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Ramaco Resources(METC) - 2024 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2024-11-05 16:58
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Q3 2024 adjusted EBITDA was $24 million, down from $29 million in Q2 2024, with net income breakeven compared to $6 million in Q2 2024 [9] - Q3 realized price per ton decreased to $136 from $143 in Q2 2024, reflecting a $7 per ton sequential decline [9] - Cash costs improved to $102 per ton in Q3 from $108 in Q2 and $118 in Q1 2024, with cash margins per ton remaining at $34, consistent with Q2 [9][10] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Record production of 972,000 tons in Q3 2024, up 35% from Q3 2023, and record sales of 1.02 million tons, marking the first time sales exceeded 1 million tons in a single quarter [10] - The closure of the Knox Creek Jawbone mine negatively impacted Q3 results, contributing to a $1 million loss [9] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - US metallurgical coal indices fell by approximately 7% in Q3 2024, with a $15 per ton decline in US met coal prices sequentially [4][5] - The overall US met coal production decreased by more than 8% sequentially in Q3, equating to a 6 million ton annual decline [6][21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to maintain low cash costs and increase production, projecting a year-end run rate exceeding 5 million tons with normalized cash costs below $100 per ton [5][10] - Growth initiatives remain on track, including the Elk Creek complex and the Maben low vol complex, which is expected to reduce trucking costs by approximately $40 per ton [6][8] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the decline in met coal prices is primarily due to China's overproduction of steel, impacting global pricing [4] - Future macroeconomic measures, such as potential tariffs on Chinese steel exports, could improve pricing for met coal [7] - The company expects to exit 2024 with strong sales and production despite challenging pricing conditions [8] Other Important Information - The company increased 2024 CapEx guidance to $61 million to $65 million, primarily due to the earlier-than-expected commissioning of the Maben prep plant [11] - Liquidity as of September 30 was $81 million, up nearly $10 million from June 30, 2024 [11] Q&A Session Summary Question: Current weakness in met and steel markets - Management acknowledged the current weakness in pricing and discussed the advantages of their low sulfur products in the high vol space [24][25] Question: Variable costs and sensitivity - Management indicated that variable costs closely track market indices, with sales price-related costs also fluctuating accordingly [26][27] Question: Confidence in maintaining sub $100 cost per ton - Management expressed confidence in maintaining a sub $100 cost per ton run rate into next year due to ongoing production growth and cost control measures [28][29] Question: Factors affecting shipment guidance range - Management noted that the guidance range is influenced by logistics and demand, with the high end assuming no carryover tonnage into 2025 [31][32] Question: Volume expectations for 2025 - Management indicated that production guidance for 2025 will be released in early December, with expectations for continued growth based on current production rates [34] Question: Broader supply situation in Central Appalachia - Management estimated that 10% to 15% of mines are currently unsustainable in the current market, with a significant portion of production at risk [36][37] Question: Domestic pricing for next year - Management indicated that additional volumes under fixed price contracts for 2025 are expected to increase the average price above current levels [38][39]
Ramaco Resources (METC) Reports Q3 Loss, Tops Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-11-04 23:55
Company Performance - Ramaco Resources reported a quarterly loss of $0.03 per share, better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.12, and a significant decline from earnings of $0.45 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of 75% [1] - The company posted revenues of $167.41 million for the quarter ended September 2024, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 12.57%, but down from $186.97 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Ramaco Resources has surpassed consensus EPS estimates two times and topped consensus revenue estimates four times [2] Stock Performance - Ramaco Resources shares have declined approximately 41.2% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 20.1% [3] - The current Zacks Rank for Ramaco Resources is 4 (Sell), indicating expectations of underperformance in the near future [6] Future Outlook - The consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.01 on revenues of $187.47 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $0.88 on revenues of $693.59 million [7] - The outlook for the coal industry, where Ramaco Resources operates, is currently in the top 30% of Zacks industries, suggesting potential for better performance compared to lower-ranked industries [8]
