Earnings Preview: Alerus (ALRS) Q4 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Insights - Alerus (ALRS) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending December 2024, with the consensus outlook indicating a significant impact on the stock price based on actual results compared to estimates [1][3] Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Alerus's quarterly earnings is projected at $0.01 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 95.8%, while revenues are expected to reach $61.8 million, marking a 31.5% increase from the previous year [3] Estimate Revisions - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 9.33%, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [4] Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Alerus is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -200%, which indicates a bearish outlook from analysts [10][11] Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Alerus was expected to post earnings of $0.44 per share but only achieved $0.26, resulting in a surprise of -40.91%. Over the last four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [12][13] Investment Considerations - Alerus does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, and investors are advised to consider other factors when making investment decisions regarding this stock ahead of its earnings release [16]