Analysts Estimate Valero Energy (VLO) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for

Core Viewpoint - Valero Energy (VLO) is anticipated to report a significant year-over-year decline in earnings due to lower revenues, which could influence its near-term stock price depending on how actual results compare to consensus estimates [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is scheduled for January 30, 2025, with expectations of quarterly earnings at $0.14 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 96.1$30.75 billion, down 13.2% from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 12.71% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate aligns with the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of 0%, suggesting no recent differing analyst views [10][11]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that a positive or negative reading can predict deviations from consensus estimates, with a strong predictive power for positive readings [7][8]. - Valero Energy's current Zacks Rank is 3, making it challenging to predict an earnings beat conclusively [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Valero Energy was expected to post earnings of $1.29 per share but delivered only$1.14, resulting in a surprise of -11.63% [12]. - Over the past four quarters, the company has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [13]. Conclusion - While Valero Energy does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors should consider other factors influencing stock performance ahead of the earnings release [16].