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Oracle Shares Tumble on Lackluster Guidance. Is It Time to Buy the Stock on the Dip or Stay Away?
ORCLOracle(ORCL) The Motley Fool·2024-12-14 09:15

Oracle's Fiscal Q2 2025 Performance - Oracle's revenue increased by 9% YoY to 14.06billion,slightlybelowthe14.06 billion, slightly below the 14.1 billion analyst consensus [2] - Cloud revenue grew by 24% YoY to 5.9billion,withcloudinfrastructurerevenuesurging525.9 billion, with cloud infrastructure revenue surging 52% to 2.4 billion and cloud application revenue rising 10% to 3.5billion[3]AdjustedEPSincreasedby103.5 billion [3] - Adjusted EPS increased by 10% to 1.47, just below the 1.48analystconsensus[6]CloudInfrastructureandAIDemandOracleCloudInfrastructure(OCI)consumptionrevenuesoaredby521.48 analyst consensus [6] Cloud Infrastructure and AI Demand - Oracle Cloud Infrastructure (OCI) consumption revenue soared by 52%, driven by record AI demand, with GPU consumption skyrocketing by 336% [4] - OCI is training some of the world's most important generative AI models and is claimed to be faster and less expensive than competitors [5] - Oracle signed a deal with Meta Platforms to use Oracle's AI Cloud Infrastructure and collaborate on AI agents based on Meta's Llama models [5] - Oracle now has 98 live cloud regions, more than any other competitor [5] Remaining Performance Obligations (RPO) and Future Outlook - RPO surged 49% to 97 billion, with cloud RPO jumping nearly 80% and representing nearly three-fourths of total RPO [6] - Oracle expects to recognize about 39% of its RPO as revenue in the next 12 months [6] - The company forecasts fiscal Q3 revenue growth of 7% to 9%, with cloud revenue growing by 23% to 25% and adjusted EPS rising by 4% to 6% [7] - Full-year cloud infrastructure revenue is expected to grow by more than 50% [7] Capital Expenditures and Financial Position - Oracle ramped up its capex to 4billionfrom4 billion from 2.3 billion in fiscal Q1, leading to negative free cash flow of 2.7billioninthequarter[8]Thecompanyhasnetdebtof2.7 billion in the quarter [8] - The company has net debt of 77.4 billion at the end of fiscal Q2 [13] Market Valuation and Competitive Position - Oracle trades at a forward P/E of just under 28 based on current fiscal-year analyst estimates [11] - The company's high-single-digit revenue growth and 10% earnings growth are notable, but its significant debt and negative free cash flow raise concerns [13]