Ramaco Resources(METC) - 2024 Q3 - Quarterly Results
2024-11-04 21:15
Financial Performance - For Q3 2024, Ramaco Resources reported adjusted EBITDA of $23.6 million, down from $28.8 million in Q2 2024[2]. - The company had a net income of $(0.2) million for Q3 2024, compared to $5.5 million in Q2 2024 and $19.5 million in Q3 2023[2]. - Revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $167,411,000, a decrease of 10.4% compared to $186,966,000 for the same period in 2023[51]. - Operating income for the three months ended September 30, 2024, was $1,594,000, down 90.1% from $16,081,000 in the prior year[51]. - Net income for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $7,334,000, a decline of 86.0% compared to $52,275,000 for the same period in 2023[51]. - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2024 was $23,617,000, down from $28,798,000 in Q2 2024 and $45,407,000 in Q3 2023[60]. - Total revenue for Q3 2024 was $167,411,000, an increase from $155,315,000 in Q2 2024 but a decrease from $186,966,000 in Q3 2023[62]. Production and Sales - Overall production in Q3 2024 was 972,000 tons, a 35% increase from Q3 2023, with the Elk Creek complex producing 639,000 tons, up 59% year-over-year[31]. - Third quarter sales reached a record of 1,023,000 tons, marking a 12% increase from 996,000 tons in Q3 2023[4]. - Sales volume for Q3 2024 was 1,023,000 tons, up from 915,000 tons in Q2 2024, reflecting improved productivity[34]. - Committed sales volume for 2024 totals 4.1 million tons, with an average price of $148 per ton[45]. - Total sales commitments for 2024 stand at 4.1 million tons, exceeding the high end of production guidance[6]. - For 2025, total sales commitments are 2.7 million tons, with 1.6 million tons at a fixed price of $152 per ton[8]. Costs and Expenses - Non-GAAP cash cost per ton sold decreased by $6 to $102 per ton, with production increasing by 8% to 972,000 tons[3]. - Cash costs were $102 per ton sold, a 10% decrease from the same period in 2023, leading to cash margins of $34 per ton, down from $44 per ton in Q3 2023[33][36]. - Cash costs are expected to exit the year below $100 per ton, with a reduction in guidance to $106 – $109 per ton sold[12]. - The company anticipates average annual mine costs of $90-95 per ton for new production initiatives[9]. - Transportation costs for Q3 2024 were $28,551,000, an increase from $22,872,000 in Q2 2024 and $30,254,000 in Q3 2023[63]. - Capital expenditures for Q3 2024 totaled $17.8 million, slightly up from $16.9 million in Q3 2023, with year-to-date capital expenditures at $54.9 million[38]. Liquidity and Assets - As of September 30, 2024, the company had liquidity of $80.8 million, up from $71.3 million in Q2 2024[37]. - Total assets decreased to $645,395,000 as of September 30, 2024, from $665,836,000 at the end of 2023[54]. - Cash and cash equivalents decreased to $22,864,000 as of September 30, 2024, down from $41,962,000 at the end of 2023[54]. - Net cash from operating activities for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, was $96,983,000, compared to $119,476,000 for the same period in 2023[56]. - Total liabilities decreased to $283,571,000 as of September 30, 2024, from $296,231,000 at the end of 2023[54]. - Proceeds from borrowings increased to $136,500,000 for the nine months ended September 30, 2024, compared to $95,000,000 in the same period of 2023[56]. Market Conditions - U.S. metallurgical coal indices fell by $15 per ton, or 7%, in Q3 2024 compared to Q2 2024, and by $25 per ton, or 12%, compared to Q3 2023[5]. - Quarterly pricing was $136 per ton, down 13% from $157 per ton in Q3 2023, attributed to a decrease in U.S. and global metallurgical coal price indices[32]. - Non-GAAP revenue per ton sold (FOB mine) decreased to $136 in Q3 2024 from $143 in Q2 2024 and $157 in Q3 2023[62]. - Non-GAAP revenue for Q3 2024 was $138,829,000, compared to $131,097,000 in Q2 2024 and $156,533,000 in Q3 2023[62]. Future Outlook - Full-year 2024 production guidance is set between 3,700,000 and 3,900,000 tons, with sales volume guidance between 3,900,000 and 4,100,000 tons[43]. - The company anticipates a meaningful decline in capital expenditures in Q4 2024 due to the completion of the Ram 3 and Stonecoal Alma mines[39]. - Progress continues on the rare earth and critical minerals project at the Brook Mine, with a preliminary techno-economic analysis expected in early December[14].
