16:57
Core Insights - The FDA approval of RYTELO™ (imetelstat) has significantly boosted Geron Corporation's stock price and investor interest, marking a pivotal moment for the company in the healthcare and biotech sectors [1][6][13] Geron's Scientific and Financial Foundations - Imetelstat is a telomerase inhibitor that targets cancer cells by halting the replenishment of telomeres, leading to selective apoptosis in malignant cells [2] - Geron's Q1 2024 earnings report indicated a net loss of $55.4 million, or $0.09 per share, but the company maintains a strong financial position with over $465 million in cash and marketable securities as of March 31, 2024 [5][11] Market Impact of FDA Approval - The approval of RYTELO™ was based on positive results from the IMerge Phase 3 clinical trial, which demonstrated significant transfusion independence rates and a median duration of over one year for patients achieving independence [4][16] - Geron's stock has reached a new 52-week high following the FDA approval, reflecting a positive market outlook and strong analyst support for the stock [6][19] Strategic Outlook and Growth Drivers - Geron is conducting a pivotal Phase 3 trial, IMpactMF, to explore imetelstat's efficacy in treating myelofibrosis, which could expand RYTELO™'s market potential [7] - The company is focused on building its commercial infrastructure to ensure the successful launch and adoption of RYTELO™, including developing a dedicated sales force and marketing strategy [20]
Why Is Geron (GERN) Stock Up 18% Today?
Investor Place· 2024-06-07 15:02
Core Viewpoint - Geron Corporation (NASDAQ: GERN) received FDA approval for its drug RYTELO, leading to a significant increase in its stock price [1][3]. Company Summary - RYTELO is designed for adult patients with low- to intermediate-1 risk myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS) who have transfusion-dependent anemia, a condition that often results in anemia, fatigue, and reduced survival [4]. - The clinical benefits of RYTELO include sustained and durable transfusion independence and increases in hemoglobin levels, all while maintaining a manageable safety profile [5]. Stock Performance - Following the FDA approval, GERN stock rose by 18.4% on Friday morning and has increased by 114.9% since the beginning of the year [3]. - Heavy trading activity was noted, with over 54 million shares traded, significantly surpassing the average daily trading volume of approximately 12.9 million shares [5].
Geron Corporation: A High-Risk Deal With A Good Chance Of Success
seekingalpha.com· 2024-05-23 21:49
Company Overview - Geron Corporation is a late-stage biopharmaceutical company focused on developing therapies for hematological diseases, particularly through its product Imetelstat, a telomerase inhibitor [5][9] - The company's research is based on Nobel Prize-winning discoveries related to telomeres and telomerase, which play a critical role in cell division and aging [5][6] - Imetelstat is the first telomerase inhibitor to advance in clinical development, with potential commercialization in the coming months [9] Product Development and Clinical Trials - Imetelstat has shown promising results in the IMerge Phase 3 clinical trial, demonstrating a 60% transfusion reduction rate and a 40% response rate compared to 15% for placebo [14][16] - The drug targets low-risk Myelodysplastic Syndrome (MDS) and has shown broad efficacy across various MDS subtypes [15][16] - Geron is also conducting a Phase 3 trial called IMpactMF for intermediate or high-risk Myelofibrosis (MF), with results expected in 2025 and 2026 [18] Regulatory and Market Potential - The FDA accepted Geron's New Drug Application (NDA) for Imetelstat in August 2023, with a Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) date set for June 16, 2024 [10] - The European Medicines Agency (EMA) is expected to review the Marketing Authorization Application (MAA) in 2025, with a potential launch in the EU the same year [11] - The total addressable market (TAM) for Imetelstat is estimated at $7 billion by 2031, with Geron potentially capturing 20% of this market [3][21] Financial Projections - Geron's revenue is projected to grow from $175 million in 2025 to $1.4 billion in 2031, assuming a 20% market share [26] - The company is expected to achieve positive net profit starting in 2028, with an estimated EPS of $0.13, growing to $0.39 by 2031 [28][29] - The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) for EPS from 2028 to 2031 is projected at 32.5% [29] Competitive Landscape - Imetelstat's mechanism of action, which focuses on transfusion independence, differentiates it from current standard treatments like erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs) and blood transfusions [19][20] - There are currently no similar treatments on the market that offer transfusion independence, giving Imetelstat a unique competitive advantage [20] Hedge Fund and Insider Activity - Hedge fund interest in Geron has increased significantly, with 29 funds holding positions in Q1 2024, a 50% increase compared to the 2023 average [33][34] - The company has approximately $465 million in cash and marketable securities, which is expected to fund operations until Q1 2026 [35][36] Intellectual Property and Future Prospects - Geron holds patents for Imetelstat in the US and EU, providing protection until 2033 for MDS and MF treatments [30] - The company's future growth is contingent on the successful approval and commercialization of Imetelstat, with potential for significant returns if the product gains market traction [32][42]
Geron(GERN) - 2024 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2024-05-02 20:05
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended March 31, 2024 OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from to . Commission File Number: 000-20859 GERON CORPORATION (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) DELAWARE 75-2287752 (State or other jurisdictio ...
