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IDR Stock Falls 27% Post Q3 Earnings: Is This a Buy Opportunity?
IDRIdaho Strategic Resources(IDR) ZACKS·2024-11-15 18:00

Core Viewpoint - Idaho Strategic Resources, Inc. (IDR) reported strong third-quarter results but missed consensus estimates, leading to a 27% decline in share price since the announcement despite a year-to-date gain of 83% [1][2]. Financial Performance - IDR's revenues for Q3 2024 were 6.15million,an86.46.15 million, an 86.4% increase year-over-year, but below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 7.4 million [4]. - The company produced 2,892 ounces of gold in the quarter, a 45% increase from the previous year, bringing year-to-date production to 9,025 ounces [4]. - Gross margin improved to 48.7% from 33.5% year-over-year, and operating income surged 248% to 1.4million,withanoperatingmarginof23.41.4 million, with an operating margin of 23.4% [5]. Exploration and Costs - Exploration expenses increased due to heightened drilling activities at the Golden Chest Mine, with all-in-sustaining costs per ounce rising to 1,500.86 from 1,333.73yearoveryear[6].ThecompanyhasdiscoveredtheRedStarVeinduringdrilling,indicatingpotentialforfutureproduction,althougheconomicfeasibilityisstilluncertain[12].EarningsEstimatesTheZacksConsensusEstimateforIDRsfiscal2024earningshasdecreasedoverthepast60days,yetstillsuggestsayearoveryearincreaseof6891,333.73 year-over-year [6]. - The company has discovered the Red Star Vein during drilling, indicating potential for future production, although economic feasibility is still uncertain [12]. Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for IDR's fiscal 2024 earnings has decreased over the past 60 days, yet still suggests a year-over-year increase of 689% [7]. - Earnings estimates for fiscal 2025 have improved, indicating an 11.3% rise year-over-year [8]. Liquidity and Growth Plans - As of Q3 2024, IDR had cash and cash equivalents of 8.4 million, up from $2.3 million at the end of 2023, with a total debt-to-total capital ratio of 0.06, significantly lower than the industry average of 0.16 [13]. - The company plans to invest in existing mines and explore new opportunities, including drilling at the Eastern Star property and expanding operations at the Golden Chest [14]. Market Position and Valuation - IDR's return on equity (ROE) stands at 22.1%, outperforming the industry average of 8.4% and major competitors like Barrick Gold and Newmont [17]. - The stock is currently trading at 5.62X forward 12-month price to sales, above the industry average of 2.53X, indicating a potentially stretched valuation [19].