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Here's Why Birkenstock Stock Dropped Nearly 16% Last Month

Core Viewpoint - Birkenstock's stock experienced a significant drop of 15.6% in August, primarily due to investor disappointment following the release of its fiscal Q3 2024 financial results, despite the company achieving record revenue and profit figures [1][2][3]. Financial Performance - Birkenstock reported over $600 million in revenue and approximately $80 million in net profit for Q3, indicating strong financial performance [2]. - The company’s revenue growth was driven more by B2B sales rather than DTC sales, which did not meet investor expectations [4][5]. Investor Expectations - Investors anticipated better growth rates and an increase in full-year guidance, which did not materialize, leading to disappointment despite the strong financial results [3][5]. - Analyst Jim Duffy lowered his price target for Birkenstock from $70 to $63, citing that the higher B2B revenue slightly impacted profitability and top-line numbers [5]. Valuation Considerations - Birkenstock's stock trades at around 70 times its earnings, a high valuation for a shoe company, although some analysts believe it is justified due to the company's double-digit growth rate [6][8]. - The shoe industry often sees lower valuations due to uncertainty in long-term trends, but Birkenstock's established brand may provide it with staying power [7]. Investment Strategy - While Birkenstock's growth rate is appealing, investors may find better value in other shoe stocks with similar growth rates at more attractive valuations, suggesting a cautious approach to investing in Birkenstock for the time being [8].