Workflow
Buy These 5 Gold Stocks to Ride on Solid Price & Demand Trends
Agnico EagleAgnico Eagle(US:AEM) ZACKSยท2024-07-18 17:20

Industry Overview - The Zacks Mining - Gold industry is currently experiencing a positive outlook, with gold prices gaining 19% year-to-date and reaching record highs due to expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts [1] - The industry involves complex processes of gold extraction from both underground and open-pit mines, requiring significant financial resources and time [2] Major Trends - Gold prices have remained above $2,000 per ounce, with a year-to-date gain of 19.3%, driven by geopolitical tensions, a depreciating U.S. dollar, and central bank purchases [3] - Analysts project gold prices could reach around $3,000 per ounce due to solid demand amid limited supply prospects [3] Cost Management - The industry faces high production costs due to a skilled workforce shortage and rising expenses for electricity, water, and materials [4] - Companies are focusing on cost-reduction strategies and digital innovations to improve operating efficiencies [4] Demand & Supply Dynamics - A demand-supply imbalance is anticipated due to depleting resources and declining supply from old mines, with India and China accounting for about 50% of consumer gold demand [5] - Central banks have significantly increased gold reserves, with purchases of 1,082 tons in 2022 and 1,037 tons in 2023, indicating a strong demand for gold [5] Industry Performance - The Zacks Mining - Gold Industry ranks 34, placing it in the top 14% of 250 Zacks industries, indicating encouraging near-term prospects [7] - Over the past year, the industry has grown 17%, outperforming the broader sector's rise of 1.1% but underperforming the S&P 500's 21.8% increase [8] Valuation Metrics - The industry is currently trading at a trailing 12-month EV/EBITDA of 9.41X, compared to the S&P 500's 19.84X and the Basic Materials sector's 11.85X [9] Company Highlights - Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV): The company is debt-free, focusing on cost management and has a long-term estimated earnings growth rate of 1.8% [12][13] - Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD): The company has a strong balance sheet and recently increased its dividend payout by 7%, with a projected earnings growth of 31.7% for fiscal 2024 [15][16] - Eldorado Gold Corporation (EGO): The company produced 117,111 ounces of gold in Q1 2024, with a projected production increase of 9% year-over-year [19][20] - New Gold Inc. (NGD): The company is on track to meet its 2024 production forecast and has seen a 32% increase in shares over the past three months [21][22] - Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM): The company aims to increase production at its Detour Lake mine and has a long-term earnings growth estimate of 28.2% [24][25]