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Should You Buy AutoZone (AZO) After Its Recent Buyback Boost?
AZOAutoZone(AZO) ZACKS·2024-06-20 14:00

Core Viewpoint - AutoZone has announced an additional stock repurchase authorization of 1.5billion,bringingthetotalauthorizedsharerepurchasesto1.5 billion, bringing the total authorized share repurchases to 39.2 billion since the program's inception, indicating a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders [1][8]. Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, AutoZone repurchased shares worth 735million,withover735 million, with over 1.4 billion remaining under share repurchase authorization [1]. - The company's annualized cash flow growth rate has been 11.8% over the past 3-5 years, significantly higher than the industry average of 2.7% [1]. - AutoZone has a 5-year average return on capital of 71%, showcasing its financial efficiency [1]. Stock Performance - Over the last 10 years, AutoZone's stock price has increased by approximately 450%, and by 3,600% over the last 20 years [3]. - The stock reached an all-time high of 3,256pershareonMarch22,2024,andiscurrentlytradingatabouta93,256 per share on March 22, 2024, and is currently trading at about a 9% discount to this record high [5]. Market Trends - The average age of U.S. vehicles has reached a record 12.6 years in 2024, which is expected to drive demand for automotive repairs and maintenance, benefiting AutoZone [6]. - There are over 110 million vehicles in the prime range for aftermarket service (6 to 14 years old), representing nearly 38% of the fleet, projected to grow to 40% by 2028 [6]. Strategic Initiatives - AutoZone is enhancing inventory distribution by bringing stock closer to customers, which is expected to improve efficiency and drive growth [7]. - The company operates 6,364 stores in the U.S., 763 in Mexico, and 109 in Brazil, with 92% of stores incorporating a commercial program to capture more market share [7]. Debt and Valuation Concerns - AutoZone's total debt increased to 8.50 billion as of May 4, 2024, up from 7.67billioninAugust2023and7.67 billion in August 2023 and 7.34 billion in May 2023 [8]. - The current price/earnings ratio of 18.39X forward earnings is higher than its five-year median, indicating a potentially pricey valuation [10]. Earnings Estimates - For fiscal 2024, the Zacks Consensus Estimate implies a 6% growth in sales and a 14.5% growth in EPS year-over-year [13]. - The consensus for fiscal 2025 indicates another 3% growth in sales and 8% growth in earnings year-over-year [13].