Ramaco Hires Senior Vice President of Technology from DARPA to Support Rare Earth Element and Carbon Product Development
Prnewswire· 2024-09-30 13:00
SHERIDAN, Wyo., Sept. 30, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Ramaco Resources, Inc. (NASDAQ: METC) announced today it has hired Dr. Vishnu Sundaresan as senior vice president of Technology to help lead the company's expanding rare earth element (REEs) and carbon products activities. In his role, Dr. Sundaresan will chart Ramaco's technology strategy and oversee the development and implementation of innovative technology solutions to support the company's REE and coal to advanced carbon products growth. Dr. Sundaresan joi ...
Ramaco Resources: Headwinds In Metallurgical Coal Prices Likely To Persist
Seeking Alpha· 2024-08-14 08:33
Vladimir Zapletin/iStock via Getty Images Ramaco Resources, Inc. (NASDAQ:METC) recently published their Q2 2024 results on August 7. Despite a solid performance in Q2, including increased coal production and improved net income, Ramaco is currently facing strong headwinds due to declining metallurgical coal prices. Therefore, I remain cautious about initiating a long position right now. In this article, I will dive deep into the recent headwinds and pressures that the company is experiencing, including glob ...
Ramaco Resources (METC) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates
ZACKS· 2024-08-07 22:55
Ramaco Resources (METC) came out with quarterly earnings of $0.08 per share, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.15 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.17 per share a year ago. These figures are adjusted for non-recurring items. This quarterly report represents an earnings surprise of 153.33%. A quarter ago, it was expected that this company would post earnings of $0.22 per share when it actually produced break-even earnings, delivering a surprise of -100%. Over the last four quarter ...
RAMACO RESOURCES REPORTS SECOND QUARTER 2024 RESULTS
Prnewswire· 2024-08-07 20:05
LEXINGTON, Ky., Aug. 7, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Ramaco Resources, Inc. (NASDAQ: METC, METCB, "Ramaco" or the "Company"), is a leading operator and developer of high-quality, low-cost metallurgical coal in Central Appalachia and future developer of rare earth and critical minerals in Wyoming. Today it reported financial results for the three months and six months ended June 30, 2024. SECOND QUARTER 2024 HIGHLIGHTS For the quarter ended June 30, 2024, the Company had adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, dep ...
Ramaco Announces Project Update and New Third-Party Groups Assisting in Development of Rare Earth Elements Deposit at Brook Mine
Prnewswire· 2024-08-06 12:00
LEXINGTON, Ky., Aug. 6, 2024 /PRNewswire/ -- Ramaco Resources, Inc. (NASDAQ: METC, METCB, "Ramaco" or the "Company") today released additional information regarding the Brook Mine project in Wyoming, as well as third-party groups advancing the development of rare earth and critical mineral deposits at the site. This includes two new companies — Fluor Corporation and Hazen Research, Inc. — who bring their industry-leading expertise to the project. Third party groups currently working on the Brook Mine projec ...
Ramaco Resources, Inc. to Release Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results on Wednesday, August 7, 2024 and Host Conference Call and Webcast on Thursday, August 8, 2024
Prnewswire· 2024-07-23 20:15
At 9:00 a.m. Eastern Time on Thursday, August 8, 2024, Ramaco Resources will host an investor conference call and webcast where Randall W. Atkins, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Christopher L. Blanchard, EVP for Mine Planning & Development, Jeremy R. Sussman, EVP & Chief Financial Officer and Jason T. Fannin, EVP & Chief Commercial Officer will discuss the second quarter 2024 results. Ramaco Resources, Inc. is an operator and developer of high-quality, low-cost metallurgical coal in southern West Vir ...
Global Researchers, National Political Leaders Convene for Leading Wyoming Research Conference
Prnewswire· 2024-07-15 12:15
"Critical minerals are essential to our everyday lives, from the technologies we need to support our military readiness, to the cell phones in our pockets and the cars that we drive," said Manchin, Chairman of the U.S. Senate Energy Committee. "That's why it's so vital for our energy and national security that the United States establish secure and dependable supply chains for extraction, processing, production, and recycling of critical minerals." The Ramaco Research Rodeo, or R3, is the world's leading re ...