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BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust(BPT) - 2018 Q4 - Annual Report

Part I Business BP Prudhoe Bay Royalty Trust is a passive Delaware business trust whose sole asset is a royalty interest in a portion of the Prudhoe Bay field's net production The Trust The Trust's non-operational royalty interest in the Prudhoe Bay field is administered by a Trustee who manages income and distributions, maintaining a cash reserve and subject to specific termination conditions - The Trust's property consists of an overriding royalty interest on 16.4246% of the lesser of the first 90,000 barrels of average actual daily net production per quarter from BP Alaska's 1989 working interest in the Prudhoe Bay oil field, or the actual average daily net production from that interest22 - The Trust has no employees and all administrative functions are performed by the Trustee, whose basic function is to collect income, pay expenses, and distribute available cash to Unit holders2327 - On December 19, 2018, the Trustee announced a gradual increase to the existing $1,000,000 cash reserve, starting with the April 2019 distribution, to cover future expenses and liabilities35 - The Trust will terminate if net revenues are less than $1,000,000 per year for two successive years or if holders of at least 60% of the outstanding Units vote to terminate37 The Royalty Interest Quarterly royalty payments are determined by daily Royalty Production and Per Barrel Royalty, which is the WTI Price less annually increasing Chargeable Costs and Production Taxes, impacted by Alaska's tax statutes Chargeable Costs per Barrel (2018-2020) | Calendar year | Chargeable Costs per barrel | | :--- | :--- | | 2018 | $20.00 | | 2019 | $23.75 | | 2020 | $26.50 | Per Barrel Royalty Calculation Example (2018) | Quarter | Average WTI Price | Adjusted Chargeable Costs | Production Taxes | Average Per Barrel Royalty | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Q4 2017 | $55.48 | $32.67 | $1.92 | $20.89 | | Q1 2018 | $62.96 | $38.34 | $2.21 | $22.38 | | Q2 2018 | $67.85 | $38.74 | $2.41 | $26.70 | | Q3 2018 | $69.60 | $38.83 | $2.81 | $27.96 | - Alaska's 2013 oil-tax reform bill (the "Act") impacts the Production Tax calculation by adding a stair-step per-barrel tax credit, which may be limited by a "minimum tax"555657 The Prudhoe Bay Unit and Field The Trust's royalty interest is tied to BP Alaska's declining Prudhoe Bay field, with 15.772 million barrels of proved reserves as of December 31, 2018, and projected royalty payments ceasing after 2022 based on 2018 WTI prices Net Production Allocated to 1989 Working Interests (2014-2018) | Calendar year | Oil (thousand barrels per day) | Condensate (thousand barrels per day) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | 2014 | 81.8 | 2.3 | | 2015 | 87.1 | 0.0(a) | | 2016 | 87.8 | 0.0(a) | | 2017 | 83.4 | 0.0(a) | | 2018 | 77.3 | 0.0(a) | - As of Dec 31, 2018, proved reserves allocated to the Trust were 15.772 million barrels, an increase of 6.702 million barrels during 2018, primarily due to higher WTI prices extending the economic life of the field107 - Based on the 2018 average WTI price of $65.56, royalty payments to the Trust are estimated to continue through 2022 and become zero in the following year, a forecast highly sensitive to future oil prices112 Estimated Future Net Cash Flow (as of Dec 31, 2018) | Metric | Value (in millions) | | :--- | :--- | | Undiscounted Estimated Future Cash Flow | $154.662 | | Net Present Value (at 10% discount) | $138.541 | Certain Tax Considerations The Trust is a grantor trust for federal income tax purposes, with income and deductions passing through to Unitholders, who may claim depletion deductions, while foreign Unitholders face a 30% withholding tax - The Trust is a grantor trust and not subject to federal income tax, requiring Unitholders to report their share of all Trust income, deductions, and credits on their own tax returns123125126 - Foreign Unitholders are generally subject to a 30% withholding tax on gross income from the Royalty Interest, though a lower treaty rate may apply132 - The Trust is treated as a Widely Held Fixed Investment Trust (WHFIT), with the Trustee providing tax information in accordance with applicable regulations137 Risk Factors Unitholders face significant risks including declining Prudhoe Bay oil production, volatile WTI crude oil prices, operational disruptions to the field or TAPS, and potential adverse impacts from natural gas pipeline construction or changes in Alaska's tax laws - Production from the Prudhoe Bay field is declining and is projected to cease being economic for the Trust after 2022, based on 2018 average WTI prices141142 - Royalty payments are unpredictable due to the volatility of WTI crude oil prices, which can fall below the 'break-even' point required to generate a positive Per Barrel Royalty, with the break-even price on January 1, 2019, being $47.69145163 - The Trans-Alaska Pipeline System (TAPS), the only transport for North Slope oil, is vulnerable to damage from natural causes, accidents, and issues related to declining oil flow, which could halt production175176 - Construction of a natural gas pipeline from the North Slope could lower reservoir pressure in the Prudhoe