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Ultrapar's Turnaround Complete: Time To Consider A Buy Rating
UGPUltra(UGP) Seeking Alpha·2024-08-29 16:07

Core Insights - Ultrapar Participações S.A. has undergone a strategic turnaround by divesting from non-core businesses and optimizing its investment portfolio, leading to improved fundamentals and cash generation [1][5][19] - The company is currently trading at attractive valuation multiples, with a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 12.2x and a price/free cash flow ratio of 8.2x, indicating potential for shareholder returns [1][16][18] Business Overview - Ultrapar's primary business, Ipiranga, is a leading fuel distribution brand in Brazil, holding a 17.3% market share and generating a recurring EBITDA of R780millioninQ2[2][10]Ultragaz,focusedongasdistribution,isthesecondlargestLPGcompanyinBrazilwitha22.8780 million in Q2 [2][10] - Ultragaz, focused on gas distribution, is the second-largest LPG company in Brazil with a 22.8% market share and a recurring EBITDA of 396 million in Q2 [2][3] - Ultracargo, the logistics arm, leads in liquid bulk storage with a 22.8% market share and a recurring EBITDA of 165millioninQ2,withIpirangaasitsmainclient[4][10]FinancialPerformanceUltraparreportedtotalrevenuesofR165 million in Q2, with Ipiranga as its main client [4][10] Financial Performance - Ultrapar reported total revenues of R128.64 billion and an EBITDA margin of 4.45% [6] - The company has achieved a return on invested capital (ROIC) of 17% following its strategic turnaround [10] - Free cash flow yield relative to market cap stands at 12.2%, significantly higher than the 10-year average of 6.9% [18] Market Dynamics - The fuel distribution sector in Brazil is characterized by intense competition, with Ipiranga's market share slightly declining from 17.7% to 17.3% from 2023 to Q2 2024, while other players have increased their share from 33.9% to 41.8% [12][13] - Ultrapar's recent acquisition of Hidrovias do Brasil aligns with its strategy to enhance logistics capabilities and increase exposure to agribusiness [7][19] Strategic Focus - The company has shifted its focus towards core sectors, emphasizing strategic acquisitions that align with its operational strengths [11][15] - Management has expressed a commitment to disciplined capital allocation, aiming to balance investments with shareholder returns [18][19]