Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Match Group (MTCH) to report a year-over-year increase in earnings despite lower revenues for the quarter ended December 2024, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for Match Group is $0.84 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +3.7%, while revenues are projected to be $856.04 million, a decrease of 1.2% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 2.69% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a more optimistic outlook from analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that the Most Accurate Estimate for Match Group is higher than the consensus estimate, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +1.20%, indicating a likelihood of beating the consensus EPS estimate [10][11]. - Historical performance shows that Match Group has beaten consensus EPS estimates three out of the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +10.87% in the last reported quarter [12][13]. Market Reaction Factors - The stock price may increase if the upcoming earnings report exceeds expectations, while a miss could lead to a decline [2]. - Management's discussion during the earnings call will significantly influence the sustainability of any immediate price changes and future earnings expectations [2][14]. Investment Considerations - Betting on stocks expected to beat earnings expectations can enhance the odds of success, making it important to check a company's Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank prior to quarterly releases [15]. - Match Group is viewed as a compelling candidate for an earnings beat, but investors should consider other influencing factors before making investment decisions [16].
Match Group (MTCH) Earnings Expected to Grow: What to Know Ahead of Next Week's Release