BP(BP) - 2024 Q4 - Annual Report

Financial Performance - Adjusted EBITDA for 2024 reached $38 billion, with operating cash flow of$27.3 billion[49] - Operating cash flow for 2024 was $27.3 billion, down from$32.0 billion in 2023, primarily due to lower profits from operations[158] - Profit attributable to bp shareholders for 2024 is projected to be $0.4 billion, with total equity at$78.3 billion[167] - Total shareholder return for 2024 decreased by 11.9%, reflecting a reduction in share price[156] - Underlying replacement cost profit for 2024 was $0.4 billion, a significant decrease from$15.2 billion in 2023[150] Production and Operations - Upstream production increased by 2% compared to 2023, with strong plant reliability at over 95%[48] - Upstream production increased to 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (mmboe/d) in 2024, up from 2.3 mmboe/d in 2023[100] - Biofuels production rose to 35,000 barrels per day (kb/d) in 2024, compared to 32 kb/d in 2023[100] - Refining availability dipped to 94.3% due to lower margins and a power outage at Whiting in Q1[48] - Refining availability for 2024 was 94.3%, a decrease from 96.1% in 2023, mainly due to a power outage at the Whiting refinery[140] - Upstream unit production costs increased to $6.17 per barrel of oil equivalent (boe) in 2024, up from$5.78 in 2023[164][165] - Methane intensity increased to 0.07% in 2024, with methane emissions from upstream operations rising by approximately 48% from 31kt in 2023 to 46kt in 2024[173][174] Capital Expenditure and Investments - Capital expenditure for 2024 was $16.2 billion, with expectations of around$15 billion in 2025 and $13-15 billion per annum for 2026 and 2027[191] - The company plans to invest between$1.5-2.0 billion annually in transition businesses through 2027, which is over $5 billion lower per year than previous guidance[94] - The company plans to invest in hydrogen and carbon capture, sanctioning four projects in 2024[50] - The company is actively investing in hydrogen and carbon capture projects to support decarbonization efforts[94] Shareholder Returns and Dividends - The company raised the dividend per ordinary share by 10$7 billion in share buybacks for the year[49] - The dividend per ordinary share has grown by 10% to 8.00 cents since Q4 2023, with expected annual increases of at least 4%[188] - The company announced share buybacks of $7 billion for 2024, reducing shares in issue by 22$5.0 billion in dividends to shareholders in 2023[134] Strategic Initiatives and Portfolio Reshaping - The company is focused on reshaping its portfolio, having made significant changes in the past year[50] - The company is reshaping its portfolio to focus on markets where it has integrated positions, aiming to improve performance and reduce costs[93] - The company now owns 100% of bp bioenergy, a top-three sugarcane bioethanol producer in Brazil, and Lightsource bp, a leading solar developer[50] - The company has developed 8.2 gigawatts (GW) of renewables to final investment decision (net) in 2024, up from 6.2 GW in 2023[100] Safety and Sustainability - The company is committed to improving safety, reducing tier 1 and 2 process safety events for the second consecutive year[47] - Reported recordable injury frequency increased by 8.5% in 2024, indicating a need for improved safety measures[146] - The estimated carbon intensity of the company's energy products is being monitored as part of its sustainability targets[127] - Emission reduction targets include a decrease in operational emissions across Scope 1 and 2 by 2030, based on a 2019 baseline[198] - Carbon prices are projected to rise from $50 per tonne of CO2 equivalent in 2025 to$200 by 2050[207] Future Projections and Goals - Adjusted free cash flow is expected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 20% from 2024 to 2027[97] - The company aims for net debt to be between $14-18 billion by the end of 2027[97] - The company aims for a return on average capital employed (ROACE) to exceed 16$14-18 billion by the end of 2027, with net debt increasing from $20.9 billion to$23.0 billion in 2024[189] - The underlying effective tax rate is projected to be around 40% in 2025, down from 41%[199] - Investment appraisal price assumptions for Brent oil and Henry Hub gas are set at approximately $64 per barrel and$4.0 per million British thermal units, respectively, from 2025 to 2050[206]