Bank OZK(OZK) ZACKS·2025-01-09 16:01Core Viewpoint - Bank OZK is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending December 2024, with the consensus outlook indicating a potential impact on the stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The earnings report is scheduled for January 16, 2025, and could lead to a stock price increase if the reported figures exceed expectations, while missing estimates may result in a decline [2]. - The consensus estimate for quarterly earnings is 408.04 million, a slight increase of 0.1% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating that analysts have not significantly altered their initial projections during this period [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Bank OZK is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.68%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict the likelihood of actual earnings deviating from consensus estimates, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [7][8]. - Bank OZK's current Zacks Rank is 3, which complicates the prediction of an earnings beat given the negative Earnings ESP [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Bank OZK was expected to post earnings of 1.55, resulting in a surprise of +1.31% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has successfully beaten consensus EPS estimates on all occasions [13]. Conclusion - While Bank OZK does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other influencing factors when making decisions regarding the stock ahead of the earnings release [16].