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The Best E-Commerce Stock to Invest $500 In Right Now
MELIMercadoLibre(MELI) The Motley Fool· The Motley Fool·2025-01-13 09:41

Core Viewpoint - MercadoLibre has experienced a significant decline of approximately 20% since its latest earnings report, despite being a strong long-term investment option for patient investors [1][2]. Financial Performance - The decline in share price was primarily due to missing profit expectations, with the company's EBIT margin decreasing by 7.4 percentage points year over year in Q3, attributed to increased growth investments and bad debt [4]. - Free cash flow was reported as negative, indicating short-term profitability issues [4]. Business Growth - Despite short-term profit concerns, MercadoLibre's core business is growing rapidly, with the e-commerce marketplace selling 28% more items year over year and adding over 10 million active buyers [5]. - The Mercado Pago payment processing business grew by 34% year over year, achieving an annualized payment volume exceeding 200billion[5].Thecreditbusinesshasshownimpressivegrowth,withoutstandingloanbalancesreaching200 billion [5]. - The credit business has shown impressive growth, with outstanding loan balances reaching 6 billion, a 77% increase from the previous year [5]. Market Potential - E-commerce penetration in the U.S. is around 16%, and it is even lower in Latin American markets, indicating significant growth potential for MercadoLibre [6]. - The Latin American market consists of over 650 million people, which is about twice the size of the U.S., and improving logistics will facilitate more online transactions [7]. Emerging Opportunities - MercadoLibre has several early-stage businesses with high potential, including a credit card business that nearly tripled in size over the past year and an investment platform that saw a 93% increase in assets under management [8]. - The Mercado Ads advertising platform is beginning to expand beyond product ads, which could drive high-margin revenue in the future [9]. - The introduction of a two-tiered pricing model for the MELI+ subscription service, similar to Amazon Prime, may enhance user engagement within the ecosystem [9]. Valuation Insights - Despite a 180% increase in stock price over the past five years, the valuation metrics have improved, with the price-to-sales multiple decreasing by approximately 64% compared to five years ago [10]. - The stock is currently trading at a historically low valuation of 14.5 times trailing-12-month free cash flow, down from about 96 at the beginning of 2020 [10]. Investment Outlook - With a 20% decline from recent highs, MercadoLibre's stock has become cheaper relative to its growth metrics, making it an attractive option for long-term investors as 2025 approaches [11].