Bay field, accelerating the decline in oil production and royalty payments, with no offsetting gas revenue for the Trust185 - Potential conflicts of interest exist, as BP Alaska might decide to halt production from the 1989 Working Interests based on its own profitability, even if a Per Barrel Royalty would still be payable to the Trust198 Unresolved Staff Comments The Trust has not received any unresolved written comments from the Securities and Exchange Commission staff regarding its periodic or current reports - The Trust has no unresolved written comments from the SEC staff199 Properties Information regarding the Trust's properties is detailed in Item 1 of this report - This section refers to Item 1 for information on the Trust's properties200 Legal Proceedings The Trust reports no legal proceedings - There are no legal proceedings to report201 Mine Safety Disclosures This item is not applicable to the Trust - Mine safety disclosures are not applicable201 Part II Market for Registrant's Units, Related Unitholder Matters and Issuer Purchases of Units The Trust's Units of Beneficial Interest are traded on the NYSE under symbol BPT, with 21,400,000 Units outstanding as of February 14, 2019, and future distributions dependent on WTI prices, production, and costs Quarterly Unit Price and Distributions (2017-2018) | Period | High Price | Low Price | Distributions Per Unit | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | 2017 | | | | | Q1 | $32.95 | $15.00 | $0.994 | | Q2 | $24.65 | $18.55 | $1.098 | | Q3 | $22.45 | $18.75 | $0.833 | | Q4 | $22.75 | $18.65 | $0.675 | | 2018 | | | | | Q1 | $27.95 | $19.25 | $1.230 | | Q2 | $31.80 | $20.85 | $1.275 | | Q3 | $34.60 | $26.75 | $1.408 | | Q4 | $37.23 | $17.00 | $1.380 | - As of February 14, 2019, there were 21,400,000 Units outstanding205 Selected Financial Data This section presents a five-year summary of the Trust's key financial data, highlighting $114.4 million in royalty revenues and $5.293 cash distributions per unit for the year ended December 31, 2018 Selected Financial Data (2014-2018) | (in thousands, except per Unit amounts) | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 | 2014 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Royalty revenues | $114,369 | $78,193 | $44,917 | $126,781 | $227,904 | | Cash earnings | $113,282 | $77,039 | $43,621 | $125,461 | $226,763 | | Cash distributions | $113,263 | $77,031 | $43,619 | $125,461 | $226,763 | | Cash distributions per unit | $5.293 | $3.600 | $2.038 | $5.863 | $10.596 | Trustee's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations (MD&A) The Trust's financial condition and results are primarily driven by WTI crude oil prices, leading to increased royalty revenues and distributions in 2018, with the Trustee also planning to gradually increase the cash reserve Liquidity and Capital Resources The Trust's liquidity is dependent on royalty revenues, with the Trustee planning to gradually increase the existing $1,000,000 cash reserve by approximately $270,000 starting April 2019 to cover future expenses - The Trustee announced on December 19, 2018, a plan to gradually increase the existing cash reserve by approximately $270,000, commencing with the April 2019 distribution211213 Results of Operations The Trust's financial results significantly improved in 2018 due to a 29.4% increase in average WTI prices, leading to a 46.3% rise in royalty revenues to $114.4 million, despite lower production volumes Comparison of Operating Factors (For Fiscal Years 2018 vs. 2017) | Factor | 12 Months Ended 9/30/2018 | 12 Months Ended 9/30/2017 | % Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Average WTI Price | $63.95 | $49.41 | 29.4% | | Average Per Barrel Royalty | $24.48 | $15.49 | 58.0% | | Average net royalty production (mb/d) | 78.3 | 84.8 | (7.7)% | Comparison of Financial Results (FY 2018 vs. FY 2017) | (Dollars in thousands) | Year Ended 12/31/2018 | Year Ended 12/31/2017 | % Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Royalty revenues | $114,369 | $78,193 | 46.3% | | Cash earnings | $113,282 | $77,039 | 47.0% | | Cash distributions | $113,263 | $77,031 | 47.0% | Comparison of Operating Factors (For Fiscal Years 2017 vs. 2016) | Factor | 12 Months Ended 9/30/2017 | 12 Months Ended 9/30/2016 | % Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Average WTI Price | $49.41 | $41.61 | 18.7% | | Average Per Barrel Royalty | $15.49 | $8.81 | 75.8% | | Average net royalty production (mb/d) | 84.8 | 89.0 | (4.7)% | Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk As a passive entity, the Trust is not subject to material interest rate risk due to its short-term, restricted investments, nor does it engage in foreign currency or derivative transactions - The Trust is not subject to any material interest rate risk due to the short-term nature of its investments235 - The Trust does not engage in transactions involving foreign currencies or derivative financial instruments235 Financial Statements and Supplementary Data This section presents the Trust's financial statements, prepared on a modified cash basis, with an unqualified auditor's opinion, showing $1.031 million in assets and $113.3 million in cash earnings for 2018, and 15.772 million barrels of proved reserves projected to end after 2022 Financial Statements