Geron(GERN) - 2024 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-05-02 16:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - As of March 31, 2024, the company had approximately $465 million in cash and marketable securities, including net proceeds of approximately $141 million from a public offering [5][80] - Total operating expenses for Q1 2024 were $56.4 million, compared to $40.1 million for the same period in 2023, reflecting increased investment in commercial activities [58] - General and administrative expenses for Q1 2024 were $27.1 million, up from $12.9 million in Q1 2023, primarily due to commercial preparatory activities [31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company is in the final stages of commercial readiness for Imetelstat, with a sales force being brought on in April 2024 [9][12] - The clinical trial for Imetelstat in lower-risk MDS is ongoing, with the Data Monitoring Committee recommending the trial continue based on unblinded data [10][50] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Market research indicates that Imetelstat is highly differentiated in the transfusion-dependent low-risk MDS market, with significant dissatisfaction among medical and payer stakeholders regarding current treatment options [13][20] - The company expects meaningful uptake of Imetelstat among ESA ineligible patients, particularly those who are RS negative [19][20] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on executing a successful U.S. launch of Imetelstat upon potential FDA approval, with a PDUFA date set for June 16, 2024 [36][60] - The company plans to engage with NCCN to update treatment guidelines for Imetelstat following FDA approval [18][66] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's readiness for the U.S. launch of Imetelstat, highlighting the positive ODAC outcome and the need for new treatment options in the low-risk MDS space [5][60] - The company acknowledges the challenges in enrollment for the myelofibrosis trial, attributing it to factors such as competition from newly approved JAK inhibitors [69][70] Other Important Information - The company has established commercial supply arrangements and finalized its specialty distribution network in preparation for the launch [40] - The company anticipates that existing cash and projected revenues will support operations into the second quarter of 2026 [59] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you comment on the myelofibrosis trial timeline? - Management noted that both enrollment and death rates are lower than anticipated, impacting timelines by approximately six months [62][63] Question: Have you initiated labeling discussions with the FDA for Imetelstat? - The company confirmed that it has received comments from the FDA on the draft label and is looking forward to continuing discussions as the PDUFA date approaches [65] Question: How quickly could NCCN guidelines be updated following approval? - The company expects to submit the necessary documentation to NCCN upon approval, with updates to guidelines typically occurring within two to three months [66] Question: What challenges are impacting enrollment in the myelofibrosis trial? - Management indicated that the approval of additional JAK inhibitors and resource issues at trial sites have contributed to slower enrollment rates [69][70] Question: What are the major steps remaining for launch preparation? - The company is focused on completing onboarding of the commercial team and ensuring full commercial supply and distribution networks are in place [72][88]
Geron (GERN) Reports Q1 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates
Zacks Investment Research· 2024-05-02 13:21
Geron (GERN) came out with a quarterly loss of $0.09 per share versus the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.10. This compares to loss of $0.07 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items.This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 10%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this drugmaker would post a loss of $0.10 per share when it actually produced a loss of $0.09, delivering a surprise of 10%.Over the last four quarters, the company has surpassed consensus EP ...