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自动驾驶业务增长6倍,Uber被市场明显错杀,即将迎来50%上涨空间!
美股研究社·2024-12-18 11:10

Core Viewpoint - Concerns about the impact of autonomous vehicles on Uber's business model may be premature, as the company remains well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for transportation services [2][6][7]. Group 1: Business Positioning and Market Dynamics - Uber's positioning as a "transportation app for everyone" allows it to serve over 160 million consumers, making it an essential platform for autonomous vehicle (AV) companies [4][5]. - The collaboration with multiple AV suppliers enhances Uber's market presence, as it offers a hybrid network of autonomous and human drivers, which expedites AV commercialization while maintaining reliability [4][5]. - The development of the autonomous vehicle market is expected to unfold over the next 10 to 20 years, suggesting that abandoning Uber due to disintermediation fears is premature [6][7]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Projections - Uber's revenue is projected to maintain healthy double-digit growth over the next five years, with a consensus revenue estimate of $43.71 billion for 2024 [7][8]. - The company's recent stock price decline has improved its long-term risk/reward profile, with a five-year expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) now at approximately 25.8% [7][10]. - In Q3 2024, Uber reported a revenue of $11.19 billion, exceeding expectations by $208.57 million, and a net income of $2.61 billion, reflecting significant growth [11][14]. Group 3: Valuation Insights - The fair value of Uber's stock is estimated at approximately $105.52 per share, indicating it is undervalued by about 45% based on current market conditions [9][10]. - The valuation model suggests that Uber is one of the few large tech stocks with significant value in a historically expensive stock market [10][11].