Workflow
A Once-in-a-Generation Opportunity: 1 Super Growth Stock Down 59% to Buy and Hold Forever
BROSDutch Bros(BROS) The Motley Fool·2024-10-13 08:10

Core Viewpoint - Dutch Bros is positioned as a compelling growth stock with significant expansion potential, despite a recent decline in share price and a strong cash generation capability [1][2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - Dutch Bros operates 912 beverage shops across the western and southern United States, focusing on hand-crafted drinks [1]. - The company has nearly doubled its store count since its public debut in 2021, yet its share price has decreased by approximately 59% from its peak [2]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Dutch Bros boasts a 17% cash-from-operations (CFO) margin, indicating strong cash generation from its operations [2][4]. - The company’s price-to-CFO (P/CFO) ratio stands at 18, which is comparable to Starbucks' ratio of 17, despite Starbucks experiencing stagnant growth [5][6]. Group 3: Growth Strategy - Management aims to quadruple the store count to 4,000 over the next 10 to 15 years, with a target of opening around 150 new stores this year [3][9]. - Dutch Bros is nearing a point where it can self-fund its growth, potentially reducing reliance on secondary stock offerings that dilute shareholder value [7][8]. Group 4: Customer Loyalty and Market Potential - Approximately 67% of transactions come from 2.3 million Dutch Rewards members, indicating strong customer loyalty and repeat business [10]. - With two-thirds of its stores located in just five states and no presence further north than Missouri or east of Tennessee, Dutch Bros has substantial room for expansion [12].