光大证券：双节期间市场将以结构性行情为主

Core Viewpoint - The market during the dual festival period is expected to be characterized by structural trends, with a more promising performance anticipated after the Spring Festival [1] Group 1: Market Outlook - The A-share market is likely to exhibit structural trends before the Spring Festival, with expectations for better performance post-festival [1] - In January, there are relatively few important meetings and economic data, leading to a lack of significant catalysts for the market [1] - Analysts have not significantly adjusted their earnings growth expectations for A-share companies in 2025, indicating a lack of consensus on future profitability [1] Group 2: Historical Trends - Since 2015, there has been a pattern where the Shanghai Composite Index's performance in January tends to inversely correlate with December's performance [1] - Historically, the A-share market tends to perform relatively poorly in the period leading up to the Spring Festival, but shows better performance in the 20 trading days following the festival [1] Group 3: Investment Focus - In January, the market style is expected to oscillate between defensive and thematic growth sectors [1] - Defensive sectors to focus on include gas, electricity, and large state-owned banks [1] - Thematic growth sectors of interest include solid-state batteries, automation equipment (humanoid robots), and semiconductors (Byte AI chain) [1]