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Prediction: Price Increase Could Power Toast Stock in 2025
TOSTToast(TOST) The Motley Fool·2024-10-29 09:15

Group 1 - Toast's stock has increased over 60% year-to-date, and a recent price increase in credit card processing fees could further enhance growth into 2025 [1][5] - The company raised its credit card processing fee to 0.23%, marking the first increase in 12 years [2] - Previous attempts to increase prices faced backlash, leading to a reversal and the resignation of the CEO, but the current increase allows restaurant owners to decide on passing costs to customers [3][4] Group 2 - The fee increase, while small, could generate significant revenue given Toast's projected processing of nearly 160billioningrosspaymentvolumethisyear[5]Toastplanstoimplementaseriesofsmall,steadypricechangesaspartofitsstrategytogaugecustomerreactions[6]Thecompanyisexpandingitspresenceintherestaurantsector,currentlyservingabout120,000locationsoutof750,000intheU.S.,andhasalsoenteredinternationalmarkets[7]Group3Toastisdiversifyingintoadjacentmarketssuchascoffeeshopsandretailfoodandbeverage,enhancingitsserviceofferings[8]Therestaurantindustryisexperiencinggrowth,withsalesup3.7160 billion in gross payment volume this year [5] - Toast plans to implement a series of small, steady price changes as part of its strategy to gauge customer reactions [6] - The company is expanding its presence in the restaurant sector, currently serving about 120,000 locations out of 750,000 in the U.S., and has also entered international markets [7] Group 3 - Toast is diversifying into adjacent markets such as coffee shops and retail food and beverage, enhancing its service offerings [8] - The restaurant industry is experiencing growth, with sales up 3.7% year-over-year in September, outpacing non-restaurant retail sales [9] - The company's annualized recurring run rate (ARR) grew by 29% to 1.47 billion, indicating strong growth potential [11] Group 4 - Investors are encouraged to focus on ARR rather than price-to-sales ratios due to the low gross margin of fintech revenue [10] - The combination of price increases, geographic expansion, and growing restaurant spending positions Toast for continued strong growth [11] - Future monitoring of the impact of credit card processing fee changes on Toast's business is advised, as further price increases are anticipated [12]