The Trust's financial statements, prepared on a modified cash basis, report total assets of $1.031 million and liabilities of $339 thousand as of December 31, 2018, with $114.369 million in royalty revenues and $5.293 cash distributions per unit for the year Statement of Assets, Liabilities and Trust Corpus (in thousands) | | Dec 31, 2018 | Dec 31, 2017 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Assets | | | | Cash and cash equivalents | $1,031 | $1,012 | | Total assets | $1,031 | $1,012 | | Liabilities and Trust Corpus | | | | Accrued expenses | $339 | $227 | | Trust corpus | $692 | $785 | | Total liabilities and trust corpus | $1,031 | $1,012 | Statement of Cash Earnings and Distributions (in thousands, except per unit data) | | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Royalty revenues | $114,369 | $78,193 | $44,917 | | Cash earnings | $113,282 | $77,039 | $43,621 | | Cash distributions per unit | $5.293 | $3.600 | $2.038 | Notes to Financial Statements The notes detail the modified cash basis accounting, grantor trust tax status, Alaska's production tax impact, royalty payment adjustments, and supplemental reserve information, noting a positive revision in 2018 reserves due to higher WTI prices extending the Trust's economic life to 2022 - The financial statements are prepared on a modified cash basis, where revenues are recorded when cash is received, and distributions are recorded when paid270 - The carrying value of the Royalty Interest on the Trust's books was reduced to zero by December 31, 2010, through amortization and impairment write-downs273 Changes in Estimated Proved Reserves (in thousands of barrels) | Description | Barrels | | :--- | :--- | | Balance at Dec 31, 2017 | 9,070 | | Revisions of previous estimates | 11,311 | | Production | (4,609) | | Balance at Dec 31, 2018 | 15,772 | - The positive revision in year-end 2018 reserves is primarily due to the increase in the 12-month average WTI price from $51.34 in 2017 to $65.56 in 2018, which extended the forecast economic life of the trust from year-end 2019 to year-end 2022298 Controls and Procedures The Trustee concluded that the Trust's disclosure controls and internal control over financial reporting were effective as of December 31, 2018, with KPMG LLP issuing an unqualified opinion on internal controls - The Trustee concluded that the Trust's disclosure controls and procedures were effective as of December 31, 2018305 - Management concluded that the Trust's internal control over financial reporting was effective as of December 31, 2018, based on the COSO criteria310 - KPMG LLP, the independent registered public accounting firm, provided an unqualified opinion on the effectiveness of the Trust's internal control over financial reporting as of December 31, 2018311 Part III Directors, Executive Officers and Corporate Governance The Trust has no directors, executive officers, or audit committee, being administered solely by the Trustee under the Trust Agreement and Delaware law without a formal code of ethics - The Trust has no directors, executive officers, or audit committee, being administered by the Trustee315318 Executive Compensation The Trust pays no executive compensation as it has no directors, officers, or employees, with the Trustee receiving a quarterly administrative fee of $0.0011 per outstanding Unit plus $10.00 per wire transfer, subject to inflation adjustment Compensation to Trustee (2016-2018) | Year ended December 31, | Trustee's Fees | | :--- | :--- | | 2016 | $238,011 | | 2017 | $234,716 | | 2018 | $223,755 | Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management and Related Unitholder Matters As of February 24, 2019, the Trustee was unaware of any beneficial owners holding more than 5% of the Trust's Units, and neither BP entities nor the Trustee own any Units, with no Units authorized under equity compensation plans - There are no persons known to the Trustee to be beneficial owners of more than 5% of the Units323 - Neither BP, its subsidiaries, nor the Trustee own any Units324 Certain Relationships and Related Transactions, and Director Independence The Trust has no independent directors and has engaged in no material related party transactions since early 2018, apart from fees and expense reimbursements paid to the Trustee as per the Trust Agreement - The only related party transactions are the fees and reimbursements paid to the Trustee as specified in the Trust Agreement326 Principal Accountant Fees and Services This section details the fees paid to KPMG LLP for audit, audit-related, and tax services in 2018 and 2017, noting the Trust lacks an audit committee or pre-approval policy for these fees Accountant Fees (KPMG LLP) | Service | 2018 | 2017 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Audit | $193,100 | $186,300 | | Audit related | $24,000 | $23,400 | | Tax | $220,000 | $215,000 | | Total | $437,100 | $424,700 | Exhibits and Financial Statement Schedules This section lists the financial statements from Item 8 and exhibits filed with the report, including the Trust Agreement, Conveyance documents, and the independent petroleum engineering firm's report - Lists the financial statements and exhibits filed with the Form 10-K, including the report of Miller and Lents, Ltd. dated February 25, 2019329331333