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Synopsys Plunges 20% in 6 Months: Should You Buy the Dip?
SNPSSynopsys(SNPS) ZACKS·2025-01-13 16:50

Stock Performance - Synopsys shares plunged 20 1% over the past six months, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's growth of 1 1% and the S&P 500 index's growth of 3 8% [1] - The stock also underperformed the Zacks Computer - Software industry's decline of 3 3% [1] - Synopsys is trading near its 52-week low of 49254[1]KeyChallengesSynopsysIPandhardwarerevenuesareunevenduetocustomerproductadoptionschedulesandcapacityconstraintsfordeployinghardwareindatacenters[2]Sluggishrecoveryinmobile,PC,andautomotivemarkets,whicharevitalforSynopsyscustomerbase,duetoglobalsupplychaindisruptionsandinflationarypressures[4]USChinatradetensionsandexportcontrolsadduncertainty,asChinaaccountsforover15492 54 [1] Key Challenges - Synopsys' IP and hardware revenues are uneven due to customer product adoption schedules and capacity constraints for deploying hardware in data centers [2] - Sluggish recovery in mobile, PC, and automotive markets, which are vital for Synopsys' customer base, due to global supply chain disruptions and inflationary pressures [4] - US-China trade tensions and export controls add uncertainty, as China accounts for over 15% of Synopsys' total revenues [6][7] Financial Performance - Design Automation segment saw a 12% year-over-year revenue increase in fiscal 2024, driven by demand for EDA software and hardware [5] - Design IP segment in the automotive market contributed positively with 24% revenue growth, though vulnerable to macroeconomic slowdowns [5] - Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 and 2026 projects continued revenue and earnings growth [17] Valuation - Synopsys trades at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) multiple of 10 97x, significantly above the industry average of 8 50x [9] Strategic Partnerships and Technological Leadership - Strong partnerships with industry giants like TSMC, NVIDIA, Intel, and Arm Holdings enable Synopsys to maintain leadership in chip design innovation [11] - Collaborations focus on advancing AI, high-performance computing, and next-generation semiconductor designs [12] - Joint efforts with TSMC on Multi-Die test chip tape-outs and collaborations with NVIDIA and Arm for GPU design and integrated solutions [13] AI Expansion - Synopsys has expanded its AI capabilities through investments in AI-powered design automation tools [14] - Achieved milestones in AI, including partnerships with SiMa ai for automotive AI solutions and certifications on Samsung Foundry's SF2 process [15][16] - Released AI products like the PCIe 7 0 IP solution, Polaris Software Integrity Platform, Synopsys ZeBu EP2, and HAPS-100 12 [16] Sales and EPS Estimates - Zacks Consensus Estimate for current quarter (1/2025) sales is 1 45B, with a year-over-year growth estimate of -11 90% [18] - Next quarter (4/2025) sales estimate is 160B,withayearoveryeargrowthestimateof9781 60B, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 9 78% [18] - Current year (10/2025) sales estimate is 6 77B, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 8 04% [18] - EPS estimates for current quarter (1/2025) are 281,withayearoveryeargrowthestimateof21072 81, with a year-over-year growth estimate of -21 07% [18] - Next quarter (4/2025) EPS estimate is 3 37, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 12 33% [18] - Current year (10/2025) EPS estimate is $14 90, with a year-over-year growth estimate of 12 88% [18] Conclusion - Synopsys' 20% decline over the past six months highlights near-term challenges, but strong fundamentals and technological leadership underscore long-term potential [19] - Existing investors may consider holding the stock, while new investors could wait for a better entry point [20]