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What To Do After Corning Shares Rallied
GLWCorning(GLW) Seeking Alpha·2024-07-09 16:30

Core Viewpoint - Corning has raised its second-quarter sales forecast due to the demand for generative artificial intelligence solutions, leading to a significant increase in its stock price and market capitalization [1][2]. Sales Forecast - Corning expects core sales of approximately 3.6billionforthesecondquarter,whichis3.6 billion for the second quarter, which is 200 million higher than previous estimates, resulting in a 5.88% sales increase [2]. - The stock price surged from 38.50toaround38.50 to around 44.20 following the announcement [2]. Valuation Metrics - Corning's stock is currently rated with a "D" on valuation, primarily due to a high price-to-earnings GAAP multiple of nearly 60 times [2][3]. - The market capitalization increased by 4.67billionto4.67 billion to 37.88 billion, raising concerns about stretched valuations [2]. Growth Catalysts - The strong adoption of Corning's optical connectivity products for GenAI is a key growth driver, with plans to add over $3 billion in annualized sales over the next three years under the "Springboard" initiative [7]. - The company anticipates cyclical factors and secular trends will support sales growth from Q2 through the next three years [7]. - Corning expects automotive glass sales to triple between 2023 and 2026, contingent on sector trends [7]. Financial Performance Metrics - Corning's revenue growth year-over-year is reported at -9.51%, with forward growth projected at 0.20% [6]. - EBITDA growth year-over-year is -12.45%, with forward growth expected at 3.36% [6]. - The diluted EPS growth year-over-year is -31.98%, with forward growth projected at 1.95% [6]. Market Position - Corning is positioned as a beneficiary of the AI boom, alongside companies like Coherent and Celestica, as demand for hardware to support AI computational processing rises [1]. - The company is seeing renewed investments from carrier customers in optical communications, which is expected to contribute positively to its sales [7].