American Capital Agency Corp.(US:AGNCP)2025-10-31 20:05Financial Performance - AGNC generated total comprehensive income of $0.78 per diluted common share and an economic return of 10.6% on tangible common equity for Q3 2025[134]. - Net income available to common stockholders for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $764 million, compared to $313 million for the same period in 2024, reflecting a significant increase of 143.5%[170]. - Economic interest income for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $1,052 million, up from $819 million in the same period of 2024, marking a rise of 28.4%[177]. - Comprehensive income available to common stockholders for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was $825 million, up from $513 million in the same period of 2024, an increase of 60.8%[170]. - Economic return on tangible common equity for the three months ended September 30, 2025, was 10.6%, compared to 9.3% in the same period of 2024, indicating improved performance[170]. Investment Portfolio - The investment portfolio totaled $90.8 billion as of September 30, 2025, an increase of $8.5 billion from the prior quarter[136]. - As of September 30, 2025, the company's investment portfolio totaled $90.8 billion, up from $73.3 billion as of December 31, 2024, representing a growth of approximately 23.5%[152]. - The fair value of Agency RMBS increased to $76.3 billion as of September 30, 2025, compared to $65.5 billion at the end of 2024, reflecting a growth of 16.5%[152]. - The total investment securities, including TBA securities, had a fair value of $90.1 billion as of September 30, 2025, compared to $73.2 billion as of December 31, 2024[152]. - The average investment portfolio increased by 23% for the three months ended September 30, 2025, compared to the prior year, primarily due to an increase in the capital base[182]. Leverage and Liquidity - Tangible "at risk" leverage remained at 7.6x, with a liquidity position of $7.2 billion in unencumbered cash and Agency RMBS, representing 66% of tangible equity[138]. - The tangible net book value "at risk" leverage ratio as of September 30, 2025, was 7.6:1, consistent with the previous quarter[184]. - Unencumbered assets totaled approximately $7.3 billion, or 66% of tangible equity, compared to $6.2 billion, or 67% of tangible equity, as of December 31, 2024[221]. - The company maintains excess liquidity by holding unencumbered liquid assets to satisfy collateral requirements[221]. - The maximum amount at risk with any repurchase agreement counterparties was less than 2% of tangible stockholders' equity as of September 30, 2025[224]. Interest Rates and Yield - The weighted average coupon of the portfolio, excluding TBAs, increased to 5.17% as of quarter end, compared to 5.14% as of June 30, 2025[137]. - The 30-Year Agency Current Coupon Yield was 5.20% as of September 30, 2025, down 28 basis points from 5.48% in June 2025[150]. - The 30-Year Mortgage Rate decreased to 6.32% as of September 30, 2025, a reduction of 35 basis points from 6.67% in June 2025[150]. - The weighted average yield on investment securities (excluding TBA and forward settling securities) was 4.94% as of September 30, 2025, compared to 4.77% as of December 31, 2024[155]. - The average asset yield for Q3 2025 was 4.95%, an increase from 4.73% in Q3 2024[198]. Risk Management - The interest rate hedge ratio, excluding option-based hedges, declined to 77% of total funding liabilities as of September 30, 2025[143]. - The company actively monitors collateral positions to manage counterparty risk and limits counterparties to those with acceptable credit ratings[223]. - The company does not maintain relationships with unconsolidated entities or financial partnerships for off-balance sheet arrangements as of September 30, 2025[227]. - The company aims to maintain excess liquidity by holding unencumbered liquid assets[221]. - The vitality of the Agency RMBS and TBA markets allows the company to generate liquidity through asset sales under most conditions[225]. Economic Environment - The Fed lowered the federal funds rate and signaled further monetary policy accommodation, contributing to a favorable investment environment for Agency RMBS[128]. - The supply of Agency RMBS is expected to total approximately $200 billion in 2025, with demand outlook improving due to anticipated regulatory reforms[130]. - The Target Federal Funds Rate decreased to 4.25% as of September 30, 2025, down from 4.50% in the previous quarter[148]. - The SOFR Rate decreased to 4.24% as of September 30, 2025, down from 4.45% in the previous quarter[148]. - The average one-year CPR forecast for Agency RMBS indicates a stable prepayment activity outlook[218].